281–290 of 566 posts
1. Twitter is going to fail quickly. 2. Threads is going to succeed quickly.
Neither is true, and constantly re-checking the narrative against those binary outcomes (complete failure! Unmistakable success!) is ludicrous and distracting.
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87.6% of Twitter active-seconds are mobile, according to Elon's most recent data. Would've expected closer to 70/30 personally.
And do you actually believe this statistic? I don't know a single person who willingly prefers a limited, bogged-down experience of any product (social media or otherwise) over a full-fledged desktop client.
81% of Facebook users interact only by mobile phone: https://www.statista.com/statistics/377808/distribution-of-f...
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> It’s becoming increasingly obvious that Twitter isn’t going to be that place with each new chaos monkey attack from Musk, but what the successor place is going to be remains to be seen. First, Mastodon was going to be the new place. It wasn't. Then Threads came along and again everyone said it would be the death knell for Twitter. It wasn't. My takeaway would be quite the opposite. While everything that comes along…
> First, Mastodon was going to be the new place. It wasn't. Just about all the people whose opinions I'm interested in hearing are on Mastodon now. I don't really care if anyone else shows up. Maybe it's better that they don't.
that doesn't hold for other groups. people that don't want to think about internet application protocols (most people) throw up their hands and leave at the first notion of needing to choose an instance or needing a JS bookmarklet to follow someone not on your instance
plenty of those people are experts in their field and write interesting content i wouldn't otherwise encounter, but they aren't migrating to mastodon because of that, and there's a decent chance they won't migrate anywhere and will return to sharing their work in niche walled garden academic journals and conferences
sure, mastodon maybe keeps out the garbage firstnamelastname9023285023 accounts that do nothing but send low-content replies and retweet inane celebrity(s' social media managers') posts, but it's keeping them out because only a very specific population will bother to get in, which is a bad filter
They shoehorned a new service/app ontop of there existing user base, a huge amount of people went to check it out because it was forced down their throats and then a reasonable amount decided it was a waste of time and a few people are still playing with it, likely a lot of wannabe influences seeing it as a chance to get an early lead on a new platform.
It will likely die further, except facebook and social media being as toxic as they are and as this interview suggests, facebook are going to add more 'hooks' to get people addicted or dark patterns etc to drive usage.
Everything here is what you would expect, so who cares?
It’s super funny to see people framing that as Threads failing. They totally may fail. But even after that initial drop (which is expected, for something that managed to get so much hype) they’re likely still the biggest app in the history in terms of DAU in few weeks after the launch. And if there’s one thing Meta knows how to do is to copy successful idea and slowly grind the growth till it dominates market.
It's not very reasonable to consider it a new app when it's in many ways just a shell on top of instagram.
I'm rooting for Bluesky, they've been loosening up their invites and I've got most of my twitter friends on there and active.
There's Bluesky the platform, and then there are Bluesky's users. The platform itself still looks promising, but bsky.social is captured by some of the worst people on the Internet. At the end of the day, I don't think it's realistic for normal people to bring their own network.
If you're viewing this as a king of the hill scenario, you've got the wrong metaphor. This is humpty dumpty having a great fall. It won't ever be put back together. Not by Meta, not by Twitter, not by anyone.
They should've launched globally. Not including Europe was a big mistake in my opinion.
Wasn't at all, they couldn't even get a desktop client in place, why would they want to play with GDPR? This is ChatGPT again, over all Europe will be increasingly isolated from the rest of the internet because their politicians were tricked into thinking they had more influence over the forefront technology than they actually do: You can't be a steward of good policy from the back of the train, you'll just get kicke…
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Does instagram give you the right social graph for a twitter replacement though? It seems to me that you want to follow pretty different kinds of people on different forms of social media.
It sure beats having to bootstrap one, would be my hunch. Even just having a few people automatically followed can make a difference, even if most people diverge quickly after joining.
Additionally, 90+% of my Threads feed is photos, so, like, what’s the point?
I’ve opened it a couple of times and scrolled for maybe 30 seconds and lost interest.
I’m sure if I put a little effort into it I could find more interesting accounts to follow, but at least in my experience the “bootstrapping” hasn’t really worked.