The median prediction for whether this gets independently confirmed is sitting at 25%: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/18090/room-temp-supercon...
Room temperature, ambient pressure superconductivity – this time for real?
281–290 of 362 posts
Re: Room temperature, ambient pressure superconductivity – this time for real?
#282Earlier quoted context omitted.
Glad to see a realistic take on HN. Endlessly frustrating to see people be like "this will be replicated in days". Yeah, sure, let every other lab just drop what they're doing, order all the reagents on express, do a thorough characterization making sure they understand the impurities and crystal phase, then perform good airtight measurements in a couple days. Crystal growth always has complications many times outsid…
To me the biggest mystery is why they didn't make multiple samples and send them to a few places that could verify their claims immediately. I understand that the papers were published before they really wanted to but they've also apparently have had samples for awhile it sounds like? So assuming it's not BS (and I doubt that it is) it would lead me to believe that making the material is difficult to get right? The v…
Re: Room temperature, ambient pressure superconductivity – this time for real?
#283Earlier quoted context omitted.
Glad to see a realistic take on HN. Endlessly frustrating to see people be like "this will be replicated in days". Yeah, sure, let every other lab just drop what they're doing, order all the reagents on express, do a thorough characterization making sure they understand the impurities and crystal phase, then perform good airtight measurements in a couple days. Crystal growth always has complications many times outsid…
>Glad to see a realistic take on HN. From an account created 1 hour ago, claiming to have worked with the author. Take with a huge grain of salt.
Re: Room temperature, ambient pressure superconductivity – this time for real?
#284Earlier quoted context omitted.
Now down to 19%. Starting to stabilize, at 143 forecasters.
The 'nays' getting lots of traction on twitter right now https://twitter.com/alexkaplan0/status/1684642852616192000
Re: Room temperature, ambient pressure superconductivity – this time for real?
#285Earlier quoted context omitted.
Now down to 19%. Starting to stabilize, at 143 forecasters.
The 'nays' getting lots of traction on twitter right now https://twitter.com/alexkaplan0/status/1684642852616192000
[0]: https://twitter.com/alexkaplan0/status/1684044616528453633
Re: Room temperature, ambient pressure superconductivity – this time for real?
#286Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's just speculation because the third author on the first paper isn't an author on the second, better paper, and he's the one who published it.
Man, fucking scientists dude, they need to get their heads on straight If you're one of the 7 people who invented room temperature superconductivity, it's not going to matter who has the Nobel Prize. You can take a part time 7 figure consulting gig and be as famous as you want to boot
Re: Room temperature, ambient pressure superconductivity – this time for real?
#287A source (German) attributed to the Max Planck Institute for Solid State Research thinks the paper is bogus [0] [0] https://blog.fefe.de/?ts=9a3f8740
He didn’t even try to explain the levitating video displaying the Meissner effect..
Re: Room temperature, ambient pressure superconductivity – this time for real?
#288Earlier quoted context omitted.
The 'nays' getting lots of traction on twitter right now https://twitter.com/alexkaplan0/status/1684642852616192000
Some schmo with an instant coffee company. There's no need to surface random people's opinions.