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Room temperature, ambient pressure superconductivity – this time for real?

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Re: Room temperature, ambient pressure superconductivity – this time for real?

#281
post #216

The median prediction for whether this gets independently confirmed is sitting at 25%: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/18090/room-temp-supercon...

So technically the question asked is only if "the first independent replication attempt" will confirm (current guess 10%) and I think thats about right I can imagine there is a lot of 'build Twitter in a weekend' going on and it will take a while before the dust settles and there is a solid replication to base a solid conclusion.

Re: Room temperature, ambient pressure superconductivity – this time for real?

#282
post #215

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Glad to see a realistic take on HN. Endlessly frustrating to see people be like "this will be replicated in days". Yeah, sure, let every other lab just drop what they're doing, order all the reagents on express, do a thorough characterization making sure they understand the impurities and crystal phase, then perform good airtight measurements in a couple days. Crystal growth always has complications many times outsid…

To me the biggest mystery is why they didn't make multiple samples and send them to a few places that could verify their claims immediately. I understand that the papers were published before they really wanted to but they've also apparently have had samples for awhile it sounds like? So assuming it's not BS (and I doubt that it is) it would lead me to believe that making the material is difficult to get right? The v…

That could very well have been their plan, they just got beat to the punch by the paper leak. Shrug. Probably won’t get the full story til next summer when Netflix inevitably does a C tier docu-drama series about it.

Re: Room temperature, ambient pressure superconductivity – this time for real?

#283
post #242
post #215

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Glad to see a realistic take on HN. Endlessly frustrating to see people be like "this will be replicated in days". Yeah, sure, let every other lab just drop what they're doing, order all the reagents on express, do a thorough characterization making sure they understand the impurities and crystal phase, then perform good airtight measurements in a couple days. Crystal growth always has complications many times outsid…

>Glad to see a realistic take on HN. From an account created 1 hour ago, claiming to have worked with the author. Take with a huge grain of salt.

It is entirely believable that a person with substantial trace on HN and ties in the field would rather create a throwaway than post such remark under his main account.

Re: Room temperature, ambient pressure superconductivity – this time for real?

#284
post #238

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Now down to 19%. Starting to stabilize, at 143 forecasters.

The 'nays' getting lots of traction on twitter right now https://twitter.com/alexkaplan0/status/1684642852616192000

Some schmo with an instant coffee company. There's no need to surface random people's opinions.

Re: Room temperature, ambient pressure superconductivity – this time for real?

#285
post #238

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Now down to 19%. Starting to stabilize, at 143 forecasters.

The 'nays' getting lots of traction on twitter right now https://twitter.com/alexkaplan0/status/1684642852616192000

For context, he is the same guy that went viral yesterday[0] excited with optimism, now saying there are other more possible explanations for the results besides superconductivity

[0]: https://twitter.com/alexkaplan0/status/1684044616528453633

Re: Room temperature, ambient pressure superconductivity – this time for real?

#286

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's just speculation because the third author on the first paper isn't an author on the second, better paper, and he's the one who published it.

Man, fucking scientists dude, they need to get their heads on straight If you're one of the 7 people who invented room temperature superconductivity, it's not going to matter who has the Nobel Prize. You can take a part time 7 figure consulting gig and be as famous as you want to boot

Most famous discovers of famous phenomena do not get 7 figure consulting gigs. Did any discoverers of high Tc superconductors, quantum hall, topological insulators, blue LEDs, graphene get rich? Not as far as I know.

Re: Room temperature, ambient pressure superconductivity – this time for real?

#287
post #28

A source (German) attributed to the Max Planck Institute for Solid State Research thinks the paper is bogus [0] [0] https://blog.fefe.de/?ts=9a3f8740

He didn’t even try to explain the levitating video displaying the Meissner effect..

There are non-superconducting materials that exhibit diamagnetism, too.

Re: Room temperature, ambient pressure superconductivity – this time for real?

#288
post #284

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The 'nays' getting lots of traction on twitter right now https://twitter.com/alexkaplan0/status/1684642852616192000

Some schmo with an instant coffee company. There's no need to surface random people's opinions.

Einstein was some schmo working at a patent office...

Re: Room temperature, ambient pressure superconductivity – this time for real?

#289
post #284

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The 'nays' getting lots of traction on twitter right now https://twitter.com/alexkaplan0/status/1684642852616192000

Some schmo with an instant coffee company. There's no need to surface random people's opinions.

But it's tech instant coffee
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