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This month is the planet’s hottest on record by far – and hottest in 120k years

cnn.com

21–30 of 266 posts

Re: This month is the planet’s hottest on record by far – and hottest in 120k years

#21
post #2

At least in Europe, an order of magnitude (or two, depending on country) more people die from the cold than from the heat[0]. Going by the numbers, if green energy policy keeps summer temperatures down but makes energy more expensive[1], it will kill more people. [0]: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5... [1]: https://news.climate.columbia.edu/2021/10/26/lets-come-clean...

The amount of ignorance in this comment is baffling.

Yeah. smh.

Re: This month is the planet’s hottest on record by far – and hottest in 120k years

#22
post #2

At least in Europe, an order of magnitude (or two, depending on country) more people die from the cold than from the heat[0]. Going by the numbers, if green energy policy keeps summer temperatures down but makes energy more expensive[1], it will kill more people. [0]: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5... [1]: https://news.climate.columbia.edu/2021/10/26/lets-come-clean...

Keep in mind global warming also makes winters colder.

and directly causes wildfires, and tornadoes, and hurricanes... those accursed cows, and their farts! guess I'd better not have any children.

Re: This month is the planet’s hottest on record by far – and hottest in 120k years

#23

There were no precise instruments 120k years ago. The historical record used is a hodge podge of proxy data. Much modern temperature data was US centric. Also, there is controversy over the placement of temperature stations (e.g. on an urban heat island, next to an airport, near exhaust vents). Factors were added to temperature modesl (there were higher apples to apples temperature readings in the 1930s). Many region…

Scientists and researchers in this area work very hard to not just account for heat island effect, but also a myriad of other effects.

https://climate.nasa.gov/explore/ask-nasa-climate/3071/the-r...

Re: This month is the planet’s hottest on record by far – and hottest in 120k years

#24
post #12

There were no ice caps when primates evolved. I am excited to go back to the climate of my ancestors.

There were no nation-states at that time either. It's going to be a meatgrinder this time around.

And a lot less population density. People in low-lying areas aren't going to be able to move to higher ground, because someone else already owns that ground.

Re: This month is the planet’s hottest on record by far – and hottest in 120k years

#25
post #6

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Desertification of previously farmed arable land is going to result in significant migrations and food supply instability. I think it goes without saying that will result in lost lives from myriad direct causes. This is the sort of thing wars are made of.

A lot more land will become arable, too. It might as well be a net plus, who knows. Africa already imports > 80% of its calories anyway.

Even if in another hundred years there were a net plus, the interim rebalancing process doesn't occur without prolonged conflict and suffering.

Re: This month is the planet’s hottest on record by far – and hottest in 120k years

#26
post #18

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's the rate of change which matters, much less so than the magnitude of the change.

This. The time for nature and us humans to adapt to these new circumstances is vastly shorter than in any earlier age of the planet. edit: bryanlarsen pointed out that there was an even more extreme event in earth's history.

That's not quite true. 252 million years ago we also had a very quick 8 degree Celsius rise in global temperature.

It kicked off the largest mass extinction event. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Permian%E2%80%93Triassic_extin...

Re: This month is the planet’s hottest on record by far – and hottest in 120k years

#27
post #2

At least in Europe, an order of magnitude (or two, depending on country) more people die from the cold than from the heat[0]. Going by the numbers, if green energy policy keeps summer temperatures down but makes energy more expensive[1], it will kill more people. [0]: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5... [1]: https://news.climate.columbia.edu/2021/10/26/lets-come-clean...

Green energy policy in Europe has people replacing gas heat with heat pumps. And since heat pumps are also air conditioning, many European homes are getting air conditioning for the first time. One of those rare "have your cake and eat it too" moments.

Yeah it’s weird, but now suddenly everyone running air conditioning here. Doesn’t that nullify the savings?

Re: This month is the planet’s hottest on record by far – and hottest in 120k years

#28
post #2

At least in Europe, an order of magnitude (or two, depending on country) more people die from the cold than from the heat[0]. Going by the numbers, if green energy policy keeps summer temperatures down but makes energy more expensive[1], it will kill more people. [0]: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5... [1]: https://news.climate.columbia.edu/2021/10/26/lets-come-clean...

The amount of ignorance in this comment is baffling.

It may be ignorant or even insane, but this sort of thinking is also taken seriously in certain places, and even highly rewarded. William Nordhaus won the Nobel Prize for a model which predicts that if the planet warms by 6C - an extinction level event!! - GDP will only be reduced by 8.5%. Why? Because most high-value production happens indoors, where we have aircon. [1]

[1] https://www.ucl.ac.uk/news/2020/sep/nobel-prize-winning-econ...

Re: This month is the planet’s hottest on record by far – and hottest in 120k years

#29
post #12

There were no ice caps when primates evolved. I am excited to go back to the climate of my ancestors.

There were no nation-states at that time either. It's going to be a meatgrinder this time around.

Several nation-states will be huge beneficiaries of a hotter world.

Russia's tundra becomes arable land, and their fossil fuels become more accessible. Their navy will be able to freely roam the seas when the polar ice caps melt.

Canada will receive the same benefits - enormous access to fresh water, ease of navigation, and agriculturally ideal conditions.

Greenland will have an increasingly large stake in geopolitics, trade, and energy.

China will be less existentially concerned about a blockade of the Strait of Malacca.

Re: This month is the planet’s hottest on record by far – and hottest in 120k years

#30

There were no precise instruments 120k years ago. The historical record used is a hodge podge of proxy data. Much modern temperature data was US centric. Also, there is controversy over the placement of temperature stations (e.g. on an urban heat island, next to an airport, near exhaust vents). Factors were added to temperature modesl (there were higher apples to apples temperature readings in the 1930s). Many region…

Scientists and researchers in this area work very hard to not just account for heat island effect, but also a myriad of other effects. https://climate.nasa.gov/explore/ask-nasa-climate/3071/the-r...

“Scientists” aren’t a single unit. Some of them are responsible in their methodology, others get endless news coverage for their alarmism.
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