Author here. Previous time this was on the front page: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30930985 As an update, I temporarily relocated to a different city and spent four months training Judo for five hours every day and have since reached the vocab point for the sport. That experiment was covered here: https://commoncog.com/expertise-acceleration-experiment-judo... and https://commoncog.com/mental-strength-judo-l…
Ability to see expertise is a milestone worth aiming for (2022)
121–130 of 177 posts
Re: Ability to see expertise is a milestone worth aiming for (2022)
#122Is expertise still important in the age of ChatGPT?
Re: Ability to see expertise is a milestone worth aiming for (2022)
#123Earlier quoted context omitted.
But is this really the point of the article? The article argues that it is difficult to identify expertise. However, the situation you describe is one where (if I read you correctly) not your expertise was questioned but your recommendation. If there wasn’t any tangible difference between the CTO’s and your suggested course of action on a metric that he as a customer cared about, then maybe his proposal was indeed th…
I'm finding this entire line of discussion incredibly curious because not only does it confirm my original argument and the that of the article, but it hammers the point home. Everything you've just said is gibberish to a master. It's like making a straight-faced argument that setting the speed limit to 1 mph on a motorway might make perfect sense, and the traffic engineer is actually at fault for not making it clear…
Re: Ability to see expertise is a milestone worth aiming for (2022)
#124This is an extremely important article to read for professionals of all sorts, not just freelancers. It's an issue that I struggle with nearly daily. I can't convince customers to pay me what I'm worth, because they can't judge my true value. Meanwhile, they'll happily pay Deloitte or Accenture 3x as much as what I charge, and then take the misguided ramblings of a junior-sold-as-senior at face value, not knowing the…
(I'm not a pro or anything, just high rank, but to use myself as an example) I try to make an effort to use the correct words when explaining things to friends. But even I find myself saying things like 'just look at the [lane] creeps' to explain what I want my laning partner to do and then I realise how unhelpful it is. Because when they see the creeps they don't understand what I see.
Re: Ability to see expertise is a milestone worth aiming for (2022)
#125Earlier quoted context omitted.
I see zero problem with having no children and studying evolution. You don’t need to become superconductive to study the physics of superconductivity. You don’t need to become infected by every virus to study virology, and you definietly don’t need to be a virus to be a good virologist. So why would you need to pass on your genes to study evolution?
// So why would you need to pass on your genes to study evolution? You can study whatever you want, I am questioning if you can be considered "expert" if you profoundly fail at the topic of your field.
Re: Ability to see expertise is a milestone worth aiming for (2022)
#126Earlier quoted context omitted.
Yup, your explanation resonates with what I think are the superficial reasons society is accepting of both of these cases. You have to think a little bit deeper to feel why this might be problematic. If the economist weighs the risk to not put too much stock in these theories (no pun intended actually), why does he not likewise hesitate to teach these theories to his students? Like "I don't believe 100% that this is…
The biologist example is, respectfully, ridiculous. Would you expect experts in criminal psychology to be serial killers?
Re: Ability to see expertise is a milestone worth aiming for (2022)
#127Earlier quoted context omitted.
As far as the economist. I suspect he understands that they're theories, thus, to some extent guesses. Some data might support it, but does it hold true in every case? Probably not. Does it hold true in most cases? Maybe not. Would he bet money, effectively what a hedge fund does in my very limited experience here? Sounds like no. This to me sounds like a simple example of he understands the limitations of his work!…
Yup, your explanation resonates with what I think are the superficial reasons society is accepting of both of these cases. You have to think a little bit deeper to feel why this might be problematic. If the economist weighs the risk to not put too much stock in these theories (no pun intended actually), why does he not likewise hesitate to teach these theories to his students? Like "I don't believe 100% that this is…
This is complete and utter nonsense.
Re: Ability to see expertise is a milestone worth aiming for (2022)
#128There is clearly a major problem with this in SV. A lot of people seem to confuse confidence with expertise, and fail to grasp that a scary proportion of the time the individual is so confident because they don’t understand the problems with what they are doing. Furthermore, modern software management practice doesn’t want this because it wants replaceable cogs. If you can recognize expertise you have to appreciate t…
Re: Ability to see expertise is a milestone worth aiming for (2022)
#129There is clearly a major problem with this in SV. A lot of people seem to confuse confidence with expertise, and fail to grasp that a scary proportion of the time the individual is so confident because they don’t understand the problems with what they are doing. Furthermore, modern software management practice doesn’t want this because it wants replaceable cogs. If you can recognize expertise you have to appreciate t…
Dunning-kruger strikes again
"Thinking Fast and Slow" has a whole chapter on this with ample evidence
Re: Ability to see expertise is a milestone worth aiming for (2022)
#130Not directly related to the article but I had two amusing encounters with expertise recently. I sat next to an Econ professor (at an Ivy) on a flight. I told him I had worked at a hedge fund, and he was like "wow, I could never put myself in a situation where my living depended on my economic theories being right." A good friend of mine is a kinda-famous evolutionary biologist. He's in his mid-40s now, unmarried and…
the economist might not specialize in theories about why, when, or how much specific assets go up or down. even if he did, he might not have the skills to make actionable predictions from messy input data. doesn't mean his theories are wrong, just that someone else needs to bridge the gap between theory and application.
evolutionary biology has almost nothing to do with being a good parent. I don't think this even requires an explanation.
the financial advisor is the exact opposite. managing personal finances is the exact problem they are supposed to help you solve. if they can't do it for themselves, that's a pretty strong reason to doubt they can do it for you.