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Homebuyers must ‘learn to live’ with near-7% mortgage rates says RE/MAX chairman

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Re: Homebuyers must ‘learn to live’ with near-7% mortgage rates says RE/MAX chairman

#11
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And no prepayment penalties, which means that if interest rates go down, you can refinance.

How does this work in the American economy? Why does anyone buy RMBS at such low yields for 30 years with the capital risk that the money could come back to you if rates move against you?

US has Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae that essentially buy all OK mortgages from the banks so long-term liabilities don't ruin banks and FED can create more reserves when needed.

Re: Homebuyers must ‘learn to live’ with near-7% mortgage rates says RE/MAX chairman

#12

I'm constantly reminded to be thankful to be a homeowner in America. Most other countries don't even have fixed-rate mortgages and many of my international friends are facing massive unexpected jumps in their monthly housing costs.

Yes.

Here in America we face our massive unexpected jumps in the form of medical bills.

Re: Homebuyers must ‘learn to live’ with near-7% mortgage rates says RE/MAX chairman

#13

I'm constantly reminded to be thankful to be a homeowner in America. Most other countries don't even have fixed-rate mortgages and many of my international friends are facing massive unexpected jumps in their monthly housing costs.

The fixed-rate mortgages in the US are the result of government manipulation of the housing market. The other countries you refer to are using market-based solutions instead of government intervention. That said yes I can see why you'd like it. Those who are advantaged by government policies usually are happy to be on the receiving end.

Re: Homebuyers must ‘learn to live’ with near-7% mortgage rates says RE/MAX chairman

#14
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And no prepayment penalties, which means that if interest rates go down, you can refinance.

How does this work in the American economy? Why does anyone buy RMBS at such low yields for 30 years with the capital risk that the money could come back to you if rates move against you?

Lenders are making certain bets that can come back to bite them. There are also various ways to hedge with credit swaps. etc. (Also per other comments, as a matter of policy, the US government has long wanted people to own homes.)

Re: Homebuyers must ‘learn to live’ with near-7% mortgage rates says RE/MAX chairman

#15

This is one of a few areas where having an MBA is actually useful. Interest rate risk and how things behave when interest rates are going up are good to know.

Yet all of the MBAs at Silicon Valley Bank and working for Sand Hill Road VC firms were apparently blindsided this spring, not recognizing the risk and failing to take precautions.

Re: Homebuyers must ‘learn to live’ with near-7% mortgage rates says RE/MAX chairman

#16

“Real estate CEOs must `learn to live’ with lower sales, say resistant buyers”. The amount I can pay each month hasn’t changed drastically. If interest payments to my credit union go up, then the principal payments I can make to a seller have go down. The price I can pay is less than it was a couple of years ago. That means your commissions will be dropping, too, Mr. Liniger. You’ll just have to live with it.

Sellers will have to learn to live with price discovery based on mortgages governed by wage income. You’ll still have some volume driven by older folks with various equity (home or stocks) but less investor driven acquisitions with the risk free rate beating out cap rates. Wage earners buying will eventually drag prices down, it’s just going to take time and be painful. Lots of people don’t want to sell and lose their Goldilocks rate, but those who must sell (death, divorce, relo, etc) will contribute to (hopefully downward trajectory) comps.

1.8 million people over the age of 55 die every year in the US, and there are about 650k divorces every year. These are potential price discovery opportunities in the real estate market. (Excuse the morbidity)

Re: Homebuyers must ‘learn to live’ with near-7% mortgage rates says RE/MAX chairman

#17

I'm constantly reminded to be thankful to be a homeowner in America. Most other countries don't even have fixed-rate mortgages and many of my international friends are facing massive unexpected jumps in their monthly housing costs.

In most countries buying a house doesn’t involve taking out loans that take 30 years to pay off in the first place.

Re: Homebuyers must ‘learn to live’ with near-7% mortgage rates says RE/MAX chairman

#19
post #17

I'm constantly reminded to be thankful to be a homeowner in America. Most other countries don't even have fixed-rate mortgages and many of my international friends are facing massive unexpected jumps in their monthly housing costs.

In most countries buying a house doesn’t involve taking out loans that take 30 years to pay off in the first place.

True, you get robbed much quicker.
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