Earlier quoted context omitted.
Any speculative profit you hope to make on XRP is entirely reliant on the business of Ripple. They control and run and improve and promote the network, and without those efforts XRP would not have any hope of increasing in value at all. It's plain as day that people purchasing XRP rely on the efforts of Ripple the company for their expectation of profit, regardless of who they purchase the XRP from.
Any speculative profit you hope to make on buying a limited edition Rolex is entirely reliant on the business of Rolex continuing to market the brand of Rolex. But if you don't have a formal contractual relationship with Rolex SA, then it's quite simply not an investment contract.
That is not at all true. Rolexes will continue to accrue value even (especially?) if the company goes out of business.