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Don't Take VC Funding – It Will Destroy Your Company

eidel.io

251–260 of 398 posts

Re: Don't Take VC Funding – It Will Destroy Your Company

#251
post #246

I'll take another position; since it might be keen to understand a little more from a different perspective. I am a person who is a non-founder startup CTO; my company does not have any venture capital funding and we have enough capital to go to market. However, certain institutions (especially US ones) give great discounts, insider incentives (such as early access to features or access to people) and so on to ventur…

Would it be possible to take ~$100k of VC funding to get the 'VC-funded' benefits without actually giving up any real control of the company?

Yes, in fact I think this is probably the best way.

I think it might be an issue that people shoot themselves in the foot by going for insane valuations to get more money for less equity- I think if you’re honest about your valuation then theoretically this system can work.

Re: Don't Take VC Funding – It Will Destroy Your Company

#252

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Of course it is unusual. But no less unusual than building a successful company to begin with. What's normal is failure.

> But no less unusual than building a successful company to begin with. Statistically, companies that raise venture capital are vastly less likely to succeed than those that are bootstrapped. Think about it this way: from the perspective of VCs, the most successful apps of the iOS era were Uber and AirBnB. But from the perspective of entrepreneurs, the most successful app of the iOS era was the Flashlight app. Which…

>Statistically, companies that raise venture capital are vastly less likely to succeed than those that are bootstrapped.

I'd wonder if taking VC money five times, failing 4 times and building a large and growing company 1 time, isn't better than bootstrapping a small and profitable company just 1 time.

Re: Don't Take VC Funding – It Will Destroy Your Company

#253

Earlier quoted context omitted.

IIRC each time you raise a round, your chances of success go down by ~10x. Can't find a good cite offhand though.

Every time you raise a round, the outcome you're shooting for is magnified. If you're raising an A round, you're not getting acquired after your seed; you're rolling the dice on getting a much better outcome. If you're raising a B round, you've got some facsimile of product-market fit, and you've decided to take the company to the point where the only "successful" outcomes are denominated in hundreds of millions of d…

For down rounds the stats are probably much, much worse.

Re: Don't Take VC Funding – It Will Destroy Your Company

#254

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Want to explain? I doubt bank loans were that much easier for startups in times of low interest A higher risk free rate means risky investments like VC funds are less attractive.

but VC investment was at a high while interest rates were low, and we now see a contraction in venture investment now that interest rates are rising?

Yeah and what gets funded will change. Ultimately higher interest rates mean that time to profitability should decrease in order to make it an attractive investment.

Honestly though, VC is such a tiny, tiny percentage of the investment world that maybe this won't happen (but the vast majority of funds are gonna fail to return their capital as they were funded in a ZIRP world and need to invest in a world with higher interest rates).

Re: Don't Take VC Funding – It Will Destroy Your Company

#255
post #94

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As someone who's worked for tons of startups, it's not that binary. For loads of industries, there is simply no viable path without significant outside funding (whether from a VC or very rich founder), and even if you look at some of the most famous outliers (like Atlassian), I don't believe the path they took is even viable these days anymore. For example, if you're selling any sort of business SaaS product these da…

(1) SOC2 is somewhere between $10,000 and $20,000 if you do it cheap. (2) That's a dollar amount that most bootstrappers can swing. (3) Critically, you don't do SOC2 until you have a critical mass of purchases requiring it. (4) Many (most?) of your customers, especially your early customers, won't require it, and/or will have alternate paths for companies without a SOC2 attestation. (5) When you finally do hit the bi…

As a new self-funded founder, thank you for this.

Re: Don't Take VC Funding – It Will Destroy Your Company

#256

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Of course it is unusual. But no less unusual than building a successful company to begin with. What's normal is failure.

Failure is definitely the commonality. The BLS reports typically that 1/2 of all new businesses (in the US) will formally fail within five years. One can safely guess that at least half of those remaining are something between zombies and hanging on by a thread. 1/4 or fewer will make it 15 years or more. And of course it varies by sector, restaurants notoriously have an exceptionally high failure rate. For all busin…

Those figures also do not account for selling all of the company's property with some profit and closing it down; the equivalent of an acquihire for small and medium companies is counted as failure. Running it successfully for a couple of years and changing your mind is counted as a failure too.

I don't have a link on hand, but I've seen studies from people that counted how many business actually closed due to money problems. The actual rate of non-problem business after 5 years is close to 80%.

Re: Don't Take VC Funding – It Will Destroy Your Company

#257
post #183

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> But no less unusual than building a successful company to begin with. Statistically, companies that raise venture capital are vastly less likely to succeed than those that are bootstrapped. Think about it this way: from the perspective of VCs, the most successful apps of the iOS era were Uber and AirBnB. But from the perspective of entrepreneurs, the most successful app of the iOS era was the Flashlight app. Which…

> Statistically, companies that raise venture capital are vastly less likely to succeed than those that are bootstrapped. Any citation for this? I’m highly skeptical of this claim.

Maybe for some of them just getting the VC funding is success. Pay yourself enough, last long enough, make good contacts... And if it fails, start over with the extra experience and contacts, or join an existing startup at a high level. Failure doesn't seem to hurt the careers of executives that much.

Re: Don't Take VC Funding – It Will Destroy Your Company

#258

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I doubt bank loans were that much easier for startups in times of low interest Low interest rates doesn't mean loans are “easier” (this is going to depend on the risk policy of the specific bank, and is mostly unrelated to the interest rate), but it lowered the interest rate you'd pay for every loan no matter who you are (I personally bought a house with a .7% interest fixed mortgage in 2019, I didn't have to perso…

You're arguing with economics here... https://news.stanford.edu/2022/09/06/what-causes-inflation/ Inflation rises when the Federal Reserve sets too low of an interest rate or when the growth of money supply increases too rapidly – as we are seeing now, says Stanford economist John Taylor. I never said you needed central bank connections to get a home loan. To get infinite runway on unsecured risk is a very different…

> You're arguing with economics here...

No, I'm arguing against die-hard monetarists who still buy Friedman's bullshit 25 years after the Asian financial crisis and 15 years after the subprimes crisis. Japan has had more than two decade of low interests with no inflation, and the rest of the world had one decade with the same result, but as these people are cultists, they don't care about facts and they never did.

Inflation isn't a money problem, it's a supply problem coupled with a market power one. (Nor is inflation a “diminution of the value of money” either).

> To get infinite runway on unsecured risk is a very different area of privilege than secured home loans

This is goalpost moving.

Re: Don't Take VC Funding – It Will Destroy Your Company

#259
post #34

On the other hand, my first self-funded startup got destroyed by a VC funded venture. They had a worse product but far better marketing and they used every dirty trick in book to tarnish my company’s reputation. There is no way I’ll start another startup unless I receive backing from a huge VC company. Current economic paradigm is more similar to centralised/controlled economies of USSR. Thus if you want to succeed,…

I self-funded my startup to the tune of half a million dollars. I've had what I can only assume to be a VC-funded competitor study my endpoints for high latency / expensive queries, then saturate them with millions of requests a second across thousands of simultaneous IP addresses. Business is survival of the fittest. Pressures and growth gradients come in all shapes and sizes.

How did you mitigate the attack?

Re: Don't Take VC Funding – It Will Destroy Your Company

#260
> Companies which receive VC funding are not profitable.

This is absolutely false. Company may be at a stage where they are profitable, but lack the capital to establish themselves as undisputed market leader before competition catch up.

Banks only allow you to leverage so far, thus VC makes the most sense for truly scaling globally.

I'll skip all the other things in the article, but there are plenty truism like this to watch out.

Also it tries so hard to not be just an opinion piece, drawing for own experience, but sample size and none of the other details are never mentioned again.

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