> ShowHN posts almost never make the front page ( Based on other details of analysis, I believe this means 2% of front pages posts are ShowHN. Not that 98% of ShowHN posts fail to reach front page. But the author doubles down on this confusion with flawed methodology: > Second, and perhaps more importantly, the dataset doesn’t record the attempts made to get to the front page, i.e. all posts on Hacker News in a given…
For curiosity's sake I wanted to estimate the probability of getting to the front page with a show hn. The easy but terrible way is to just look at a few new show hn from yesterday and look at how many got more than 50 points. The answer ~4% (3/79). Please expect gigantic error bars. Links checked: 2/30 from https://news.ycombinator.com/shownew?next=36572237&n=61 1/30 from https://news.ycombinator.com/shownew?next=36…
Re: What gets to the front page of Hacker News?
#51This is the analysis I wanted to do, but for the entire group of categories would have been time prohibitive (it's easy for ShowHN because that is filterable). Interesting results here