Why has this sub been so hard to find? I keep seeing reports that they've search an area "the size of" Massachusetts or Connecticut. Shouldn't OceanGate have recorded the exact coordinates where it was released and then been able to localize its possible location to a small area around that by modeling ocean currents or something? My understanding the Titan was designed to sink to the bottom and could only move very…
This sounds a lot like https://xkcd.com/793/ - "and then add some secondary terms to account for ."
They lost contact 105 minutes into a 120 minute, 2.5 mile descent. The release point for that descent was well known, and currents estimated closely enough to allow the sub to descend close enough to the shipwreck that the submersible's thrusters could move it very slowly to viewing locations.
They don't know what happened to cause it to lose contact more than a quarter mile above the ocean floor. They didn't know whether it went neutrally buoyant at that point, whether it ascended quickly, or slowly, or stayed near the bottom of the ocean and continued looking at the Titanic and only later drifted off course - they've done that before. Those ocean currents, unknowns, and distances are large; merely pulling the release point from a GPS track does not suddenly make the search point tiny.