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First people sickened by Covid-19 were scientists at WIV: US government sources

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Re: First people sickened by Covid-19 were scientists at WIV: US government sources

#451
post #212

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It is peculiar that not many of these conspiracy theories eventually turn out to be true. See Twitter's own lawyers: https://edition.cnn.com/2023/06/06/tech/twitter-files-lawyer...

[flagged]

What is the Free Brittney conspiracy theory that the media kept denying yet turned out to be true?

Re: First people sickened by Covid-19 were scientists at WIV: US government sources

#452

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's weird how many smart people still haven't realized they are being lied to by the legacy media and establishment figures. Even after repeatedly discrediting themselves. Taibbi and Shellenberger aren't perfect either, but they are more reliable and honest. Taibbi is still the investigative journalist he's always been.

They say it is always easier to con intelligent people, because they don't think they are capable of being fooled.

This is fun to think about but I dont buy it.

All levels of aptitude/intelligence are equally likely to be conned because a con works by getting your emotions to turn your intelligence to the task of tricking you.

For example, by exciting your greed so much you come up with a justification for why an unusual circumstance is genuine.

Re: First people sickened by Covid-19 were scientists at WIV: US government sources

#453
post #225

I don't trust this article at all . > Sources within the US government say that three of the earliest people to become infected with SARS-CoV-2 were Ben Hu, Yu Ping, and Yan Zhu. All were members of the Wuhan lab suspected to have leaked the pandemic virus. > It is unclear who in the U.S. government had access to the intelligence about the sick WIV workers, how long they had it, and why it was not shared with the pub…

We have samples that pre-date the wuhan outbreak, so they are not among the earliest. Wuhan was only the first identified super spreader location. Here's one such study from Italy that found infections from as early as Sept 2019. https://www.news-medical.net/news/20220830/Italian-study-fin... original journal https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S001393512...

Re: First people sickened by Covid-19 were scientists at WIV: US government sources

#454
post #425

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The geoscientist in question is actually arguing that some of the flaws in the paper are due to the authors' lack of expertise in geospatial analysis.[1] [1] https://twitter.com/search?q=(from%3Adanwalker9999)%20expert...

that may be- I am not qualified to say after reading the twitter thread, but my money is still on the peer reviewed paper written by the virologist, based on a large collection of priors. Note taht the "geoscientist" is really a hydrologist who works on oil and gas, so their ability to comment on the centering model is still suspect. From what I can tell, "dawalker" is just a retired hydrologist with no special skill…

If you read the linked thread, you might actually be able to engage with the argument on its merits, without resorting to ad hominems and appeals to authority.

Re: First people sickened by Covid-19 were scientists at WIV: US government sources

#455
post #111

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Outbreaks can only happen in places of high density/congregation, by the nature of the required proximity. It could have been dancing around the perimeter for some time. Maybe my perspective is incorrect, but this seems trivially possible to me. This problem with proximity is why kids didn't go to school.

The wet market was one of the less densely trafficked areas of the city: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9348750/figure/... Check out the other figures in that paper. The epicenter was the wet market itself.

"Epicenter" does not mean "origin", by any definition of the word. The epicenter is a statistical thing, in this context, not an origin thing. The epicenter of COVID in the US was New York [1]. The origin of COVID was not New York. This is no different than the epicenter being the wet market, but the origin possibly being somewhere else.

"Epicenter: the part of the earth's surface directly above the focus of an earthquake"

It's all probability of intercept. Density and frequency are important. Relative-to-a-mall probably isn't super useful, in a city with 11 million.

[1] https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6946a2.htm

Re: First people sickened by Covid-19 were scientists at WIV: US government sources

#456
post #112

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This comment is laden with rhetoric, but, to address your point regardless: 'military arms' are widely available. The equipment and knowledge to perform advanced virology work is not. It's much simpler to restrict.

> This comment is laden with rhetoric Can you elaborate on why this was worth pointing out for the parent comment, but not GP?

[deleted]

Re: First people sickened by Covid-19 were scientists at WIV: US government sources

#458
post #344

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't think that we would have done anything differently if we knew that China was responsible. It wouldn't have changed our treatments or vaccination strategies or anything. Could it have made some people who are crazy against China feel differently? Maybe. I don't think it would have made the doofuses who took ivermectin act differently though.

> I don't think it would have made the doofuses who took ivermectin act differently though from NIH https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7539925/ "Ivermectin: an award-winning drug with expected antiviral activity against COVID-19... with demonstrated antiviral activity against a number of DNA and RNA viruses, including severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)" Whether or not ivermectin ul…

I just don't buy the international conspiracy to block ivermectin. I've considered it and discussed it with my poor father who became convinced by Fox News and endless Facebook forwarded postings. There are hundreds, perhaps thousands of drugs and substances that have an antiviral effect. Ivermectin was one that was tested and there were some early results that were positive but then later with more thorough testing it didn't appear as efficacious. There are plenty of other drugs that were also promoted as blocking COVID, that lupus drug. It became a conservative conspiratorial fantasy that there was a widespread governmental attempt to block them from using other things than coronavirus vaccines. My father went out and found alternative sources for these substances. Fortunately he never took any of them.

I do think knowing the actual source of COVID is good information to have.

Re: First people sickened by Covid-19 were scientists at WIV: US government sources

#459
post #302
post #162

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> How and why would they have that kind of data available if the virus only existed in the lab? At most they could have had computer simulations, but no real data. I'm not a virologist, but this doesn't make sense to me. If we work under the assumption that this was a lab-made virus that leaked, then they plainly must have actually created it. What's the point of having a real virus if you aren't using it to generate…

> If we work under the assumption that this was a lab-made virus that leaked, then they plainly must have actually created it. What's the point of having a real virus if you aren't using it to generate real data? Assuming experiments had been completed by then they'd have, what, some figures for how infectious it was in humanized mice. Maybe months down the line they'd've written a paper showing that this splice made…

Re: most of this: an actual virologist has responded and explained the data that would have typically been collected and how it would have helped.

To the last point though:

> They weren't working on that.

Says who? If they lied about accidentally releasing it, why wouldn’t they lie about what they were doing with it in the first place?

Re: First people sickened by Covid-19 were scientists at WIV: US government sources

#460
post #225

I don't trust this article at all . > Sources within the US government say that three of the earliest people to become infected with SARS-CoV-2 were Ben Hu, Yu Ping, and Yan Zhu. All were members of the Wuhan lab suspected to have leaked the pandemic virus. > It is unclear who in the U.S. government had access to the intelligence about the sick WIV workers, how long they had it, and why it was not shared with the pub…

We have samples that pre-date the wuhan outbreak, so they are not among the earliest. Wuhan was only the first identified super spreader location. Here's one such study from Italy that found infections from as early as Sept 2019. https://www.news-medical.net/news/20220830/Italian-study-fin... original journal https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S001393512...

I think, there were similar samples from Barcelona, as well.
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