The pandemic really got the activity going during 2020 (first bar chart), but maybe not so surprising with everyone pivoting to remote work. And obviously all discssusions about vaccines and how different government were handling things.
Track HN: Survival Rate of Show HN Stories
11–20 of 75 posts
Re: Track HN: Survival Rate of Show HN Stories
#12Great visualisation. I was quite surprised that the submission dates and times appeared unimodal around an American morning peak.
Using a stacked barchart for dead vs alive isn't a great choice in my mind. Normalize to 100% please.
Re: Track HN: Survival Rate of Show HN Stories
#13I'm happy to say that the reports of my death here are greatly exaggerated :)
I'm the owner of both #4 and #140 on the Top-scoring Show HN Stories that Didn’t Survive... but both are very much alive!
#4 StackSort was a Github.com page, but on 2021 they made it so only Github.io wroks. If dang sees this, I'd really appreciate if you could change the URL for https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=5395463 to use github.io!
#140 ReadMe has the same io/com issue, in the opposite direction! we redirect readme.io to readme.com now, which seems to be why it's flagged.
Re: Track HN: Survival Rate of Show HN Stories
#14Regarding database hosting, if you would consider giving the data away, I would suggest converting it to an SQLite database and sharing it over Torrent.
I second this. You've done a great service to collect this data. I'm guessing the file must be much smaller than 20GB when compressed.
Re: Track HN: Survival Rate of Show HN Stories
#15I know you mention there are lots of reasons for false positives and negatives, but does your methodology account for length of time at all? Meaning, if a project was posted to HN in 2009, it could have been successful for 14 years and then closed down, or just changed URLs somewhere along the way, and in that case it would be counted as a failure even though it wasn't. Likewise, if it was posted in May, 2023 and is still around, that doesn't mean much because it's still flying the Grand Opening banner, practically.
Re: Track HN: Survival Rate of Show HN Stories
#16I'd love to get some correlation with rank, or even filtering of lower scoring posts.
From what I know, HN posts are often used as a signal for viability of a project. In that case, you can't make a conclusion on the effectiveness of Show HN posts, because some of them will die off by design.
Re: Track HN: Survival Rate of Show HN Stories
#17[deleted]
Re: Track HN: Survival Rate of Show HN Stories
#18No affiliation, but the second to top deceased site is still alive and kicking [0] Spot checking the top results might give a better estimate for how many are actually alive vs. just using bot protection. [0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35543668
It just errors out right now. How can we differentiate: always errors out vs dead?
Re: Track HN: Survival Rate of Show HN Stories
#19No affiliation, but the second to top deceased site is still alive and kicking [0] Spot checking the top results might give a better estimate for how many are actually alive vs. just using bot protection. [0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35543668
It just errors out right now. How can we differentiate: always errors out vs dead?
Vercel (and AWS) are down right now, hence the error.
Re: Track HN: Survival Rate of Show HN Stories
#20You're telling me substack.com doesn't even make the top 100?