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Inside the Wuhan lab weeks before Covid

thetimes.co.uk

871–880 of 1001 posts

Re: Inside the Wuhan lab weeks before Covid

#871
post #830
post #505

Earlier quoted context omitted.

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You posted 68 (!) comments in this thread, most of which were either unsubstantive (like this one), or flamebait, or both. That's not what this site is for, and destroys what it is for. We have to ban accounts that post like this, so please don't do it again. The idea here is: if you have a substantive point, make it thoughtfully; if not, please don't comment until you do. And please review https://news.ycombinator.c…

I just don't like it when conspiracy theories are featured for days on the front page to be perfectly honest. That's not news for nerds, and it feel likes the community wants that flamebait if they keep promoting and engaging things that are simply not based in fact.

> Please don't use Hacker News for political or ideological battle. That tramples curiosity.

This is every single post in this thread in my opinion, so when I see it, I feel compelled to respond.

I also don't think that most were unsubstantiated, most were pointing out the logical fallacies and lack of facts of posts, or other things like people accusing me of being pro china simply because I think this is all unknowable.

Sorry to keep editing. Additionally, this thread started late at night, and while many reasonable comments with great exhaustive expressions of my same opinion did get posted by calmer people, before that happened, it was a lot of conspiracy pile on. My opinion was that thinking a leak did happen wasn't some kind of conservative gotcha they think it is, and that maybe didn't happen isn't some kind of leftist thing or whatever the problem is with it not being a leak. Not enough people talk about just doing something about the ongoing world crisis and instead want to frame it in ways that are politically advantageous, and you see it the vast majority of comments I replied to, this mindset that someone must be blamed, and then people who are ashamed of that claim they really just want to find out the truth, but the people who know anything about epidemiology really wonder what use that would be at this point. This is the majority of my comments here and this feels pretty substantive, and the real discussion that people elsewhere are having on this topic.

So, I also felt like I wasn't doing anything wrong here. I could've just down voted but people also say you shouldn't just downvote if you disagree?

Re: Inside the Wuhan lab weeks before Covid

#872
post #285

Too bad the article is from a UK equivalent to the National Inquirer...

Nonsense. The Times is one of the main UK publications along with the Guardian and The Telegraph.

It is a News Corp owned site that panders to conservatives.

Re: Inside the Wuhan lab weeks before Covid

#873

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Very sorry about your Dad, but you have no evidence vaccination was related to his ALS. Hundred of millions of people were vaccinated in short period of time, and there is obviously a group of people who were always going to develop ALS within that time frame. Given the large n of the first group, overlap was inevitable. Temporal proximity doesn't establish causation when there's an overlap.

There is tentative evidence that COVID vaccines may rarely trigger onset of ALS in susceptible individuals - https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10035647/ It is possible you are right and it was just a coincidence - but it is also possible that the vaccine was the trigger for ALS to develop. We don’t have enough evidence yet to confidently say

Based on all available evidence, it is probable I am right. We have no evidence of increased rate of incidence of ALS, which you would expect to see given how many people were vaccinated.

You linked to a single case report. It does not establish any type of causal link at all. That single person was most likely going to develop ALS at the time whether he had been vaccinated or not.

Re: Inside the Wuhan lab weeks before Covid

#874

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Very sorry about your Dad, but you have no evidence vaccination was related to his ALS. Hundred of millions of people were vaccinated in short period of time, and there is obviously a group of people who were always going to develop ALS within that time frame. Given the large n of the first group, overlap was inevitable. Temporal proximity doesn't establish causation when there's an overlap.

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Re: Inside the Wuhan lab weeks before Covid

#875

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> For major militaries, there's no point in using them, which is why the "big" military powers have all signed up to the anti-chemical weapons and anti-biological weapons treaties If chemical and biological weapons aren't useful, why does one need a treaty to ban them? Makes one wonder? Is there are treaty to ban feathers as weapons? The fact that there is an anti-biological weapons treaty is proof enough that countr…

Your attempts at "gotchas" here are unpersuasive. If the point of treaties is to be broken, why bother signing up to them in the first place? Perhaps more interestingly, why would a country sign up to some treaties banning weapons but not others, if its intent were to use all those weapons? Yes, countries can break treaties. But there is a real cost to doing so. The point of treaties (especially the anti-war treaties…

> Your attempts at "gotchas" here are unpersuasive.

It's not gotchas. It's just history and reasoning. Logic. It's persuasive to people who are willing to think. But no amount of reason will convince someone with an agenda.

> If the point of treaties is to be broken, why bother signing up to them in the first place?

As your buddy godelski pointed out, governments do things for optics, political grandstanding, etc. Why did germany and the soviet union sign the nonaggression treaty? Also to appease the naive masses who believe in fairy tales. So that naive people can say nobody is working on chemical or biological weapons since a treaty says so. See, this nonaggression treaty is proof germany and the soviet union will never attack each other. Genius logic.

> The first arms control treaty was the Washington Naval Treaty, which was signed when most countries were literally unable to find the resources to keep up with the naval arms race and proposed by the one country that could.

No. It was proposed by the one country that had isolationist political pressure against naval buildup due to our history and founding fathers warning against standing armies. It was proposed by the one country to kneecap british attempts to enforce navy limits. Also, the Washington Naval Treaty was a complete failure? It set the stage for japan to build more resentment which led to ww2.

> not least of which is the lack of its use in conflicts after WWI, even in existential state conflicts like WWII or the Arab-Israel wars.

Chemical weapons were used in iraq-iran war. In the syrian war just a few years ago.

> The same reason why we have laws against murder.

There are laws against murder because murder exists. People murder. So the treaty against chemical weapons must exist because chemical weapons exist?

It would be great if chemical, biological, etc weapons are never used. But you'd have to be absolutely naive to think that every major nation isn't working on chemical or biological weapons. It's like all the naive people who claimed that government agencies stopped collecting our data after getting caught in the 70s. Of course they didn't stop collecting data. They increased the gathering of data.

I live in a country where biological weapons wiped out a significant portion of the native population. Do you think such a country is working on biological weapons? If one major country is, then so is every major nation around the world.

The real world isn't an utopian fairy tale. No matter how much one wishes it were. But it's a free country. Believe whatever you want.

Re: Inside the Wuhan lab weeks before Covid

#876

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> No, they are. Okay good, I'm glad we are agreed. > Some yes, some no. If some are, then "everyone" has to, especially major powers. Just think about it. > This is a lot of what jcranmer is pointing to. I debunked what he wrote. > the Russian strategy What's that? > Though this is more easily done in an authoritative country. No. It's done more easily in a democracy. An authoritative country never developed nuked an…

> If some are, then "everyone" has to Very clearly false dilemma. > I debunked what he wrote. That's a strong word for what you wrote. > What's that? I'd link it to you, but you said you don't want to read "silly blogs". So I'm not sure how I can communicate anything to you. I don't feel like it'd help. I think we're done here.

> Very clearly false dilemma.

No. It's game theory. It's geopolitics. It's why russia, britain, france and china developed nukes. It's why india and pakistan developed it.

> That's a strong word for what you wrote.

Not strong or weak. Just reality.

> I'd link it to you, but you said you don't want to read "silly blogs".

No. What I actually wrote: "The ability to think is a far greater tool than reading silly blogs. Take it from someone who has read too many silly blogs and watch too many silly youtube videos."

What do you think "take it from someone who has read too many silly blogs" means? You aren't going to link to anything I don't already know.

As I said, wishing there was no biological weapons is a noble thought. But believing nobody is working on biological weapons is naive. No serious rational intelligent person could believe it. But like I said, maybe life has made me too cynical.

Hey chief, these white men aren't going to take any more of our land. Here's the treaty we signed with them proving that. Hey stalin, germany isn't going to attack us. Look at this non-aggression pact we sign with them.

Re: Inside the Wuhan lab weeks before Covid

#877
post #672

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think you overstate how much the lab leak and the bioweapon stories were being conflated. I recall that most people were able to distinguish between them, and that the most prominent figures raising red flags about a potential leak weren't talking about bioweapons. In any case, the most alarming aspect of the lab leak hypothesis is that gain-of-function research is STILL being done, and that the same thing could ha…

There was a lot of conflation, but it was almost entirely from the people attempting to debunk it, using the bioweapon one to claim no leak could happen. It was like they just couldn't understand those were two different things no matter how much people said "no, that's not what I'm saying".

Or like they were pretending that they couldn’t understand.

Re: Inside the Wuhan lab weeks before Covid

#878

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> the most alarming aspect of the lab leak hypothesis is that gain-of-function research is STILL being done, and that the same thing could happen AGAIN. This right here is an example of why we can’t have reasoned discussion around the topic. You can explain one of the many reasons why gain of function research is necessary: anticipating next year’s version of the flu, designing drugs and vaccines such that resistance…

> You can explain one of the many reasons why gain of function research is necessary: anticipating next year’s version of the flu, designing drugs and vaccines such that resistance mutations reduce evolutionary fitness A few problems with this. First modifying wild animal viruses to be infectious towards humans is different than modifying human viruses to model potential mutations. Modifying animal viruses to be infe…

I frankly can't think of a more dangerous thing humanity can be doing than gain of function research.

Especially if done near population centers.

Re: Inside the Wuhan lab weeks before Covid

#879

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> If some are, then "everyone" has to Very clearly false dilemma. > I debunked what he wrote. That's a strong word for what you wrote. > What's that? I'd link it to you, but you said you don't want to read "silly blogs". So I'm not sure how I can communicate anything to you. I don't feel like it'd help. I think we're done here.

> Very clearly false dilemma. No. It's game theory. It's geopolitics. It's why russia, britain, france and china developed nukes. It's why india and pakistan developed it. > That's a strong word for what you wrote. Not strong or weak. Just reality. > I'd link it to you, but you said you don't want to read "silly blogs". No. What I actually wrote: "The ability to think is a far greater tool than reading silly blogs. T…

> You aren't going to link to anything I don't already know.

>> no amount of reason will convince someone with an agenda.

You're exactly right. You already know.

Re: Inside the Wuhan lab weeks before Covid

#880

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I hope other readers will note that, in response to the above user’s account of sinophobia in the US, the comments here on HN have overwhelmingly attempted to invalidate those experiences. Responses have ranged from outright hostility to gaslighting behavior, even an attempt to deflect the discussion onto Black Americans despite the original comment mentioning no race other than Asian or Chinese. The above commenter’…

The comments rightly ask for clarification: did the user witness or experience discrimination or bias, or is the user equating criticisms of China with criticisms of individuals of Chinese descent. If the above user doesn't make that distinction, then it does invalidate the user's observations. Criticisms of the Cuban government are absolutely independent of criticisms of individual Cubans like myself. If another Cub…

The point of using the term “sinophobia” rather than simply “prejudice” is that no, it does seem that some subset of people are uniquely unable to “criticize” PRC policy without injecting some trope about mainland Chinese people and culture. In fact, the point is to repeat the stereotype as if it were fact. The policy (whether it exists or not) is just an excuse.

For that matter, sincere requests for clarification are not immediately followed by attempts to dismiss the underlying concern as invalid. This inherently makes the request insincere.

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