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The concurrence of three climatic events

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301–310 of 408 posts

Re: The concurrence of three climatic events

#301
post #151

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Solving climate change doesn’t require dramatic long term changes to the cost of energy. Economically it’s mostly a question of sunk costs as our infrastructure is built around fossil fuels. However, infrastructure has a finite lifespan meaning gradually changing things is vastly less expensive, though you do need to actually start changing things. Thus ideas like increasing carbon taxation so economies optimize for…

Carbon taxes are unpopular because you are literally pulling future damage done to the economy, which cannot be observed, only predicted, and making people pay for it today, when the harm hasn't arrived yet. People think that this is pointless or even harmful because they don't like paying for things and expect others to bear the costs. I have no idea how to fix it. Even when you tell people about it, they will disag…

That’s why you want escalation in carbon taxation. The ideal situation is nobody is paying the tax because they have swapped to something else.

The point is to convince people building infrastructure to build something else because their giant fossil fuel investments wouldn’t be economically viable where green solutions would be.

Re: The concurrence of three climatic events

#302

Earlier quoted context omitted.

try discussing the ideas and data, not the guy

We should do both. Gates has outsized personal influence and resources, he's not some quirky hermit that publishes startling pamphlets but is otherwise separate from the world. It's rational to consider whether and where his personal interests coincide with his policy proposals.

who

Re: The concurrence of three climatic events

#303
post #28

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We've got 40 years of data on Antarctic sea ice, and over the last 4 decades it's been growing, not retreating. [1] [1] https://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index

The trends section in that graph shows all sections of ice in decreasing trends, what the hell are you on about

Only if you're looking at the Arctic, not the Antarctic.

Re: The concurrence of three climatic events

#304

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why does converting units for convenience nullify a scientific hypothesis? Please explain.

Who said it was nullifying the scientific hypothesis? On the contrary, it strengthens it significantly. I suggest he further strengthens his science by converting carbon emissions to Auschwitz' per minute, so that the everyday Joe gets a better grip on the numbers.

avoiding the question and argumentum ad absurdum isn’t an answer.

Re: The concurrence of three climatic events

#305
post #303

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The trends section in that graph shows all sections of ice in decreasing trends, what the hell are you on about

Only if you're looking at the Arctic, not the Antarctic.

Everyone knows it’s only real science if you shrink your scope until data fit your narrative.

Re: The concurrence of three climatic events

#306

A lot of comments deriding this article as alarmist. Excuse me if I'm incorrect in saying so, but even the data seems to tell me that alarmism is where we are at: This articles data. Incredible floods in Pakistan. Heat domes over the PNW. Fires in Australia, Canada, California. And now a warming event in the North Atlantic unlike any other. All of that and this is likely to be one of the coolest summers for the remai…

What kind of action do you have in mind?

Re: The concurrence of three climatic events

#307

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's about 5⁰C cooler here today than yesterday. Crisis averted . What I am trying to say is you cannot use specific weather events to talk about climate. And of course once you go into statistics, you will lose 55.3% of your persuasiveness.

Weather events, by themselves, are just individual data points. But once you start looking at the big picture, it's difficult to not notice patterns. And said patterns are extremely alarming.

Climate is the conditions you expect and weather is the conditions you actually got. Always helps me to remember this.

Re: The concurrence of three climatic events

#308

As this post hints at in the discussion of sulfur emissions at sea, all it takes to significantly slow global warming is one country or sufficiently motivated non-state actor deciding to go all-in on geoengineering (like seeding the stratosphere with sulfur dioxides). Compare this to the collective action problem of everyone, including rapidly industrializing poorer countries, spending trillions to decarbonize their…

Every time humans try and fix nature, we tend to make it worse due to not understanding the problem or consequences.

I don't know, the rural poor in America used to all get malaria and intestinal parasites, and now they don't anymore. And it's rare now to lose a child to disease, where it used to be normal. Our current rosy view of nature is skewed by the fact that so many generations of people worked to rid ourselves of its worst shortcomings, and largely succeeded.

Re: The concurrence of three climatic events

#309

As this post hints at in the discussion of sulfur emissions at sea, all it takes to significantly slow global warming is one country or sufficiently motivated non-state actor deciding to go all-in on geoengineering (like seeding the stratosphere with sulfur dioxides). Compare this to the collective action problem of everyone, including rapidly industrializing poorer countries, spending trillions to decarbonize their…

You do realize that even if it might work, and even if there weren't any other side effects like acid rain, this would essentially make every piece of sky on every day hazy. We'd essentially trade the very concept of "blue sky" for a livable temperature. Kinda hard to put a price on that for me. Maybe I'd prefer living with genuinely less comfort but blue skies.

You can get a lot of darkening without perceptible effect on the sky, and as a bonus you get amazing sunsets. This happens naturally every time there's a major volcanic eruption; this would just be hurrying the process along a bit.

Re: The concurrence of three climatic events

#310

A lot of comments deriding this article as alarmist. Excuse me if I'm incorrect in saying so, but even the data seems to tell me that alarmism is where we are at: This articles data. Incredible floods in Pakistan. Heat domes over the PNW. Fires in Australia, Canada, California. And now a warming event in the North Atlantic unlike any other. All of that and this is likely to be one of the coolest summers for the remai…

What kind of action do you have in mind?

Maybe actually meeting the Paris climate commitments to start...
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