Earlier quoted context omitted.
> It works well for sending money across the world What is “well” here? Using Wise or similar almost always ends up cheaper and faster when you factor in the need to go to/from fiat, and the chances that you’ll fat-finger the transfer and lose your money, get difficult questions from your bank, or that Wise will collapse with your balance are much reduced as compared to using crypto for this. If you’re trying to evad…
How many times has the Bitcoin network collapsed?
Proposed SEC order to freeze, repatriate Binance.US assets
581–590 of 598 posts
Re: Proposed SEC order to freeze, repatriate Binance.US assets
#582Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Anything, really. I tried to bring my bitcoin to the grocery store to buy some brownie mix and cheese slices but they wouldn't take any coins from my Trezor.
But this is the more nuanced argument: https://twitter.com/BitcoinPierre/status/1666865701330595840
Re: Proposed SEC order to freeze, repatriate Binance.US assets
#583Earlier quoted context omitted.
That should be the top comment! The US is not (anymore?) the center of the world attention. In a way, it's just that more countries "open their eyes" on the impact the US has on many countries. For instance, the US is an "ally" of France, but does a lot of damage to the French economy, on purpose.
> For instance, the US is an "ally" of France, but does a lot of damage to the French economy, on purpose. Please provide examples for more self-directed research?
Re: Proposed SEC order to freeze, repatriate Binance.US assets
#584Earlier quoted context omitted.
Honestly, they probably are making more money being the market leader than trying to steal money.
That's what everyone thought about FTX too. "Why wouldn't they be legit, they're hanging out with members of Congress and obviously making a lot of money."
Re: Proposed SEC order to freeze, repatriate Binance.US assets
#585Earlier quoted context omitted.
> the data is in the paper I linked. 75% of bitcoin volume is speculation. > Sure. And there's plenty of non-speculative activity outside of those entities as well. The paper explicitly looks at on-chain activity only. You claimed that 75% of bitcoin volume was speculation. There is nothing in the paper to support this claim. I'm not arguing that there is 0 non-speculative activity, I'm saying that it is significantl…
> There is nothing in the paper to support this claim The paper literally says, "75% of the real bitcoin volume has been linked to exchanges or exchange-like entities" You may think the source isn't perfect, but at least I'm bringing some objective data to the conversation. If you disagree, please show me some data of your own instead of just repeating your preconceived bias (which I'm aware of already) I repeat: If…
Which is an entirely different metric than the % of bitcoin volume that's speculation. If I link a paper that says "1% of squirrels are albino", and I claim that it says that 1% of bitcoin trading is speculative, then I'm not "bringing objective data to the conversation"... I'm just lying
My original comment was
What do you think the ratio of speculation and illegal activity to legitimate use cases is? I'd be willing to be it's greater than 10:1, maybe even 100:1
You responded by lying and trying to shut down any actual data-driven discussion
> You don't have to bet, the data is in the paper I linked. 75% of bitcoin volume is speculation.
And then you have the audacity to ask for a source on the claim that "currency speculators make up a tiny portion of the real-world economy"? How many people do you know who are participants in the real world economy (should be literally everyone you've ever met), and how many of them are FX speculators?
Now compare that to crypto, where the entire marketing apparatus is built not upon its current value proposition but instead the idea that value will go up.
Why would I spend my time digging up data to quantify things are incredibly obvious from observation, when you're willing to lie and make up facts to support your narrative?
Re: Proposed SEC order to freeze, repatriate Binance.US assets
#586Earlier quoted context omitted.
Steam but where you actually own, and so can resell, your game licenses. And where other supply-side companies can take over providing the game-download-delivery logistics if the original company providing that service goes belly-up. Or: Pokemon, but you can trade the pokemon outside the game itself; and the game can prove that your competitive mon were authentically caught and raised, rather than hacked in, because…
> Steam but where you actually own, and so can resell, your game licenses. This is already possible and always has been. The reason steam and the game studios haven’t implemented it is because it wasn’t in their interest to do so, not because they didn’t have the technology to.
The point of putting a blockchain in the middle is that the immutability of the smart contract underlying the tokenized asset guarantees that you still own the thing even if the person who sold it to you disagrees, and the person running the show backs them up†. Which is not true in the by-fiat system.
To put that in terms of non-digital assets: a country that issues a fiat currency, can declare at any point that some asset token they've issued is "no longer legal tender." Canada did it with pennies a while back. But they can't declare by fiat that a commodity has no value. Commodity values can be manipulated (see: oil prices), but they can't simply "make it go away" by withdrawing their backing from it. A commodity has inherent value, whether or not it's backed.
(How would that work, in this case? You'd need 1. IP ownership [or at least sub-licensable use] rights sold to a legal trust, 2. where that legal trust's beneficiary is a DAO; 3. where that DAO declares in its immutable articles of incorporation that non-fungible tokens issued by smart contract X represent transferrable sub-licenses of its acquired IP license; and where 4. smart contract X is immutable.)
If you've got all four of those properties satisfied, then what you've created is less like a fiat currency, and more like a commodity. The IP owner cannot revoke selling a sub-licenseable IP license to the DAO, any more than you can revoke selling your house to someone. The DAO has no path to change the rule by which it allocates IP rights through the token. And the token itself can't be tampered with to change who owns it. The only place you could affect this system would be at the level of getting the government that issued the original IP license, to declare it void. (But why would they do that? The US government didn't do it for Tolkien's dumb sale of sub-licenseable IP-rights to LOTR in the 1970s, and that was pretty much the case where you'd expect big-Hollywood lobbying to win out over the public good.)
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† Yes, technically, you can also create this guarantee just using the regular legal system, without involving blockchains — you'd issue individual IP licensing "deed" contracts to each primary-market buyer, such that they can prove they own the rights; and players could then resell these "deeds" to each-other with a notarized and registered document of sale, similar to land title transfer, so that you can prove that a given "deed" is legitimately acquired rather than stolen or forged. But that's extremely impractical — the costs of the overhead of the transfer process far outweigh the costs of the goods being transferred! In this sense, a blockchain is just a way to make this process scale for lower-value items, by making the whole "notarized transfer-of-sale ledger" into just some (digitally-signed) bits, such that people can transfer each-other IP rights — and other low-value "deedable" things — from an app on their phone, at the cost of maybe a dollar for "notarization and registration" by the chain's validators.
Re: Proposed SEC order to freeze, repatriate Binance.US assets
#587Earlier quoted context omitted.
(1) The sole reason Bitcoin exists is because all governments decide inflate the money supply by printing, and in doing so, they knowingly devalued the efforts and work of everyone who saved their money or relied on fixed income like a pension. (2) Just this May the USA decided to add 1.5 trillions of inflation on top of the already high levels of inflation people are already experiencing. And I can guarantee that th…
(1) agreed this is why it was created (2) not sure what you mean by 1.5 trillions of inflation , but your point seems to be that inflation is bad. I disagree. High inflation is for sure bad, but zero inflation is also bad. Capital needs to be put to work, inflation forces people with capital to use it (productively) or lose it. (3) I don't agree that bitcoin has "way over succeeded", seems like an opinion and not a f…
Re: Proposed SEC order to freeze, repatriate Binance.US assets
#588Earlier quoted context omitted.
> There is nothing in the paper to support this claim The paper literally says, "75% of the real bitcoin volume has been linked to exchanges or exchange-like entities" You may think the source isn't perfect, but at least I'm bringing some objective data to the conversation. If you disagree, please show me some data of your own instead of just repeating your preconceived bias (which I'm aware of already) I repeat: If…
> The paper literally says, "75% of the real bitcoin volume has been linked to exchanges or exchange-like entities" Which is an entirely different metric than the % of bitcoin volume that's speculation. If I link a paper that says "1% of squirrels are albino", and I claim that it says that 1% of bitcoin trading is speculative, then I'm not "bringing objective data to the conversation"... I'm just lying My original co…
Of course not. If you disagree, at least try to present a coherent argument instead of just talking about squirrels. What entities do you think are missing from the list: exchanges or exchange-like entities such as on-line wallets, OTC desks, and large institutional traders
That might be overcounting even, since online wallets have nothing to do with speculation. So I'll correct myself: speculation is at most 75%, definitely a bit less.
> trying to shut down any actual data-driven discussion
I responded with exactly the data you asked for, just read it again :) If you need me to do the math for you:
75% speculation (at most) + 3% crime = 78%. 100% - 78% = 22%. 0.78:0.22 = 3.55:1 (at most)
> And then you have the audacity to ask for a source
Yes I do, since all data presented so far disagrees with your unsourced (though very strongly held) opinion.
Here's one example of how reality may be counterintuitive: High-frequency traders can make thousands of trades per second. How many people do you know who receive thousands of paychecks per second? From that alone it's plausible, obvious even, that forex speculation volume is substantially higher.
What's obvious to you isn't obvious to everyone else. That's why, in order to build a larger society, we need to set aside our biases and look at objective data in order to make informed decisions.
> Now compare that to crypto, where the entire marketing apparatus is built not upon its current value proposition but instead the idea that value will go up.
That doesn't sound too different from all modern investing. The stock market is also fueled by the illusion of the possibility infinite exponential growth. Bogleheads don't care about index funds' current value proposition. The grocery store won't accept your VTSAX as payment for a gallon of milk. You're just hoping that later you can sell your VTSAX to a greater fool.
Maybe the problem is you take everything the "marketing apparatus" says at face value? If one day you saw a TV advert for a pill that didn't work, would you also decide the entire medical industry is a scam?
> Why would I spend my time digging up data to quantify things are incredibly obvious from observation
Reality can be counterintuitive. It was once incredibly obvious that the earth was the center of the universe. Why should I spend my time digging up data when it's incredibly obvious from observation that the sun revolves around the earth?
HN is a place to engage with our curiosity, rise above anecdata, get out of our limited personal bubbles, and maybe even learn a thing or two along the way! Your immediate personal experience is not the objective reality for everyone on the planet. If you're just here to think with your emotions, ignore data, and rant about how much you hate change, you might feel more at home on Facebook or Twitter.
> when you're willing to lie and make up facts to support your narrative?
Source?
Re: Proposed SEC order to freeze, repatriate Binance.US assets
#589Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Bitcoin is not a security What makes you say that?
Security in the US is defined by the Howey test, and other jurisprudence. Bitcoin does not meet the definition any more than collectible trading cards do. Any crypto that imply some kind of stake or ownership of something that exists outside of that instrument are securities. This includes all stablecoins, all defi, and probably plenty of other things I don't even know about. But pure currencies that are backed by no…
Not to suggest that I'm speaking in favor of them, due to bad security properties, I wouldn't... and not to say that they don't run afoul of non-SEC rules... I'm just not aware of the rationale that they're securities.
Re: Proposed SEC order to freeze, repatriate Binance.US assets
#590Bitcoin solves this. Sorry I just had to. I think crypto as an investable asset class is finished. SEC is sending a very clear signal here. It’s entirely the community’s fault for failing to properly manage this space. They actually earned public’s trust (sometime during the pandemic). And then they threw it all away for a few bucks.
>>Bitcoin solves this. Bitcoin also loves this. Lots of people will use the coming fall to make money shorting this. Then eventually as BTC stabilises they will make money going long as well. In short a lot of BTC doomers will celebrate, and BTC mooners will celebrate as well. Except for different reasons.