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California spent $17B on homelessness – it’s not working

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Re: California spent $17B on homelessness – it’s not working

#941
post #837

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Demand would go way down if the government would stop favoring real estate investment with ridiculous tax incentives. Mortgage interest deduction 30 year fixed rate mortgage Opportunity zones 1031 exchanges Deprecation deduction The list goes on forever and none of it helps

The mortgage tax deduction is basically dead for most of us since Trump’s tax reform that raised the standard deduction way above what most people would get from tax deductible interest. At least until 2025, unless something changes.

> basically dead.

It should be properly dead.

Re: California spent $17B on homelessness – it’s not working

#942

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The Democratic party, especially at the local and state level, is almost always dominated by conservatives. Every election with low turnout skews conservative, and local elections frequently have <10% turnout.

"State lawmakers also approved SB107, a bill designed to protect out-of-state transgender children and their families from civil and criminal penalties when seeking gender-affirming care."[0] The bill passed the assembly with 60 ayes and 19 nays. It passed the senate with 30 ayes and 9 nays.[1] They also passed anti-firearm legislation to allow private citizens to sue gunmakers.[0] It passed with 52 ayes/21 nays in t…

In the sense that they do not railroad cities and completely invalidate density-based zoning whose only historical basis is the exclusion of minorities from white neighborhoods.

Re: California spent $17B on homelessness – it’s not working

#944
Of course it doesn't work. Homelessness is caused almost entirely by cultural factors that are getting worse. Therefore, homelessness has been and will continue to get worse.

Stop comparing the United States to small European States. The dynamics of low population largely homogeneous States and a completely multicultural State with over three hundred million people are not comparable. The problem and its solutions can not be and will not be the same.

Re: California spent $17B on homelessness – it’s not working

#945

the key to solving homelessness is not affordable housing, regulation or vast amounts of spending or even UBI. The answer is UBL ==> Universal basic Land. It's the idea that every person should have some means of having some land and being allowed to build on it. maybe not in downtown, maybe not any specific area, but at least somewhere. you can't just tell people to whole up in a homeless shelter. I found out that t…

And how do you suppose that land is chosen? Can I sell it?

Re: California spent $17B on homelessness – it’s not working

#946

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It takes a huge effort to sober up and it is almost never a voluntary action. Having experienced drug addiction, even with a strong support system of relatives and friends rallying around you with love but also holding you accountable for your recovery and dragging your arse to therapy three times a week, making sure you stick to the program and take your medications, with all that it is still very hard to get out, p…

That’s a solution to drug addiction. Homelessness is not coterminous with drug addiction. You can be a drug addict with a home quite easily. It’s hard to be homeless and not use drugs or drink. You have numerous incentives to use and almost no incentives not to.

> You have numerous incentives to use

What are those incentives? Asking as someone who never felt any desire to use. (Also never been to SF or US for that matter.)

> almost no incentives not to

Isn’t money a pretty big incentive?

Re: California spent $17B on homelessness – it’s not working

#947

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Large corporations don't actually own many homes. It is true that they started buying them during covid, but that is mostly because they realized they are extremely good investments due zoning making it hard to build them. In order for housing to be affordable it can't be an investment. It needs to maintain its real value over time, meaning the wage to price ratio remains constant. If housing wasn't a good investment…

Wow thanks everyone for the replies! I hear you on homes but housing overall - apartments included should not be owned by corporations for investment purposes imho. Rough stats I’ve seen are 25% of homes are now owned by institutional investors. And 44% of CA residents are renters. Having a quarter of the inventory taken off the market means the prices are going to go up. Land is expensive. We can build more. We can…

> I hear you on homes but housing overall - apartments included should not be owned by corporations for investment purposes imho.

A single apartment building (or complex) might have around a hundred tenants and a handful of employees. That's a large enough operation that it's straight up irresponsible not to set up an LLC or corporation for it.

Re: California spent $17B on homelessness – it’s not working

#948
post #866

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not bold at all since everyone but the super rich struggles with housing there, worse than any other state.

They do. But the people on the street would have trouble affording rent anywhere in the nation. SF has a very mild climate, and lots of social services, so it’s relatively better than other places to live outside. Like, why be homeless in low rent Houston when you can easily hop a bus to LA, SF, or Seattle?

Yes, but for the vast majority that don't want to remain homeless, even if you give them free housing and they find jobs, they still can't afford an apartment in california. Are they supposed to move back to "houston" and find another job? No way! So how can they escape homelessness? Some might hustle their way into actually affording a place in cali but that takes a lot of will power and overcoming a lot of things that can have them back on the streets.

Meanwhile, there are many people in cali that get free housing but are stuck as meth addicts or something because why not? And a lot of people born in cali also lose their housing status. If it was realistic to get housing by simply finding a job and working hard, free housing can be made to work, but that isn't reality unless you make six figures. Look at rental ads in LA, I was shocked to see what is the price of an expensive apartment in most other cities, in LA that gets you a bed, not even a room, just a bed.

Re: California spent $17B on homelessness – it’s not working

#949
post #928
post #769

Earlier quoted context omitted.

False. I want more units. There is a demand and I want to meet that demand for money. I want to buy land that people can't afford and subdivide it to make it available to them. Win win. Single family home owners are the people who oppose density with their entire being. I hear them cry about traffic, parking, their view, noise, about their neighborhood's character. That regime is the problem. If it is profitable I wi…

False The fastest rate of home building was in New York during the 1950s. The strictest rent controls were in New York in the 1950s. The slowest is today when rent controls are weakest . It's not that it doesn't have an effect, but it is small and is absolutely overwhelmed by the lowering of property taxes. When property taxes are low, even the shittiest units making the most inefficient use of land like yours can ti…

How are landlords your target for inefficiency when (complete guess) 50%+ of land is being used for single family homes?

My property is going from 4 units to a personal residence due to rent control. It is unprofitable. It is not being developed further despite that being my initial plan because those restrictions would carry over to the new units (SB 8). You will never convince me these programs are good. They are literally taking housing off the market.

This is zoned for 14 units. I will sit on it for 10 years due to SB 8. Great policy to prevent housing development.

Re: California spent $17B on homelessness – it’s not working

#950

As far as I can tell, California has spent exactly $0 on homes for the homeless, and therefore has spent exactly $0 trying to solve homelessness. California has spent $17b on theater to make people feel better about doing nothing for the homeless. Shelters are not homes. If you don't have privacy, a right to who is allowed into the space, the ability to store your possessions, to have pets, etc., you're homeless, and…

In thinking more about this, I'm starting to feel like developing solutions specifically for the most mentally ill/unstable individuals is important.

1) They're a danger to everyone including other homeless.

2) They have an outsize impact on people's frustration with and perception of homeless people. Walking down the street and worrying about being accosted by the guy yelling at himself is a powerfully bad experience. Walking by a couple guys in tents or sleeping bags may not be everyone's cup of tea but it's not going to emotionally scar anyone.

3) This segment is the hardest for us to confront on a human level, we want to believe in rehabilitation, that we can help, so the resources (shelters/homes) are designed for the most capable of homeless, kind of ignoring the elephant in the room.

4) Have there been mental health hospitals made specifically for the homeless? It seems that the most mentally ill of them basically need intensive care to even have a shot at some degree of rehabilitation.* Unlike a shelter with services this would be involuntary and they would not be able to leave until meeting some criteria. May be a little draconian but it beats constant interactions with police and going in and out of jail.

5) A lot of the "regular" homeless people I encounter don't really seem that interested in working their way towards a job and a house. They seem fairly content with their lifestyle. With the most viscerally troubling aspect of homelessness being mitigated, maybe we can push more toward normalization: sanction the tent city, provide some light services/development, give them a bit of dignity and the peace of mind of not being a criminal. Seems a lot cheaper and more effective than building shelters or houses and relocating etc. People would probably hang out/sleep in the street/sidewalk less, and those that do could be ushered to the acceptable area instead of the farcical "you can't be here...or anywhere, technically, but just move somewhere else for now."

Does this make any sense? Has stuff like this been tried?

* In general I think this is one of the big issues with homelessness - a lot of them need care more than anything else. As in someone literally holding their hand every day, preventing them from regressing to their habits, and (with infinite patience) constantly reassuring and rebuilding their psyche, until their brain is sufficiently rewired (a timespan measured in years). The problem is that the number of people that could use this kind of care is far greater the number of people that are willing/able to provide it, but developing programs around that could be an effective use of the funding.

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