171–180 of 964 posts
Re: alignment. I'm not concerned about alignment between the machines and the owner of the machines. I'm concerned about alignment between the owner of the machines and me.
I'm happy I see comments like "Pathetic attempt at regulatory capture."
LLMs are just text prediction. I don't see the linear path from LLM to AGI. Was there similar hysteria when the calculator or PC first came out?
I have yet to see a solution for “AI safety” that doesn’t involve ceding control of our most powerful models to a small handful of corporations. It’s hard to take these safety concerns seriously when the organizations blowing the whistle are simultaneously positioning themselves to capture the majority of the value.
> It’s hard to take these safety concerns seriously I don't get this mindset at all. How can it not be obvious to you that AI is an uniquely powerful and thus uniquely dangerous technology? It's like saying nuclear missiles can't possibly be dangerous and nuclear arms reduction and non-proliferation treaties were a scam, because the US, China and the Soviet Union had positioned themselves to capture the majority of t…
Earlier quoted context omitted.
That moat document was published by a single software engineer, not some exec or product leader. Humans dont really grasp exponential improvements. You wont have much time to regulate something that is improving exponentially.
It doesn't matter who wrote it, it got picked up, had a good argument and affected market opinion. The execs now need to respond to it. Humans also don't grasp that things can improve exponentially until they stop improving exponentially. This belief that AGI is just over the hill is sugar-water for extracting more hours from developers. The nuclear bomb was also supposed to change everything. But in the end nothing…
https://kagi.com/proxy/battle_deaths_chart.png?c=qmSKsRSwhgA...
The USA and USSR would almost certainly have fought a conventional WWIII without the bomb. Can you imagine the casualty rates for that...
But I'm just repeating the other comments.
Plus the 'AI' is a text generator, not something general purpose. Are ANY projects based on these LLMs that do anything besides generating spam?
Pushing hard to convince senile lawmakers that only a select few should be allowed to multiply them matrices?
you are laughing but I've found a matrix that is called an elimination matrix [1]. Are you still laughing now? Are you absolutely sure that an elimination matrix with 1 Petazillion of elements will not become sentient in a sort of emergent way? [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Duplication_and_elimination_ma...
Jokes aside i can totally see the media turning this into hysteria and people falling for it.
I signed the letter. At some point, humans are going to be outcompeted by AI at basically every important job. At that point, how are we going to maintain political power in the long run? Humanity is going to be like an out-of-touch old person on the internet - we'll either have to delegate everything important (which is risky), or eventually get scammed or extorted out of all our resources and influence.
I don't understand all the downvotes although how do you see ML assistant profs being outcompeted by AI? You probably have unique feel to students, a non replicable approach to study and explain concepts. How can an AI compete with you?
LLMs are just text prediction. I don't see the linear path from LLM to AGI. Was there similar hysteria when the calculator or PC first came out?
I know there were similar hysterias when automated weaving looms and other extreme labor saving machines came out. These machines did actually put a lot of people out of work, but they grew the economy so much that the net number of jobs increased. In a way it's actually a bit dystopian that the "everyone will be put out of work" predictions never come true, because it means we never get that promised age of leisure.…
> In a way it's actually a bit dystopian that the "everyone will be put out of work" predictions never come true, because it means we never get that promised age of leisure.
It's disappointing that the economy seems to be structured in such a way for most people "leisure" is equivalent to "unemployment." It probably doesn't help that increases in housing, health care, and higher education costs have outpaced inflation for decades, or that wages have stagnated (partially due to an increase in benefit costs such as health insurance.)
