"My current mental model of ChatGPT is that it’s akin to a “Maximum Likelihood Estimator for the Entirety of Human Knowledge”. There are two very different ways to interpret that: (1) Meh, it’s just a silly stats trick and (2) Holy F**ing Shit!!"
This is almost right... It's a fair way to think of GPT3/4 (sort of), but given RLHF ChatGPT is a pretty different beast.
Anyway, a pretty hand wavy kind of analysis, I was not a fan.