Live data from Hacker News

Big oil helped shape Stanford’s latest climate-research focus

chronicle.com

31–40 of 141 posts

Re: Big oil helped shape Stanford’s latest climate-research focus

#31
post #27

Opposing nuclear was the first catastrophic mistake environmentalists made, causing them to be a net negative overall in terms of climate change. Opposing carbon capture will be the next (and possibly last) one. If you think climate change is a serious problem, then you need to put aside your moral beliefs and think like an engineer about solutions. There is no math that allows you to conserve/renewables your way to…

[flagged]

Re: Big oil helped shape Stanford’s latest climate-research focus

#32
post #27

Opposing nuclear was the first catastrophic mistake environmentalists made, causing them to be a net negative overall in terms of climate change. Opposing carbon capture will be the next (and possibly last) one. If you think climate change is a serious problem, then you need to put aside your moral beliefs and think like an engineer about solutions. There is no math that allows you to conserve/renewables your way to…

[deleted]

Re: Big oil helped shape Stanford’s latest climate-research focus

#33

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm highly sceptical regarding ALL CO2 removal schemes that don't operate directly at a CO2 source, because I see absolutely NO WAY how they could ever be made cost effective: CO2 concentration in air is less than 1g/m^3, meaning that you would have to pump like 10000 m^3 of air through your apparatus just to remove the CO2 from a single car travelling ~100km. And this assumes 100% extraction efficiency which is not…

Trees don't pump the air through their leaves, they let CO2 diffuse and blow in the wind.

Sure, but the amount of CO2 absorbed by a tree is measured in grams per day, which isn't really enough to even realistically offset the devices own carbon footprint, let alone start tackling other co2 sources.

Re: Big oil helped shape Stanford’s latest climate-research focus

#34
post #27

Opposing nuclear was the first catastrophic mistake environmentalists made, causing them to be a net negative overall in terms of climate change. Opposing carbon capture will be the next (and possibly last) one. If you think climate change is a serious problem, then you need to put aside your moral beliefs and think like an engineer about solutions. There is no math that allows you to conserve/renewables your way to…

Carbon capture is cleaning up dog shit in the kitchen with a toothpick instead of training it to go outside.

Re: Big oil helped shape Stanford’s latest climate-research focus

#35

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You mean you want quotes of people, who say climate change is not so bad, because we (will) have co2 removal tech?

I want evidence that there are people who wave away climate change because of proposed future CO2 removal tech, who would not wave away climate change if we stopped all research on CO2 removal tech. I'm not trying to impose an impossible standard here. If you can show examples of something like this happening in contexts other than climate change, I'm open to that. What I don't accept is mere folk behavioral psycholo…

You really have not heard those people? Lucky you. Anecdotically there are plenty of them, and official sources (like politicians) are of course more careful in their wording, but the sentiment is exactly this.

"No real need to change the gasoline cars, as we will have CO2 removal."

I can probably dig up some ugly quotes, if you like. But those are not really my circles so I have nothing at hand.

(I should probably add, that I am from germany and loud cars and the making of them are important here. But I heard the same from US politicians)

"What I don't accept is mere folk behavioral psychology speculation driving what an entire civilization does to mitigate a massive risk. "

Well, how exactly could technical CO2 removal ever work?

We burn stuff for energy and then need even more energy to recapture the side products?

How would this be powered?

By the sun?

Solar panels still needs to be manufactured and deployed.

So if we would have all energy generation by regenerative sources AND we have overcapacity - then we could also extract some of the old released CO2, true, but have you done some calculations, how much area you would need, to power a significant amount of CO2 removal?

Lot's of it.

Forests on the other hand grow and expand by themself, once established and undisturbed, that's the beauty of them. They also help stabilizing local climate. And the real problem of climate change for lots of people will be desertification. So more Forests reduce CO2 AND provide actual better living conditions for the people affected. A lone symbolic CO2 removal on the other hand is really limited in its usefulness, while the coal plants are burning happily.

Re: Big oil helped shape Stanford’s latest climate-research focus

#36

I'm not sure how mad to be about this. Honestly, at the moment I kinda think it's a good thing on balance. I believe climate change is a huge, urgent concern. And I think it would be hugely helpful to have carbon removal technology in our risk mitigation portfolio. If fossil fuel companies, out of self-interest, want to support a legitimate research institution doing that, I'm not sure I should complain. If Stanford…

I'm highly sceptical regarding ALL CO2 removal schemes that don't operate directly at a CO2 source, because I see absolutely NO WAY how they could ever be made cost effective: CO2 concentration in air is less than 1g/m^3, meaning that you would have to pump like 10000 m^3 of air through your apparatus just to remove the CO2 from a single car travelling ~100km. And this assumes 100% extraction efficiency which is not…

> So any climate plan that relies on large-scale CO2 removal from atmospheric air is probably a complete SCAM.

The "scam" language is interesting to me.

I often run into people who seem to think that advocates of carbon capture technology are somehow being intellectually dishonest and are not serious about climate change.

In fact I think there are a lot of people who are interested in carbon capture tech who just keep an open mind about it. Not all scientific advances are obvious early on.

I think we should avoid assuming that people who are promoting carbon capture research are speaking in bad faith. There are lots of people who genuinely believe the tech may mature to a point it is useful to the fight against climate change.

Just because the fossil fuel industry promotes it doesnt mean that everyone who promotes it is a shill for the fossil fuel industry.

Re: Big oil helped shape Stanford’s latest climate-research focus

#37

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I want evidence that there are people who wave away climate change because of proposed future CO2 removal tech, who would not wave away climate change if we stopped all research on CO2 removal tech. I'm not trying to impose an impossible standard here. If you can show examples of something like this happening in contexts other than climate change, I'm open to that. What I don't accept is mere folk behavioral psycholo…

You really have not heard those people? Lucky you. Anecdotically there are plenty of them, and official sources (like politicians) are of course more careful in their wording, but the sentiment is exactly this. "No real need to change the gasoline cars, as we will have CO2 removal." I can probably dig up some ugly quotes, if you like. But those are not really my circles so I have nothing at hand. (I should probably a…

All I'm saying is that the technical debate between these different methodologies is what matters. If we agree on that, I have no dispute with you. I don't know what carbon capture method is best or how big of an impact carbon capture can have. I would like to see the research, which is what the article is about.

Re: Big oil helped shape Stanford’s latest climate-research focus

#38

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Kind of sounds amazing if we could pull it off (of course we can't) but imagine a world where there is just too much wood (woodworkers be salivating) and there are massive jungles everywhere we could fit one.

"imagine a world where there is just too much wood (woodworkers be salivating) and there are massive jungles everywhere we could fit one." That's how the world looked like, before humans chopped or burned them down and let cattle, goats and sheep prevented new forests from growing again. Reforesting at least parts of that back, would capture significant amounts of CO2. No matter that a old tree composes at some point…

What regions of the world are we talking about? Northern Africa? South America?

Re: Big oil helped shape Stanford’s latest climate-research focus

#39
The article is interesting but technically weak. If we focus on the process of generating a stream of pure CO2 from the atmosphere (where CO2 is at ~420 parts per million at present), things become a bit more clear.

Note first that the global biosphere is capturing CO2 into organic molecules at about 15 times the rate that fossil fuel consumption dumps geologically stable carbon deposits into the atmosphere. However, almost all of this biological carbon is respired back into the atmosphere by microbes, fungi, insects and animals who use the material as a food source. The reason atmospheric CO2 is rising is that the biosphere doesn't have the capacity to absorb the added CO2. Keep in mind that plant growth is a quite slow process compared to industrial activity.

So let's say we generate a stream of pure CO2 from the atmosphere - but how? If we got the electricity to do this (for pumping air over CO2 filters etc.) from fossil fuels, it's a futile cycle. The energy source has to be fossil-free for this to make sense as a CO2 extraction process.

Now, the oil industry has mostly been using their CO2 streams for enhanced oilfield recovery, i.e. they pump the CO2 down into the wells and it comes back out carrying the dregs of the oil with it. When processed into fuel, the injected CO2 goes back into the atmosphere.

Another use of a pure CO2 stream is to jack greenhouse CO2 up to ~1000 ppm, which has a significant effect on plant growth rates under controlled nutrient conditions. Most of the CO2 is released back into the atmosphere as well.

In terms of storing the CO2 in some stable form, this is rather energy-intensive. The two options that make the most sense are carbon fiber materials and diamond, the latter being harder to make (but very cool and sci-fi, enter the Diamond Age). Other options like making limestone (CaCO3) are tricky (where do you get all the calcium from). These are the only long-term removal options that make sense.

Claims that pumping CO2 down wells is a good idea for long-term storage are fraudulent. Claims that coal can be burned and used for electricity while capturing all the CO2 by the above process are fraudulent. The DOE public-private programs like FutureGen that promoted this were fraudulent, to the tune of billions of dollars of fraud.

The other option for captured CO2 is to use it make methane and jet fuel, for long-distance air travel, rocketry, maybe global shipping. Here we have zero effect on atmospheric CO2 content as what comes out goes back in. This is comparable to biosphere activity, i.e. it's steady-state. Costs for this process might be 10X that for current fossil fuel production, but it's the long-term fuel solution. Given the high costs, electric vehicles form most local transportation will be far more efficient.

I think that covers all the technological bases, anyway.

Re: Big oil helped shape Stanford’s latest climate-research focus

#40

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You really have not heard those people? Lucky you. Anecdotically there are plenty of them, and official sources (like politicians) are of course more careful in their wording, but the sentiment is exactly this. "No real need to change the gasoline cars, as we will have CO2 removal." I can probably dig up some ugly quotes, if you like. But those are not really my circles so I have nothing at hand. (I should probably a…

All I'm saying is that the technical debate between these different methodologies is what matters. If we agree on that, I have no dispute with you. I don't know what carbon capture method is best or how big of an impact carbon capture can have. I would like to see the research, which is what the article is about.

"I would like to see the research, which is what the article is about."

The article is about how big oil changed Standford's research focus. And their interest is simply to leave everything as it is and stall any further oil limitations, so they can profit, like they used to, without having to fundamentally change.

But yes, they are totally free to fund research that is in their interest and if they happen to find a magic solution acceptable to society, I am thrilled. I am just very sceptical that this is what will happen. I rather suspect it will be symbolism used by willing populistic politicians, to block uncomforthable legislation or stall it completely.

I just see no technical ground for this to really work, other than wishful thinking. And if the latter is the base, then it won't work, no matter how millions you spend on it.

Post reply on HN