Geoffrey Hinton leaves Google and warns of danger ahead

Post by mitthrowaway2 » Mon, May 01, 2023, 5:12 PM UTC

toss1 wrote: post #173

ilaksh wrote: post #107

I used to be fairly unconcerned about AI being dangerous. But part of the Yudkowsky interview on Lex Fridman 's podcast changed my mind. The disconnect for me is that Yudkowsky posits that the AIs will be fully "alive", thinking millions of times faster than humans and that there will be millions of them. This is too big of a speculative leap for me. What I can fairly easily imagine in the next few years with improve…

>>with things like cognitive architecture etc. That part is doing a LOT of very heavy lifting in a story that otherwise hangs together. The problem is that we are nowhere near such a thing. These LLM and generative systems produce very impressive results. So does a mirror and a camera (to those who have never seen one). What we have is enormous vector engines that can transform one output into another that is most st…

Post by mrazomor » Mon, May 01, 2023, 5:15 PM UTC

bitL wrote: post #213

greatpostman wrote: post #98

My honest take is a lot of these famous academics played almost no part in the developments at openai. But they want the limelight. They aren’t as relevant as they want to be. In many cases, they were directly wrong about how ai would develop

GPT basically showed that scalable brute-force trumps clever theoretical models which makes many academics salty.

Post by Fricken » Mon, May 01, 2023, 5:18 PM UTC

greatpostman wrote: post #98

My honest take is a lot of these famous academics played almost no part in the developments at openai. But they want the limelight. They aren’t as relevant as they want to be. In many cases, they were directly wrong about how ai would develop

Post by Dig1t » Mon, May 01, 2023, 5:20 PM UTC

O5vYtytb wrote: post #250

stareatgoats wrote: post #137

We are barely scraping the surface when it comes to understanding the future dangers of AI. Geoffrey Hinton is uniquely positioned to point out where the dangers are, and from what I've gleaned from interviews one of his main concerns atm is the use of AI in the military: fully autonomous military robots might not be possible to curtail. The tried and tested method is international agreements. The current focus on ar…

My biggest concern for military use of AI is how incompetent most military contractors are. These huge companies employ an army of not-very-good engineers whose primary purpose seems to be to over-complicate projects. Imagine the same teams that make planes which need to be hard rebooted every few days, now they're making advanced AI to dynamically target and kill people.

Post by staticman2 » Mon, May 01, 2023, 5:25 PM UTC

drcode wrote: post #223

neatze wrote: post #99

“The idea that this stuff could actually get smarter than people — a few people believed that,” said Hinton to the NYT. “But most people thought it was way off. And I thought it was way off. I thought it was 30 to 50 years or even longer away. Obviously, I no longer think that.” Calculators are smarter then humans in calculating, what does he mean by that?

I think GPT4 can converse on any subject at all as well as a (let's say) 80 IQ human. On some subjects it can converse much better. That feels fundamentally different than a calculator.