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Malcolm Gladwell's 5 Steps to Success

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Re: Malcolm Gladwell's 5 Steps to Success

#11

Let me guess without reading, based on what I know of Gladwell: 1. Learn to write pretty well. 2. Come up with a hypothesis. 3. Collect data. 4. Throw out all data that disagrees with your hypothesis, even if it is the overwhelming majority. 5. Write book/article about the data you kept.

4 is the one I have trouble with. Where is there disproof of what he's saying? The Tipping Point made a very good case for Gladwell's theory. Blink wasn't as cohesive, but - again - I didn't see anything wrong with the theory itself.

Re: Malcolm Gladwell's 5 Steps to Success

#12

Let me guess without reading, based on what I know of Gladwell: 1. Learn to write pretty well. 2. Come up with a hypothesis. 3. Collect data. 4. Throw out all data that disagrees with your hypothesis, even if it is the overwhelming majority. 5. Write book/article about the data you kept.

If by "data" you mean "anecdotes", then you are spot-on.

Re: Malcolm Gladwell's 5 Steps to Success

#13

Let me guess without reading, based on what I know of Gladwell: 1. Learn to write pretty well. 2. Come up with a hypothesis. 3. Collect data. 4. Throw out all data that disagrees with your hypothesis, even if it is the overwhelming majority. 5. Write book/article about the data you kept.

1. coin catchy phrase 2. write book 3. create a demand for books based on pseudo-intellectualism 4. make sure it appears in every airport gift shop 5. ... 6. profit! i kid, i kid, i own and read all his books.

Gladwell is successful because he relays a great anecdote. Anecdotes lend themselves well to re-telling, thus his books are popularised by word of mouth. "Man, I read this great piece by this guy called Gladwell about a policeman who could ready body language so well he held fire when facing off a kid with a gun."

Re: Malcolm Gladwell's 5 Steps to Success

#15
It's worth pointing out where Gladwell is wrong about overnight successes and why.

While it's true that in a field where continued effort is required for continued success (like acting, to continue the theme of his 'American Idol' remarks), software (web software in particular) can be a different kind of beast. For sites that derive value from the network effect, your work can taper off once the network size reaches a certain point. (Witness Markus Frind of PlentyOfFish.com.)

Furthermore, while times are tight now, the 'get bought' method of internet riches, where/when available, has to qualify as an 'overnight' success.*

*Not to say that this is the most likely or desirable case, just that it qualifies as a counterexample.

Re: Malcolm Gladwell's 5 Steps to Success

#16
post #11

Let me guess without reading, based on what I know of Gladwell: 1. Learn to write pretty well. 2. Come up with a hypothesis. 3. Collect data. 4. Throw out all data that disagrees with your hypothesis, even if it is the overwhelming majority. 5. Write book/article about the data you kept.

4 is the one I have trouble with. Where is there disproof of what he's saying? The Tipping Point made a very good case for Gladwell's theory. Blink wasn't as cohesive, but - again - I didn't see anything wrong with the theory itself.

If you want an example, read an article of his that's freely available called Big and Bad, and then look at NTSB safety stats. His article poses that SUVs are less safe because they are less maneuverable, and therefore more prone to accidents. His "proof" is that a Chevy TrailBlazer didn't handle nearly as well as a Porsche that costs 2x as much on a test track.

Fortunately for SUV owners, actual data does show that they're safer. They don't really handle much worse than sedans in their price class, and they do have lower instances of fatalities in accidents.

They make up nearly a half of the top 20 safest cars, while they are nowhere near half of the total models sold. Gladwell actually even shows the safety stats of a few hand picked sedans and SUVs, but doesn't bother showing the entirety of the data available, which proves the exact opposite of his thesis.

Re: Malcolm Gladwell's 5 Steps to Success

#17
post #11

Earlier quoted context omitted.

4 is the one I have trouble with. Where is there disproof of what he's saying? The Tipping Point made a very good case for Gladwell's theory. Blink wasn't as cohesive, but - again - I didn't see anything wrong with the theory itself.

If you want an example, read an article of his that's freely available called Big and Bad, and then look at NTSB safety stats. His article poses that SUVs are less safe because they are less maneuverable, and therefore more prone to accidents. His "proof" is that a Chevy TrailBlazer didn't handle nearly as well as a Porsche that costs 2x as much on a test track. Fortunately for SUV owners, actual data does show that…

I'll check that story out. Thanks!

Re: Malcolm Gladwell's 5 Steps to Success

#18

For those who don't click through, here are the 5 steps: 1. Find meaning and inspiration in your work. 2. Work hard. 3. Discover the relationship between effort and reward. 4. Seek out complex work to avoid boredom and repetition. 5. Be autonomous and control your own destiny as much as possible.

first, let me say i am a malcolm gladwell fan...but that advice seems nebulous at best. maybe i just need to read the book.

Re: Malcolm Gladwell's 5 Steps to Success

#19
Whether overnight success exists depends on the definition of "success". Becoming skilled can't happen overnight, but recognition does and, since most people are not independently wealthy and have to work, recognition sadly matters a lot more than skill, practically speaking.

Growth in one's skill level is gradual and relatively steady, but the selection process for the "stars" is full of dumb luck, black swan events, ridiculous inefficiencies and, often, catastrophic failures (e.g. Mark Zuckerberg, the guy who stole the right idea from the right people in the right place at the right time).

The relationship between skill and recognition is complex. Most writers and artists who become "established" devolve into mediocre hacks, because the cocktail parties take over the time they'd otherwise be using to improve their skill. On the other hand, what happens to the vast majority is that the utter lack of recognition, despite their talent, discourages them and they move on to other things. In truth, the "star" system that has infected most aspects of American life-- business, art, academia-- is one of the worst influences on quality imaginable, and much of why the product of humanities academia is utter jenkem. The 2007-08 financial clusterfuck is a result of many individuals' efforts to become "star" traders. Bankers are not stupid people who just happened to be broadsided by a black swan; they deliberately took extreme risks (often hidden behind models known since the '80s to be flawed or incomplete) with others' money, knowing that they'd become stars on the upside.

Re: Malcolm Gladwell's 5 Steps to Success

#20
post #2

> 3. Discover the relationship between effort and reward. I think that's by far the biggest stumbling block. Once there is a direct relationship between effort and reward most people behave appropriately and put forth a lot of effort. It also smooths over a lot of the lesser issues. Doing very boring things can be very exciting when doing it well results in big increases in reward. It becomes a high stakes game.

Agreed,

IMO this is the only point that matters. Rich or not, we only value rewards that take effort. If your fairy grandmother showed up, waived her wand, and you suddenly had a couple billion, you wouldn't value it. If you work your a off to make a couple hundred K though, or to learn a new language, or learn to surf, etc. you will feel a great sense of accomplishment far more valuable than the coin.

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