iPhone Doomed to Failure (2008)
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iPhone Doomed to Failure (2008)
1–10 of 71 posts
Re: iPhone Doomed to Failure (2008)
#2Very interesting article to read after 15 years and it seems to have aged like milk so to speak :) I think the main thing is that the author approaches the problem very logically (just comparing features) yet the users don't follow their logic. While I agree that windows mobile 8 was brilliant*, smartphone domain suffers horribly from network effect. Windows phone came too late into the game and couldn't move quick enough. Only a few of the cool things were available even at its peak. Then it unfortunately died out.
I missed out on windows mobile 7 which is the one this article mentions but I used windows mobile 6 and windows phone 8. Windows phone 8 was heavily inspired by windows mobile 7 aesthetics so I think they are comparable in ux.
Re: iPhone Doomed to Failure (2008)
#3"To me, ideas are worth nothing unless executed. They are just a multiplier. Execution is worth millions." — Steve Jobs
Re: iPhone Doomed to Failure (2008)
#4Makes you wonder if there should be professional repercussions for being so wrong. Does credibility or accuracy with assessments and predictions even matter?
Other notable examples are Jim Cramer, who seems to be more wrong than right on stock and company analysis but still gets paid handsomely by CNBC. Or Paul Krugman who said the Internet's Effect on the World Economy Would Be 'No Greater Than the Fax Machine's. Krugman managed to maintain a fine career in academia and in print.
Re: iPhone Doomed to Failure (2008)
#5I still remember vividly all my friends with Qteks running windows mobile going on about how Apple had no chance doing phones.
All the power users I knew were like taking out their styluses - I kid you not - and was like look at what I can do.
First time I saw pinch to zoom i was sold, maybe I would have thought differently if I have had a "smartphone" back then.
Re: iPhone Doomed to Failure (2008)
#6Makes you wonder if there should be professional repercussions for being so wrong. Does credibility or accuracy with assessments and predictions even matter? Other notable examples are Jim Cramer, who seems to be more wrong than right on stock and company analysis but still gets paid handsomely by CNBC. Or Paul Krugman who said the Internet's Effect on the World Economy Would Be 'No Greater Than the Fax Machine's. Kr…
Cramer is not a stock trader but an entertainer, and he did fine on that job. Same goes for Krugman. Krugman nowadays is an opinion columnist and not an economist. If you read his articles regularly you will realise that accuracy is not the main goal. Sounding important is the main goal. And he too is doing fine on that job.
Re: iPhone Doomed to Failure (2008)
#7Reads as the same level of naïveté as the intertwined trends of "Tesla will go bankrupt" and "Tesla killer EV unveils soon" articles in the past years.
Re: iPhone Doomed to Failure (2008)
#8We had one executive at the place I worked from 2010 to 2017 who was always on the next Windows phone bandwagon. He'd put pressure on us to make the site support whatever incarnation of Windows phone was out that year. We always resisted. What a waste of time that would have been.
Re: iPhone Doomed to Failure (2008)
#9Very interesting article to read after 15 years and it seems to have aged like milk so to speak :) I think the main thing is that the author approaches the problem very logically (just comparing features) yet the users don't follow their logic. While I agree that windows mobile 8 was brilliant*, smartphone domain suffers horribly from network effect. Windows phone came too late into the game and couldn't move quick e…
Unlike enterprise products, consumer market values products with minimal features, and the simplest things tend to win in the long run in any industry. Having more features in the consumer market on it's own mostly never is a winning strategy. A lot of the products that I really liked which were featureful lost to simpler products. Talking to my non tech savvy friends I got to know that they vastly preferred products with minimal features. They just don't want to see more options and have better things to do with their time.
Re: iPhone Doomed to Failure (2008)
#10All these “iPhone is doomed” folks had good arguments, the original iPhone was a flawed device. On paper, the incumbent mega corporations should have been able to come up with an iPhone killer quickly, considering the resources available to them.
What they missed was the inertia and the lack of agility in these big companies. They kept insisting on their current plans until it was too late.
Only Google was capable of throwing away their work and starting fresh. Android was blackberry-like just until iPhone came.
Also, Samsung was smart enough to copy Apple.
The rest were too slow and died off - eventually. However the first few years it was hard to make a point why would you buy an iPhone, people had to see that amazing UI to believe it.