Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's all about emergent complexity. While you can reduce it to "just" statistical auto-completion of the next word, we are seeing evidence of abstraction and reasoning produced as a higher-order effect of these simple completions. It's a bit like the Sagan quote: "If you wish to make an apple pie from scratch, you must first invent the universe". Sometimes for GPT to "just" complete the next word in a way that humans…
> Sometimes for GPT to "just" complete the next word in a way that humans find plausible, it must, along the way, develop a model of the world, theory of mind, abstract reasoning. etc. I did an experiment recently where I asked ChatGPT to "tell me an idea [you] have never heard before". ChatGPT replied with what sounded like an idea for a startup, which was delivering farm-fresh vegetables to customers' doors. This i…
Certainly, Midjourney's "creativity" is different from human creativity. But it is producing results that we marvel at. It's creative not because it's doing the exact same philosophical thing humans do, but because it can produce the same effect.
And I think many situations are like that. We can always say that human creativity/reasoning/x will always be different from artificial reasoning. But even today, GPT's statistical model replicates many aspects of human reasoning virtually. Is that really an illusion (implying its fake and potentially useless), or is it just a different way of achieving a similar result?
Plus, different models will excel at different thing. GPT's model will excel at synthesizing answers from far more information than a single human will ever be able to know. Does it really matter if it's not identical to human reasoning on a philosophical or biological level, if it can do things humans can't do?
At the end of the day, some of these discussions feel like bike shedding about what words like "reasoning" mean philosophically. But what will ultimately matter is how well these models perform at real world tasks, and what impact that will have on humanity. It doesn't really matter if it's virtualized reasoning or "real" human reasoning at that point.