This current moment is super impressive, but the output of the models is still mediocre. I worry that over the next 12-24 months, we'll be overwhelmed with autogenerated content (docs, apps, games, news) that gets a B- or C. Once the novelty wears off, no one wants to play your [terrible] autogenerated asteroid clone. There are a lot of startups that are two LLMs in a trench coat, and they will not be able to improve…
Things created with GPT-4
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Re: Things created with GPT-4
#12Re: Things created with GPT-4
#13Re: Things created with GPT-4
#14Re: Things created with GPT-4
#15The imagined computers that looked so unrealistic in so many past science-fiction movies and TV shows no longer look... unrealistic. Those imagined computers now look more like upgrades to current technology. Imagine an AI model 10x, 100x, 1000x larger than GPT4. That feels... surreal to me.
> Those imagined computers now look more like upgrades to current technology. I still don't get that argument. You can train a parrot for a week and he'll talk a few words, training it for a year won't make him become Shakespeare, LLMs will never ever automagically evolve into these AGI tier computers, not even their creators argue that, no one besides techbros argue that in fact.
Yes, their creators take the far more defensible and scientific position of saying "we don't know".
Re: Things created with GPT-4
#16Re: Things created with GPT-4
#17The imagined computers that looked so unrealistic in so many past science-fiction movies and TV shows no longer look... unrealistic. Those imagined computers now look more like upgrades to current technology. Imagine an AI model 10x, 100x, 1000x larger than GPT4. That feels... surreal to me.
> Those imagined computers now look more like upgrades to current technology. I still don't get that argument. You can train a parrot for a week and he'll talk a few words, training it for a year won't make him become Shakespeare, LLMs will never ever automagically evolve into these AGI tier computers, not even their creators argue that, no one besides techbros argue that in fact.
Re: Things created with GPT-4
#18This current moment is super impressive, but the output of the models is still mediocre. I worry that over the next 12-24 months, we'll be overwhelmed with autogenerated content (docs, apps, games, news) that gets a B- or C. Once the novelty wears off, no one wants to play your [terrible] autogenerated asteroid clone. There are a lot of startups that are two LLMs in a trench coat, and they will not be able to improve…
Your BAD autogenerated asteroid clone. "Give it time" people will say, but how does one prompt ChatGPT to make a game fun, or a story actually interesting?
Re: Things created with GPT-4
#19Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Those imagined computers now look more like upgrades to current technology. I still don't get that argument. You can train a parrot for a week and he'll talk a few words, training it for a year won't make him become Shakespeare, LLMs will never ever automagically evolve into these AGI tier computers, not even their creators argue that, no one besides techbros argue that in fact.
>not even their creators argue that Yes, their creators take the far more defensible and scientific position of saying "we don't know".
Same Altman (openAI ceo) :
> The GPT-4 rumor mill is a ridiculous thing. I don’t know where it all comes from, people are begging to be disappointed and they will be. The hype is just like... We don’t have an actual AGI
Re: Things created with GPT-4
#20Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Those imagined computers now look more like upgrades to current technology. I still don't get that argument. You can train a parrot for a week and he'll talk a few words, training it for a year won't make him become Shakespeare, LLMs will never ever automagically evolve into these AGI tier computers, not even their creators argue that, no one besides techbros argue that in fact.
We are hearing about new, improved parrots on an almost daily basis.
I don't get how people, especially here of all places, fall for such things