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AI won't steal your job, people leveraging AI will

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Re: AI won't steal your job, people leveraging AI will

#151
post #52

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As a math teacher, this is such a funny comparison to keep reading. Yes, there's a difference between a deterministic outcome and a non-deterministic one. But throw humans into the loop, and it becomes more interesting. I can't count the number of times I've listened to someone argue their answer must be right because they got it from the calculator. And it's not just students; as a teacher I've always paid attention…

> I can't count the number of times I've listened to someone argue their answer must be right because they got it from the calculator. Answers from calculators are always right! But the human may have asked the wrong question.

There are a bunch of well-known areas where popular calculators tend to give incorrect answers: https://apcentral.collegeboard.org/courses/resources/example...

It’s mostly fine until it isn’t. AI will probably operate in the same capacity. We already have so much incorrect information out there that’s part of our pop culture. Even down to things like the fact that Darth Vader never said, “Luke, I am your father,” and Mae West never said, “Why don’t you come see me sometime?”

Even basic movie quotes are beyond our ability to get right. Hilariously, I just asked ChatGPT about these quotes and it explained that these are common misquotes, told me what was actually said in these movies, and explained some relevant context.

Sherlock never said, “Elementary, my dear Watson” even once in the books. Kirk never said, “Beam me up, Scotty.” We’re much less correct than we like to think. And somehow we’ve survived.

ChatGPT is fallible just like we are. We’ll manage, just like we always have.

Re: AI won't steal your job, people leveraging AI will

#152

Earlier quoted context omitted.

One deck is made of wood. One deck is made made of steel. They will behave differently after years of weathering. Just because they are both both decks doesn't mean they are the same.

Are both useful in some context?

In the same way that nearly any two arbitrary objects are useful in some context.

Re: AI won't steal your job, people leveraging AI will

#153

I see this sentiment expressed frequently: > "The past decades have shown that the benefits of technology are unevenly distributed, with some rich becoming super-rich with a good portion of the people lagging behind. However, it is also fair to say that the average well being in the world has steadily increased." The average is far less important than the median , when it comes to social stability. You could argue th…

I'm not sure I agree with that assertion in the first place. Life has improved a lot for most people, but it has improved in ways that you don't really notice. Your car is safer, your apartment is safer, your neighbor's apartment is safer (so it's less likely to burn down yours), there's less crime, there's less hunger, there's more available life saving medicines etc etc.

These improvements just aren't all that noticeable. But this is the stuff that really matters. Whether the wealthiest person's bank account shows an extra zero or not means very little in comparison to your kid being able to get medicine for a disease that wasn't treatable 30 years ago.

Re: AI won't steal your job, people leveraging AI will

#154

I've been using GPT-4 to translate my app into new languages. Saved me thousands of dollars in the past few weeks. I used to pay translators for that, but GPT-4 translation is so good. I'd argue domain specific even better than a translator.

How do you know the translations are accurate if you don't speak the native language?

Re: AI won't steal your job, people leveraging AI will

#155

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I started a business over the last week and I Rapidly iterated domain names with chatgpt Did logo mockups in midjourney AI Did website list mockups in midjourney AI Rapidly iterated copy and cool sounding text with ChatGPT Got font faces and style guides with ChatGPT Got landing page code in React with ChatGPT I can code. I would have been distracted by juggling all of the designers that I hired, so distracted that I…

Why did you use React for landing page?

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Re: AI won't steal your job, people leveraging AI will

#156

I see this sentiment expressed frequently: > "The past decades have shown that the benefits of technology are unevenly distributed, with some rich becoming super-rich with a good portion of the people lagging behind. However, it is also fair to say that the average well being in the world has steadily increased." The average is far less important than the median , when it comes to social stability. You could argue th…

That rarely happens, on the contrary, any imposed standards or regulations are simply outsourced to wherever those standards do not exist.

Re: AI won't steal your job, people leveraging AI will

#157

I've been using GPT-4 to translate my app into new languages. Saved me thousands of dollars in the past few weeks. I used to pay translators for that, but GPT-4 translation is so good. I'd argue domain specific even better than a translator.

How do you know the translations are accurate if you don't speak the native language?

I compared it to past translations the translators did and also my native language. That's how I gained the confidence it'd do just as well with new languages.

Re: AI won't steal your job, people leveraging AI will

#158

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think the difference, right now at least, is that people will go, "well, I'm not sure about this so I think we should look it up, but this is what I think" - the AI doesn't do that. It lies in the same exact way it tells truths. How are you supposed to make decisions based off of that information?

Presumably the same way you make decisions on any piece of information. You should not be blindly trusting a single source.

I was too vague I think. The only place where I can see it being acceptable right now is code because I have a whole other system that will call out failures - I can rely on my IDE and my own expertise to hopefully catch issues when they appear.

Outside of the code use case, what should I rely on ChatGPT for that won't have me also looking for the information somewhere else? I suppose subjective soft things, like writing communications. But I can't rely on it for information.

Re: AI won't steal your job, people leveraging AI will

#159

Earlier quoted context omitted.

One deck is made of wood. One deck is made made of steel. They will behave differently after years of weathering. Just because they are both both decks doesn't mean they are the same.

Are both useful in some context?

From the perspective of an investor who just wants their stonks to go up, sure. From the perspective of a sailor who wants the deck to not crumble beneath their feet in a storm, no.

Re: AI won't steal your job, people leveraging AI will

#160

I completely disagree. I'm building a business, and this business will be based on excellent software and excellent support for that software. I will refuse to use AI. But instead of AI users taking my job, I'm sure that refusing to use AI will become my differentiator as every AI user becomes more and more like each other. You may think that good AI users will not become so bland, but they will. Human laziness will…

Possibly. This is certainly a pattern that works in other industries. I am aware of a local glass company with about 50 years of operation under its belt. They have tooling, but the process is heavily manual; no aspect of it is end-to-end automated. Their primary customers are those requiring high precision for industrial applications (electrical, aeronautics). They are forever capacity-capped because their model doe…

>They are forever capacity-capped because their model doesn't scale; the benefits of adding labor are sub-linear, so there's a "healthy size" for them and they leave money on the table if they scale in either direction from it. But they have their niche, they fit it nicely, and they continue to operate.

That's basically most German mittlestand companies. They have their niche that doesn't scale.

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