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Russia confiscates passports of senior officials to stop defections

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Re: Russia confiscates passports of senior officials to stop defections

#81

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The passports that the general (foreign) audience knows - the external/international one.

Nope, internal one. See the update

Can you quote the update? The nearest phrase that can be interpreted as the internal passport is "please hand in your red civilian passports" (full context below), but this refers to the red-coloured external passport (as opposed to green diplomatic, blue service, and maroon internal passport).

Quotation follows:

> Alexandra Prokopenko, a former Russian central bank official, said passport restrictions had now expanded beyond individuals with security clearance.

> “Now they are coming to certain people and saying, ‘please hand in your red civilian passports, because you have access to sensitive information for the motherland, so we want to control your movements’,” she said.

Re: Russia confiscates passports of senior officials to stop defections

#82

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It will not be the end of the war, but the West, and especially Europe, will have an aggressive bully at its borders who already proved it can murder and torture people ruthlessly. So the economy will focus on arms race once again until someone in Russia finally understands it doesn't make any sense.

that agressive bully was much further west 30+ years ago and western europe managed fine then

Not very aggressive in practice at that time. And the eastern Europe did not manage very well, which western Europe paid for for quite a long time.

Re: Russia confiscates passports of senior officials to stop defections

#83

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Rusia has been inching forwards for months. That's just a fact. Propaganda has got to you.

> Rusia has been inching forwards for months Emphasis on inches. Ukraine War Mapper [1] does a good job documenting the line of control. It's not a good look for what, until recently, looked like a dominating regional power. [1] https://twitter.com/war_mapper

Even if Russia is advancing 100 meters (300 feet) a day eventually it will reach the Western point of Ukraine unless something changes.

Re: Russia confiscates passports of senior officials to stop defections

#84
post #66

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It really isn't. Russia has gone backwards for a year now. There isn't a single parameter where things doesn't look bad for them. Sure the fog of war makes things somewhat unclear, but saying that its hard to gauge who is having the most trouble is nonsense for anyone following the conflict.

Rusia has been inching forwards for months. That's just a fact. Propaganda has got to you.

No propaganda has clearly gotten to you. Occupied Ukrainian territory peaked in march last year. This is a fact, there is nothing to argue. Russia's winter offensive is literally slower than a snails pace.

Re: Russia confiscates passports of senior officials to stop defections

#85

Clearly they're winning the war /s

[flagged]

In some ways, Ukraine has already won; Putin intended to capture Kyiv in three days and completely failed to do that. He turned to some minor territory gain, but that's also going very poorly. Russia's winter campaign is almost a complete failure, with tens of thousands of lives lost for very minor gains.

Ukraine is smaller than Russia, but by no means a small country. Ukraine has 40 million people and is far more motivated to fight than Russia is. Russians really have nothing to win here; it's just about Putin's pride. Meanwhile Ukrainians are fighting for their lives, their country, and the future of their children. These are powerful motivators, and go a long way towards explaining Ukraine's unwavering morale in the face of overwhelming odds.

Ukraine also fights much smarter. Russia uses very primitive tactics: use massive artillery to flatten entire cities, move infantry in, and if they get killed, flatten the place with artillery again. And then they ran low on artillery ammunition, not to mention that many of their barrels have been so overused they can't shoot straight anymore, so now they've resorted to human wave attacks. Ukrainian defenders of Bakhmut have described wave after wave of Russian attackers crawling over the dead bodies of their dead comrades only to get gunned down too. There's no sophistication at all, and coordination is often poor.

Meanwhile Ukraine with its more limited resources executes very smart attacks. Most of the time they target Russian supply lines to make it harder for Russia to fight. But sometimes they've undermined Russian positions so much that they can suddenly grab an enormous swath of territory, like they did east of Kharkiv and west of Kherson.

I frankly don't see how Ukraine can lose this. In some ways they have already won. Although of course it really depends on how you define victory and loss here; both sides have lost a lot, and any end result where Putin is in a position where he can try again later, means that the war for Ukraine is not really over.

Re: Russia confiscates passports of senior officials to stop defections

#86

In America, agent help you travel overseas. In Soviet Russia, agent help oversee your travel.

This is actually a long standing trope in their own culture, countless examples.

For a fun recent one please turn on caption translations and enjoy this short-film/music-video/documentary by Russian band Leningrad:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5bRPTb3z2rU

You won't regret it. :)

Re: Russia confiscates passports of senior officials to stop defections

#87

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Rusia has been inching forwards for months Emphasis on inches. Ukraine War Mapper [1] does a good job documenting the line of control. It's not a good look for what, until recently, looked like a dominating regional power. [1] https://twitter.com/war_mapper

Even if Russia is advancing 100 meters (300 feet) a day eventually it will reach the Western point of Ukraine unless something changes.

But Russia is not advancing 100 meters a day. Not even close.

Re: Russia confiscates passports of senior officials to stop defections

#88

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Rusia has been inching forwards for months Emphasis on inches. Ukraine War Mapper [1] does a good job documenting the line of control. It's not a good look for what, until recently, looked like a dominating regional power. [1] https://twitter.com/war_mapper

Even if Russia is advancing 100 meters (300 feet) a day eventually it will reach the Western point of Ukraine unless something changes.

The man & materials bill they’ve already paid makes that impossible.

This spring will show if they can change the current calculus but if not Russia is going to change the end game.

Re: Russia confiscates passports of senior officials to stop defections

#89
post #49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

> many thousands of high-quality Soviet tanks I'm curious why they have chosen not to deploy them, then.

Because they're old rust-buckets that are only good as supplies of replacement parts for the tanks that still work.

Have you seen that smoking aircraft carrier? Russian military equipment is often in a terrible state.

Of course they also have this brand new super tank, the T-14 Armata. No idea why they're not fielding that one, but I suspect it doesn't work.

Re: Russia confiscates passports of senior officials to stop defections

#90

Clearly they're winning the war /s

[flagged]

You're framing it as if it's China vs Belgium but Russia has about three times the population of Ukraine. And literally millions of Russian men already fled Russia rather than be conscripted.

Looking at current ratio of Russian and Ukrainian losses, having three times the soldiers is not going to be enough.

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