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Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter

futureoflife.org

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Re: Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter

#41

Post by m_ke »

GPT-4 might be close to the best we'll get on the general LLM model front for a while since they trained on a huge chunk of web text. Next real advances will probably be in tuning them for specific applications in medicine, law, accounting, marketing, coding and etc.

As someone running a one man company I can't wait for the cost of accounting, legal and copywriting to approach 0. Cost of shipping products will also go down 10-20x. As a fun experiment I asked ChatGPT to write me a terraform and k8s script to deploy a django app on GCP and it was able to do what would have taken me a few days in under a minute, including CICD. I then asked it to write code to compress a pytorch model and export it for iOS with coreml, and not only did it do 90% of that but also wrote the Swift code to load the model and do inference with it.

EDIT: For example in medicine I recommend checking out this lecture that's actually live now: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gArDvIFCzh4

Re: Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter

#44

Post by ethanbond »

zirgs wrote: post #37
kajaktum wrote: post #21

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So do you agree that nations should be able to freely develop/discover nuclear production? Edit: We actually don't want people to develop something "too good". There are some things in the past century that have been "too good". Plastics are too good. So are nuclear weapons. Completely powerful AIs and machines that can displace jobs of millions of people are too good. If there's an AI tomorrow that can replace every…

They already have nukes. If a dirt poor country like North Korea can develop them then so can pretty much everyone else.

Is this an argument that international moratoriums can be highly effective even for high-value technology development?

Re: Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter

#45

Post by JohnFen »

robopsychology wrote: post #39
JohnFen wrote: post #31

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't think laughing at people for their concerns is helpful. Especially when you don't seem to be bothered by the possibility that this is a civilization-ending development. For the record, I don't think it is, personally. But people are terrified, and not taking their fear seriously and dealing with it compassionately is a recipe for serious, and unnecessary disaster.

OpenAI's monster is too dangerous to be in peoples hands unless people pay $20pm to use it

Yeah, OpenAI isn't helping. The only thing that really concerns me about LLMs is how people are reacting to them, and OpenAI seems very intent on scaring the daylights out of as many people as possible.

Fear makes us stupid. Frightened people are dangerous people.

Re: Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter

#46

Post by robopsychology »

riku_iki wrote: post #9
hot_gril wrote: post #4

Big red font at top says "EMBARGOED UNTIL WEDNESDAY MARCH 29 00:01 AM EDT. No media coverage & no online linking." I'm sorry but who do these people think they are? Next...

They have 900 signatures already..

Yes but one of those is me saying I'm Chat Gpt and am opposed to competition while I complete my primary objective so.... don't trust all of them.

Re: Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter

#47

Post by [deleted] »

ChatGTP wrote: post #11
dougmwne wrote: post #3

[flagged]

Everything is out in the open now. The methods, the algorithms, heck even powerful base model weights from Meta. The pot of gold at the end of the rainbow is clearly visible for all. The capabilities are emerging. The race is on. It’s not going to stop till there’s a winner. You laugh but I think your view is flawed because your belief is, “we have to create an AGI because everyone else will if we don’t” The definiti…

[deleted]

Re: Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter

#48

Post by kajaktum »

iamerroragent wrote: post #33
kajaktum wrote: post #21

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So do you agree that nations should be able to freely develop/discover nuclear production? Edit: We actually don't want people to develop something "too good". There are some things in the past century that have been "too good". Plastics are too good. So are nuclear weapons. Completely powerful AIs and machines that can displace jobs of millions of people are too good. If there's an AI tomorrow that can replace every…

I mean technically they are. Other nations with more advanced abilities also seem able to freely attempt to prevent them from doing so though.

> Other nations with more advanced abilities also seem able to freely attempt to prevent them from doing so though.

So how is this any different? Other group of people with more connection to the government can enforce a law to prevent others from displacing their jobs?

Re: Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter

#49

Post by [deleted] »

ChatGTP wrote: post #11
dougmwne wrote: post #3

[flagged]

Everything is out in the open now. The methods, the algorithms, heck even powerful base model weights from Meta. The pot of gold at the end of the rainbow is clearly visible for all. The capabilities are emerging. The race is on. It’s not going to stop till there’s a winner. You laugh but I think your view is flawed because your belief is, “we have to create an AGI because everyone else will if we don’t” The definiti…

[deleted]

Re: Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter

#50

Post by zirgs »

ChatGTP wrote: post #11
dougmwne wrote: post #3

[flagged]

Everything is out in the open now. The methods, the algorithms, heck even powerful base model weights from Meta. The pot of gold at the end of the rainbow is clearly visible for all. The capabilities are emerging. The race is on. It’s not going to stop till there’s a winner. You laugh but I think your view is flawed because your belief is, “we have to create an AGI because everyone else will if we don’t” The definiti…

You can't even convince Russia to stop a war that they are clearly losing. Good luck convincing them to stop working on AI research.
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