i'd say within 5 years apple will have optimized apple silicon and their tech, along with language model improvements, such that you will be able to get gpt-4 level performance in the iPhone 19 with inference happening entirely locally. openai is doing great work and is serious competition, but I think many underestimate big tech. once they're properly motivated they'll catch up quick. I think we can agree that opena…
It may be so that scaling down a language model like GPT 4 is not possible on hardware systems orders of magnitude smaller than the one used by OpenAI.
I'm not saying it's impossible but it's fallacious to just assume outright that it's inevitable because market forces.
For all we know it could turn out that the only way to get a gpt in a pocket format is through some form of analog chips that must be individually trained that Hinton aptly described as an era of mortal computing.