Live data from Hacker News

The Age of AI has begun

gatesnotes.com

141–150 of 228 posts

Re: The Age of AI has begun

#141

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The main reason microsoft software was ever used in developing countries was because it was easy enough to pirate -- not something the company did "on purpose" that I'm aware of

This! And I have to back you on that: “And as long as they’re going to steal it, we want them to steal ours. They’ll get sort of addicted, and then we’ll somehow figure out how to collect sometime in the next decade.” [1] [1] https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-2006-apr-09-fi-micro...

oh I had never heard it was an explicit strategy, I thought it sort of happened by accident. good to know

Re: The Age of AI has begun

#142

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Before this happens AI will be utilized to better navigate billing at hospitals to maximize the profits.

Let’s play a game of “conservative impacts of AI on the labor force” - the Bureau of Labor Statistics thinks we should have 15% more software engineers in 10 years. What if we had 10% fewer? -800k project managers - how about 650k in 10 years? -nearly 4 million executive assistants and admins - let’s take 1M off that total -millions combined (still) in clerical roles across industries, including financial, medical, w…

In what sense is any of that “conservative”?

(I mean, my intuition would be, for example, that it means more software engineers, and disproportionately even more PMs -- though probably often with a different title -- as it expabds the market for software solutions, and reduces the engineering effort to product decision ratio. But that’s not conservative, any more than your catastrophizing is.)

Re: The Age of AI has begun

#143
post #106

Earlier quoted context omitted.

2023 AI is basically magic. LLMs and diffusors are the first AI technology to keep the AI name. All previously developed AIs lost their AI naming rights - magic powers - soon after production deployment. These two are truly AI - they’re still magic, perhaps even more so than even 3 months ago and given the number of parameters in them, this will likely remain true for a while. Working with ChatGPT and stable diffusio…

> LLMs and diffusors are the first AI technology to keep the AI name "AI" is not a static name that can be given to something and it remains AI. What was AI today will not be AI tomorrow, it'll be too simple by then. Just as the AI written in the 1950s is not even AI by today standards, while it was groundbreaking at the time. This moment will too come to pass, and people will look at 2023 AI as "AI that lost its nam…

I hope not… it’d mean the current generation is obsolete, and it’s already scary enough as is

Re: The Age of AI has begun

#144

I guess one of my own issues with AI, is seeing how the tools we already have, have been twisted by greedy, ruthless people (many of whom are on this very venue). I was one of the people that started off in tech with dreams of a digital Nirvana. I ignored the "negative naysayers," and sallied forth, with an open heart, and hope for the future. I'm really quite disappointed in what we've done with these marvelous tool…

>I think we'll be seeing AI-driven scammers, calling and messaging us, almost incessantly, I think we'll be seeing AI-generated political manipulation, like fake videos and audio, of politicians and public figures, I think we'll be seeing AI-driven promotional campaigns, and almost undetectably subtle media manipulation, like corporations seeding news stories with their talking points. I also think that we'll be seeing AI-driven workplaces, where it will be hard to be simply human, and AI-driven surveillance, by authoritarian regimes (and people right here, will happily sell it to them).

I've been having similar concerns, however, I just wanted to note in this paragraph there is not a damn thing you've listed here that isn't already being done right now without ai. We already get scammed incessantly. Every political message we receive is meant for manipulation versus actual understanding. Corporations have been seeding news stories since there was ever news stories. We have corporate cultures that routinely dehumanize us, forcing us to be sedentary indoors, when we ought to be foraging during the daylight if we actually lived according to our biology. we surveille eachother, and have no need of any advanced technology to oppress ourselves by the millions with brutal effectiveness. If you are concerned now, then you must not have been paying much attention. If you have issues with these things, then ai is not what you need to be going after, this is how the world is incentivized to run.

Re: The Age of AI has begun

#145

Oh please . This is such a trope at this point. We asked ChatGPT a question about a system the other day. Its response was, > That number is equivalent to [another number]. That number controls $thing, and that number is the recommended value for thing according to $standard. It relates to $unrelated_thing. It did the math wrong when converting the number from one unit to another. (From days to seconds.) While it got…

Two years ago it would have been considered “too high level” for an AI to produce art. “It’s just a sophisticated collage” is what some comments would say about Dall.e. Now we are realising that a human’s ability to create art isn’t actually all that special and can be reduced to a model.

A year ago it would have been considered too high level for an AI to provide insightful feedback on the themes contained in the draft of a script, but here we are again.

Every comment here is words strung together, and we are going to realise that we were the ones bullshitting all along. AI will expose that our high levelled reasoning (and who knows what else) is not particularly special.

Re: The Age of AI has begun

#146
post #66

Earlier quoted context omitted.

For the longest time I would have said the internet was the most revolutionary moment in the last century. But the more I dwell on it, I debate if the pocket touchscreen smartphone was really the moment. Before phone, I printed Mapquest onto paper. The end result was pretty similar to me using an old paper map. The internet was evolutionary in that regard. It replaced some newspaper, and letters/phone calls. Text mes…

> iPhone 4 introduced mobile copy and paste. To the iPhone. There were phones on the market that supported copy and paste by the time the first iPhone rolled around. I would tend to agree with you about the rest; the internet didn't strike the average person as very useful, or at least as revolutionary as it did with the advent of the smartphone. Arguably the iPhone was the mainstream breakthrough there. But this is…

Yeah, I had copy/paste on a Windows CE device, but Apples per usual was better.

And what I meant by it is I would otherwise give the revolution award to the 3GS, but really the 4 was the first “feature complete” iPhone, without visible pixels. It was the maturation and commotization moment for a previously bit niche product.

Re: The Age of AI has begun

#147

I guess one of my own issues with AI, is seeing how the tools we already have, have been twisted by greedy, ruthless people (many of whom are on this very venue). I was one of the people that started off in tech with dreams of a digital Nirvana. I ignored the "negative naysayers," and sallied forth, with an open heart, and hope for the future. I'm really quite disappointed in what we've done with these marvelous tool…

I wonder if humans would behave better - or at least, be more reigned-in - if we could only interact with people we are physically close to.

That works well actually, until you get some other group that moves into the community, then they are blamed for all ills and targeted with violence that is only possible due to physical proximity.

Re: The Age of AI has begun

#148
post #5

I’ve been thinking a lot about how AI can reduce some of the world’s worst inequities. But he fails to mention in the risks how AI can also be a cause of increase for some of the world's worst inequalities due to failure to have representative datasets, or simply by creating an ever increasing technological gap between classes(just 2 off the top of my head).

Job displacement: AI could automate low-skilled jobs, leading to job losses for low-income workers while increasing demand for high-skilled workers, widening the income gap. Digital divide: Unequal access to advanced AI technologies could exacerbate existing inequalities between developed and developing nations, as well as between urban and rural populations. Concentration of wealth: As AI technologies are developed…

ChatGPT comment

Re: The Age of AI has begun

#150

> In my lifetime, I’ve seen two demonstrations of technology that struck me as revolutionary. > The first time was in 1980, when I was introduced to a graphical user interface > The second big surprise came just last year. I’d been meeting with the team from OpenAI I guess it's not surprising since Microsoft was late to the game with IE, but it's interesting he never mentions "the internet" in this list.

Here I am thinking the gui abstracted too much away and future generations (mine included) are worse off for it
Post reply on HN