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The Age of AI has begun

gatesnotes.com

51–60 of 228 posts

Re: The Age of AI has begun

#51
post #33

> In my lifetime, I’ve seen two demonstrations of technology that struck me as revolutionary. > The first time was in 1980, when I was introduced to a graphical user interface > The second big surprise came just last year. I’d been meeting with the team from OpenAI I guess it's not surprising since Microsoft was late to the game with IE, but it's interesting he never mentions "the internet" in this list.

The internet never had its "aha" moment like AI is now. Most people didn't know or care about it until decades into its existence.

I don’t think this is true. I would agree that the aha moment was not for everyone at the same time.

But for most people that I saw accessing the internet the first time it clicked immediately and they were hooked.

Re: The Age of AI has begun

#52
post #34

> I picked AP Bio because the test is more than a simple regurgitation of scientific facts—it asks you to think critically about biology. Of course, the LLM is just regurgitating the facts from the textbooks as well as thousands or millions of test samples. It's certainly possible to formulate a biology question that a decent student would be able to answer easily, but LLM would be helpless at (by carefully choosing…

> Of course, the LLM is just regurgitating the facts from the textbooks as well as thousands or millions of test samples.

Indeed. For some of us in the world of business, this is actually a very compelling "just".

Most use cases are indeed still bullshit, but I think we are getting to a point where maybe there exists at least one that isn't, and many of us don't want to be left holding the bag when the threshold hits 50%.

Re: The Age of AI has begun

#53
post #34

> I picked AP Bio because the test is more than a simple regurgitation of scientific facts—it asks you to think critically about biology. Of course, the LLM is just regurgitating the facts from the textbooks as well as thousands or millions of test samples. It's certainly possible to formulate a biology question that a decent student would be able to answer easily, but LLM would be helpless at (by carefully choosing…

> Of course, the LLM is just regurgitating the facts from the textbooks as well as thousands or millions of test samples.

Sure, it is regurgitating facts. What's impressive is that it knows which facts to regurgitate.

Re: The Age of AI has begun

#54

> In my lifetime, I’ve seen two demonstrations of technology that struck me as revolutionary. > The first time was in 1980, when I was introduced to a graphical user interface > The second big surprise came just last year. I’d been meeting with the team from OpenAI I guess it's not surprising since Microsoft was late to the game with IE, but it's interesting he never mentions "the internet" in this list.

From the article:

I’m lucky to have been involved with the PC revolution and the Internet revolution. I’m just as excited about this moment.

Re: The Age of AI has begun

#55
post #41

I thought this was a pretty good post, but I'm still pretty shocked that people as intelligent as Gates don't spend more time on the potential downsides. To be clear, he does highlight some of the downsides, but his responses are just "handwavy" in my opinion. What is most baffling to me is that the highlight of this post is that Gates talks about the potential for AI to reduce worldwide inequality, where in all hone…

[dead]

Ah yes. The founder of one of the top tech firms in the world really just doesn't know much about tech. Thanks for your analysis. You must be swimming in the millions from your genius investments.

Re: The Age of AI has begun

#56

> Philanthropy is my full-time job these days, and I’ve been thinking a lot about how—in addition to helping people be more productive—AI can reduce some of the world’s worst inequities. Globally, the worst inequity is in health: 5 million children under the age of 5 die every year. One great first step Open AI can take towards this is by actually making their models open. As long as the models are intentionally kept…

Is it your theory that capitalism makes people poorer?

Re: The Age of AI has begun

#57
post #34

> I picked AP Bio because the test is more than a simple regurgitation of scientific facts—it asks you to think critically about biology. Of course, the LLM is just regurgitating the facts from the textbooks as well as thousands or millions of test samples. It's certainly possible to formulate a biology question that a decent student would be able to answer easily, but LLM would be helpless at (by carefully choosing…

Yeah, I think that we need to probe how much these models are merely memorising their inputs rather than learning a more genereal, compressed (sortof) representation.

Honestly though, ten years ago NLP was using Bag of Words and Markov Chains, it's pretty phenomenal how far it's come.

To be fair, I mostly agree with your main point, but it's still remarkably impressive progress in a relatively short period of time.

Re: The Age of AI has begun

#59

> In my lifetime, I’ve seen two demonstrations of technology that struck me as revolutionary. > The first time was in 1980, when I was introduced to a graphical user interface > The second big surprise came just last year. I’d been meeting with the team from OpenAI I guess it's not surprising since Microsoft was late to the game with IE, but it's interesting he never mentions "the internet" in this list.

The internet evolved, it wasn't just useful all at once (as in "a demonstration that struck me"). Early users struggled every day to grow its utility and find more uses, all the way from a glorified BBS to what it is today.

And a lot of people here helped it to become what it is today. Cheers!

Re: The Age of AI has begun

#60
> The rise of AI will free people up to do things that software never will—teaching, caring for patients, and supporting the elderly, for example.

Every sci-fi movie show any of those jobs as replaced by AI (or robots). Probably they will not achieve the same level of connection (mostly because they will lack a human body to make expressions, at least at the beginning).

Those jobs will be replaced, not because there is a human that will be replaced, but because there is no human doing them. There are plenty of people in need of education, caring or just loneliness.

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