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GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs

arxiv.org

171–180 of 235 posts

Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs

#171

Earlier quoted context omitted.

ChatGPT is nothing more than long-form autocomplete. The specifics of approach are irrelevant.

A human brain is nothing more than long-form autocomplete. The specifics of approach are irrelevant.

But the human brain is a much more mature product (although I will concede there are still a ton of bugs to work out that we really have no idea how to repair because the product is extremely complex and still pretty fragile).

Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs

#172

I asked Chat GPT which antacid medications are contraindicated for some medication I'm on. Easily found through NICE. It made up a severe risk of death taking a very common medicine combo. It was super convincing, even giving information on how long to avoid taking them together. It was pure bullshit. I think as much as hyping the benefits we need to hype the flaws and dangers. If the public at large learn to trust t…

I've been using Bing AI instead of Google for a few days to test it out. It gives responses with citations. A few times already it has hallucinated details that aren't on the cited website at all, but that do sound very plausible (for example something about the horns of a bull pointing up when I asked about the etymology of "bullish".) I think it comes down to the fact that most stuff is actually like 90% bullshit s…

I've had it struggle to give me citations at all sometimes. Once I even had it give me a citation to a C# webpage for an Elixir question

Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs

#173

With little kids I am increasingly conscious about how to best equip them for the world when they are adults. I think previous playbook will need to be redrafted. 'Resilience' and 'Critical Thinking' are two things I am thinking are key any others?

Hard to say. I, like many others here, am a software developer. My girlfriend of many years (have a daughter together) is a graphic designer. I never thought creative work like the one she does was going to be the first hit by AI, I actually thought it’d be the last, yet here we are. Her boss is nonchalantly talking about StableDiffusion, Modjourney and whatnot.

Meanwhile my cousing who wasn’t good at studying became a (good) hairdresser and his prospects look better than ours now.

Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs

#174
post #14

Honestly, I feel worse for checkout girls locally - people are more often replaced by improvements to low hanging fruit, and not the emergence of apparently incomprehensively profound. The truth is that we're impressed by this because it's magic and we don't know how magic - but it still getting way more magic really fucking fast. Right now it's still and idiot if you're not telling it what to do. Hypnotic babble. (I…

The outsourced call center is part of the local economy where they live. In some countries contact centers make up a large fraction of GDP

Sure, but it's unrealistic to think that the preservation of foreign economies is going to be any sort of priority over the next few years.

Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs

#175
post #50

With little kids I am increasingly conscious about how to best equip them for the world when they are adults. I think previous playbook will need to be redrafted. 'Resilience' and 'Critical Thinking' are two things I am thinking are key any others?

The key is being rich before AGI hits. I cannot imagine any social mobility after that. And philosophy maybe to find a meaning for their lives in the world where achievements don't exist any more. And don't push them too hard to learn skills that will become obsolete anyway - having a relaxed mind is more important

[deleted]

Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs

#176

Earlier quoted context omitted.

ChatGPT is nothing more than long-form autocomplete. The specifics of approach are irrelevant.

A human brain is nothing more than long-form autocomplete. The specifics of approach are irrelevant.

Everyone likes to say this, but no one seems to provide evidence. I don't believe it.

Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs

#177
It is important to start thinking along the lines of the government taxing corporations using LLM to increase their profit. This additional tax revenue should be used by the Government to give a universal basic income to people losing their livelihood to LLMs.

Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs

#178
post #170

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How is a hammer "not working as expected" if you hit your hand with it? This makes no sense. If I hit my hand with a hammer, what am I supposed to expect except causing pain and injury? If I try to light a cigarette and accidentally set my beard on fire due to my own clumsyness, did the lighter malfunction? No, the lighter did exactly what it was supposed to do, it was my hand that didn't do what I expected.

If you want to continue with semantics, the worker did not expect to hit his thumb until the hammer bounced off of it, hence the tool did not work as expected. Until regular hammers are able to put nails into wood by themselves, we are talking about the success of the complete system that includes both the hammer and its user. Either way, when working with humans we already deal with plenty of misses and mistakes. Pr…

Nice packpedal, except now what you said makes no sense anyway because the discussion was about tools doing what you expect them to do, not "tool + human systems" doing what you expect them to. These are two different things.

Do you think a carpenter who hits themselves with a hammer blames the hammer or themselves? Or are you going to unironically tell me they would blame the hammer + human system?

Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs

#179

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Humans are also "black boxes" we don't fully understand. It's worked pretty well.

This is a shallow counterargument that entirely misses the point.

This is not even an argument, only a disagreement.
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