OpenAI is among the authors, so this paper can be biased.
GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs
21–30 of 235 posts
Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs
#22We are currently surviving with a massive shortage of skilled labor, where people in the richest countries have to wait days or weeks to see a doctor, and months to see a specialist and have important medical procedures.
The same is true for other skilled industries, where many people are excluded from access to good resources due to their scarcity.
We are a long way off from having too much skill. Let’s first get to parity with humanity’s needs.
Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs
#23We are currently surviving with a massive shortage of skilled labor, where people in the richest countries have to wait days or weeks to see a doctor, and months to see a specialist and have important medical procedures. The same is true for other skilled industries, where many people are excluded from access to good resources due to their scarcity. We are a long way off from having too much skill. Let’s first get to…
The primary issue is not shortage of skilled labour. This is a right wing political soundbite.
What there is a shortage of is adequate pay to attract skilled people to the work required. British Doctors in the UK leave for other countries, work for private entities or go into different industries.
Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs
#24I think more parallels should be drawn with what we were doing before: Googling it.
Perhaps it's because ChatGPT seemed to happen much more suddenly than Google became a programming resource, but we're using them in much the same way. Asking for pre-made solutions, explanations, troubleshooting tips etc.
ChatGPT just does the job way better. But no-one was worried Google would put knowledge workers out of a job.
Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs
#25We are currently surviving with a massive shortage of skilled labor, where people in the richest countries have to wait days or weeks to see a doctor, and months to see a specialist and have important medical procedures. The same is true for other skilled industries, where many people are excluded from access to good resources due to their scarcity. We are a long way off from having too much skill. Let’s first get to…
The primary issue is not shortage of skilled labour. This is a right wing political soundbite. What there is a shortage of is adequate pay to attract skilled people to the work required. British Doctors in the UK leave for other countries, work for private entities or go into different industries.
[deleted]
Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs
#26Total trash cloaked in a complicated story.
What they actually did is ask 5 random people to rate what thought a language model could do to help different professions. These 5 random people don't know anything about the professions they're rating, just what anyone off the street knows, and they know as much about GPT as anyone who has briefly played with it.
The title should have been "We asked 5 friends to see what they thought about GPT and labor market"
Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs
#27Given that the primary author is OpenAI affiliated and some of the assumptions are far fetched (e.g., on programming - not even coding) this reads like a sponsored post pamphlet to me.
You have to give openai credit - their marketing strategy and effort is amazing. There’s spam everywhere. Albeit those claiming their jobs are already being replaced or those claiming they’ve written entire apps using chat gpt are quieting down a bit. They’ve either been called out for their nonsense or they got ahead of themselves.
Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs
#28> Our findings indicate that the importance of science and critical thinking skills are strongly negatively associated with exposure, suggesting that occupations requiring these skills are less likely to be impacted by current language models. Conversely, programming and writing skills show a strong positive association with exposure, implying that occupations involving these skills are more susceptible to being infl…
Programming skills that do not need critical thinking are more susceptible of being influenced indeed. Don't forget that a lot of science requires computer programming these days. This is the root of it: The more "genericc" your work is. The more its "out there on the internet" the more GPT can learn about it.. So, a lot of engineers that are just doign teh same old trick: Writing HTTP endpoints, parsing json. Mappin…
> The more its "out there on the internet" the more GPT can learn about it.
Interesting point. Do you think this will mean less and less domain experts will share their specific domain knowledge on a subject on their own personal blogs / twitter / open internet just so it can't be mined by ChatGPT?
Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs
#29I asked Chat GPT which antacid medications are contraindicated for some medication I'm on. Easily found through NICE.
It made up a severe risk of death taking a very common medicine combo. It was super convincing, even giving information on how long to avoid taking them together. It was pure bullshit.
I think as much as hyping the benefits we need to hype the flaws and dangers.
If the public at large learn to trust these LLMs too quickly and deeply, that's a hard hole to dig out of. Skepticism in all information sources is a key critical thinking life skill.
That skill is harder to apply the more natural the information source seems and the more ambient the information.
Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs
#30> Our findings indicate that the importance of science and critical thinking skills are strongly negatively associated with exposure, suggesting that occupations requiring these skills are less likely to be impacted by current language models. Conversely, programming and writing skills show a strong positive association with exposure, implying that occupations involving these skills are more susceptible to being infl…
>Am I reading this correctly that the assumption here is that programming and writing skills aren't reliant on critical thinking?
No, they're just listing some skills that have both negative and positive associations with exposure. I don't think they intend to make a statement about whether the skills themselves are correlated. It's possible for them to be positively correlated with each other, even if one is positively and the other is negatively correlated with exposure (think multidimensional vectors).
> There is also a table which indicates exposure to LLMs in various models and it shows Mathematicians to have 100% exposure. This bit is more puzzling to me. Maybe I am misunderstanding something here.
Right, another one that stood out to me is the listing of financial investments as the most affected industry. I'm certainly not letting GPT-4 make investment choices for me. I guess it could summarize analyst reports or something? They seem to be making some very speculative assumptions about what ML will be capable of in the future. The paper would be more useful if they didn't go off like this and stayed closer to published ML research.