GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs
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Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs
#2==Occupations with no labeled exposed tasks==
Agricultural Equipment Operators
Athletes and Sports Competitors
Automotive Glass Installers and Repairers
Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists
Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers
Cooks, Short Order
Cutters and Trimmers, Hand
Derrick Operators, Oil and Gas
Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers
Dishwashers
Dredge Operators
Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers
Excavating and Loading Machine and Dragline Operators,
Surface Mining
Floor Layers, Except Carpet, Wood, and Hard Tiles
Foundry Mold and Coremakers
Helpers–Brickmasons, Blockmasons, Stonemasons, and Tile and
Marble Setters
Helpers–Carpenters
Helpers–Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons
Helpers–Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters
Helpers–Roofers
Meat, Poultry, and Fish Cutters and Trimmers
Motorcycle Mechanics
Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators
Pile Driver Operators
Pourers and Casters, Metal
Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators
Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons
Roof Bolters, Mining
Roustabouts, Oil and Gas
Slaughterers and Meat Packers
Stonemasons
Tapers
Tire Repairers and Changers
Wellhead Pumpers
Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs
#3This is an incredibly interesting study and brings to light some crucial points that we, as a society, need to address sooner rather than later. As GPTs become more powerful and ubiquitous, they have the potential to reshape the labor market in ways we haven't seen since the industrial revolution.
Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs
#4==Occupations with no labeled exposed tasks== Agricultural Equipment Operators Athletes and Sports Competitors Automotive Glass Installers and Repairers Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers Cooks, Short Order Cutters and Trimmers, Hand Derrick Operators, Oil and Gas Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers Dishwashers Dredge Operators Electrical…
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Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs
#5Okay so was the original acronym for generative pre-trained transformer intentionally chosen this way as a play on words?
Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs
#6==Occupations with no labeled exposed tasks== Agricultural Equipment Operators Athletes and Sports Competitors Automotive Glass Installers and Repairers Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers Cooks, Short Order Cutters and Trimmers, Hand Derrick Operators, Oil and Gas Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers Dishwashers Dredge Operators Electrical…
Unfortunately, the great majority of these jobs are already being automated with basic robotics
Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs
#7==Occupations with no labeled exposed tasks== Agricultural Equipment Operators Athletes and Sports Competitors Automotive Glass Installers and Repairers Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers Cooks, Short Order Cutters and Trimmers, Hand Derrick Operators, Oil and Gas Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers Dishwashers Dredge Operators Electrical…
I feel like everyone is trying to draw very linear conclusions about what LLMs will affect, almost as if it's a circle that will be cut out of the market.
But if we really get to the point where programmers can be replaced with LLMs, I expect something closer to swiss cheese: For example, if you're a meat packer, maybe you work someplace that doesn't want to pay for a fancy new machine that can do your job...
But a massive plummeting in the cost of software paired with a massive spike in the rate at which we develop things means machines will cost a lot less. Who knows what kind of material sciences advancements we'll see for example.
At that point the margins may be razor thin, but automation will start to work in places where it couldn't be done profitably before. I think things get a little dystopian from there, since I'd expect the employers still holding onto humans to essentially be holding all the cards. What good is a union when the "scab" is a machine with a one time cost?
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(but again, this is all assuming LLMs reach a place that is seriously earthshattering)
Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs
#8With their methodology and caveats, mathematicians have 100% exposure.
Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs
#9> Our findings indicate that the importance of science and critical thinking skills are strongly negatively
associated with exposure, suggesting that occupations requiring these skills are less likely to be impacted by
current language models. Conversely, programming and writing skills show a strong positive association
with exposure, implying that occupations involving these skills are more susceptible to being influenced by
language models...
Am I reading this correctly that the assumption here is that programming and writing skills aren't reliant on critical thinking?
There is also a table which indicates exposure to LLMs in various models and it shows Mathematicians to have 100% exposure. This bit is more puzzling to me. Maybe I am misunderstanding something here.
edit: styling
Re: GPTs Are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs
#10==Occupations with no labeled exposed tasks== Agricultural Equipment Operators Athletes and Sports Competitors Automotive Glass Installers and Repairers Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers Cooks, Short Order Cutters and Trimmers, Hand Derrick Operators, Oil and Gas Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers Dishwashers Dredge Operators Electrical…
Unfortunately, the great majority of these jobs are already being automated with basic robotics
How is that unfortunate?