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Build full “product skills” and you'll probably be fine

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Re: Build full “product skills” and you'll probably be fine

#2
If programmers can be replaced by AI, so can every other white collar job and humanity will look very different than what it is now. And I’ve been using ChatGPT and copilot and it’s a nice tool but nowhere near a replacement for knowing how to program.

Re: Build full “product skills” and you'll probably be fine

#5
This reminds me of a tweet I saw couple of weeks ago from someone(I don't remember who it was) that said the reason they ship stuff fast is because they're using jQuery. Focus on what you're building and use the tools you're experienced with, don't jump on every fad.

Re: Build full “product skills” and you'll probably be fine

#6

If programmers can be replaced by AI, so can every other white collar job and humanity will look very different than what it is now. And I’ve been using ChatGPT and copilot and it’s a nice tool but nowhere near a replacement for knowing how to program.

Right now it is a kindergarten child at cognitive level, and like humans it will grow up and evolve, unless we nuke ourselves before it happens.

Re: Build full “product skills” and you'll probably be fine

#7
post #4

I would just remind everyone that this so-called intelligence is generative text editor and feeds on our creativity/content. Probably it is going to degenerate (pun intended) after feeding on stuff that it generated itself. What do you think?

They can control its diet

Re: Build full “product skills” and you'll probably be fine

#9

If programmers can be replaced by AI, so can every other white collar job and humanity will look very different than what it is now. And I’ve been using ChatGPT and copilot and it’s a nice tool but nowhere near a replacement for knowing how to program.

This person is asking about career prospects 10-15 years out though.

I'm sorry, but the landscape in then might be as alien to someone asking today, as todays would have been to someone asking 15 years ago (2008).

What John said is correct, but personally I think he's underplaying how much people could be affected. Those "product skills" take years of grinding to really sharpen, and in 15 years only a few people might actually be needed to apply them

Re: Build full “product skills” and you'll probably be fine

#10
What’s left unsaid: many programmers can’t or don’t want to “accomplish something for people”. They just want to code.

Such “automation is not a problem, because…” opinions have something in common: they’re looking at a subset of the affected population which has some trait making the transition easier.

Personally I’ve tried my hand at roles like architect, product owner, scrum master, etc and I was involved in most aspects of a software product’s lifecycle. These other roles are very different to coding and for someone that enjoys the simplicity of taming a machine, even exhausting.

I have my doubts that there will be enough “AI guide” jobs for all programmers, but the specific person Carmack’s talking to may indeed be fine.

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