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Unpredictable abilities emerging from large AI models

quantamagazine.org

191–200 of 326 posts

Re: Unpredictable abilities emerging from large AI models

#191

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Thanks for the future you helped create for us young people. Hopefully the next generation is more merciful to 'useless' people than the previous one.

This is shortsighted. AI slave labor is the only route to a true overproduction and marxism, a welfare state. Or every body become slaves.

Who needs slaves? What use will they be?

Why overproduce?

Re: Unpredictable abilities emerging from large AI models

#192
post #59

I'd like to see posts on LLMs written from a different perspective. For me, the surprise comes not from the sudden emergent capability of language models, but that the understanding (and synthesis!) of ideas encoded in language has succumbed to literally nothing more than statistical analysis. Or at least come that much closer to doing so. That it bears so close a resemblance to actual thinking says more about the im…

I find the phrase "statistical analysis" a frustrating one nowadays as it seems to have become a signal for "I hold a particular philosophy of the mind". I don't understand this use of "statistical" as a diminutive to describe these models. Why can't incredibly complicated behavior be emergent from matrix multiplication subject to optimization in the same way that our biological matter has developed complicated emerg…

I can't say that my philosophy affected my choice of words in the way that you mean. I'm just expressing wonder at how well the abstraction performs.

Re: Unpredictable abilities emerging from large AI models

#193

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We all are. Some want porn of Emma Watson, some want porn of werewolves and some just want to see porn of their ex. And soon we are all gonna get what we want. That‘s the silver lining to the massive job destruction that is to come.

Well, it seems like the answer to what to do with all the useless people. Some had said drugs and video games, but I’m sure that custom VR porn dens will work too.

What useful thing are you doing to call others useless?

Re: Unpredictable abilities emerging from large AI models

#194

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My bad. It's the caps. I'll remove the caps. Just picture me saying it a nicer way.

Gloating over people being wrong is rarely nice

Not if it's said in a nice way. The commenter called LLMs a freaking auto complete. That's not nice either, but nice enough for HN. So I figured a little subtle gloating is deserved and well within the bounds of etiquette here on HN.

Re: Unpredictable abilities emerging from large AI models

#195

Nice write up! I have been using classic back-prop neural networks since the 1980s, and deep learning for the last 8 years. This tech feels like a rocket ship that is accelerating exponentially! I am in my 70s and I don't work much anymore. That said, I find myself spending many hours in a typical day doing what I call "gentleman scientist" activities around Large Language Models. I was walking this morning with a no…

Indeed, it's fascinating to witness a sizable segment of the HN community and distinguished intellectuals like Chomsky displaying absolute denial. I've started bookmarking the comments so I can look back at them in 5 years and have a good laugh. Some from a few months back are already aging badly[0].

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34197033

Re: Unpredictable abilities emerging from large AI models

#196
post #59

I'd like to see posts on LLMs written from a different perspective. For me, the surprise comes not from the sudden emergent capability of language models, but that the understanding (and synthesis!) of ideas encoded in language has succumbed to literally nothing more than statistical analysis. Or at least come that much closer to doing so. That it bears so close a resemblance to actual thinking says more about the im…

I find the phrase "statistical analysis" a frustrating one nowadays as it seems to have become a signal for "I hold a particular philosophy of the mind". I don't understand this use of "statistical" as a diminutive to describe these models. Why can't incredibly complicated behavior be emergent from matrix multiplication subject to optimization in the same way that our biological matter has developed complicated emerg…

> I find the phrase "statistical analysis" a frustrating one nowadays as it seems to have become a signal for "I hold a particular philosophy of the mind".

LLMs are trained to reproduce human text, that is different from for example AlphaGo that is trained to win Go games. Trained to reproduce data is what we mean with a statistical model, trained to win is how we got superhuman performance before, while trained to reproduce data performs worse than the original creators of the data.

Re: Unpredictable abilities emerging from large AI models

#197

Nice write up! I have been using classic back-prop neural networks since the 1980s, and deep learning for the last 8 years. This tech feels like a rocket ship that is accelerating exponentially! I am in my 70s and I don't work much anymore. That said, I find myself spending many hours in a typical day doing what I call "gentleman scientist" activities around Large Language Models. I was walking this morning with a no…

Indeed, it's fascinating to witness a sizable segment of the HN community and distinguished intellectuals like Chomsky displaying absolute denial. I've started bookmarking the comments so I can look back at them in 5 years and have a good laugh. Some from a few months back are already aging badly[0]. [0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34197033

Has Chomsky been right about anything?

Re: Unpredictable abilities emerging from large AI models

#198
post #170

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>I think emergent behaviour happens in a lot of videogames. Famously in Dwarf Fortress, with the cat getting drunk, but also in general, where game designers play the game to see if emergent behaviour of the game rules "feels" good. Depends. Dwarf fortress and games are sort of a contradiction. Emergent behavior is emergent because the behavior was not designed explicitly. However for games like DF the game was expli…

My thought of what "emergent behavior" is, isn't that it is necessarily "unintended", but rather that it isn't really present in the small scale stuff, and isn't an obvious consequence of the small scale stuff? Like, a qualitative difference between the base level stuff, and the consequences when it all fits together. Like, if God intended for the universe to have something which acts like water, when designing subat…

That's a blurry definition I can sort of feel what you're trying to convey here but objectively it doesn't make sense.

A brick building for example. Is a brick building the emergent effect of bricks? No. This makes your definition inconsistent because it should fit the brick building but colloquially we know it doesn't fit. A brick building is NOT an emergent effect of bricks. It was deliberately designed from bricks.

So long as the effect is some reduction of entropy and there was no intention in producing such effect then it is "emergent." This is really the only definition that is consistently inline with our intuition of the concept.

Re: Unpredictable abilities emerging from large AI models

#199

>“That language models can do these sort of things was never discussed in any literature that I’m aware of," I had previously the expectation that unpredictable emergent behavior would exist in any sufficiently complex system? Based on layman's readings in chaos and complexity theory.

For some reason that quote and your point made more salient to me a trend with AI research, which is that it seems to increasingly become difficult to understand and predict. That is, for awhile it seemed like tinkering in computer science without strong grounding in mathematical or statistical theory, and then there started to be a lot of discussion about "black box" processes, explainability, and interpretability a…

In my mind it’s not dissimilar to when new physical phenomena were discovered in the past (electricity, electromagnetism, steam engines, atomic spectra, invariance of the speed of light, blackbody curve), where it could take decades to come to a proper understanding of how and why they work.

Re: Unpredictable abilities emerging from large AI models

#200

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Doing a table lookup for common cases and computing for the less common ones is perfectly valid!

And for some problems it's even efficient. Not factorial, though.

Oh you're right, hive mind, it's efficient. Sorry.
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