Earlier quoted context omitted.
To say AI will be important is like saying 'guns' will be important or 'internal combustion engines' will be important around the time they are created. In the past these creations took some time to massively change the world, but they did so in unimaginable ways. With AI we are not going to get the benefit of time, especially if the growth rate of the intelligence of AI keeps at is recent, or even faster trajectorie…
> especially if the growth rate of the intelligence of AI keeps at is recent, or even faster trajectories. How are you measuring intelligence? How are you defining intelligence? Formal measures of intelligence like ARC still show even SOTA LLM’s doing incredibly poorly. As Chollet said, people are misinterpreting LLMs as looking or seeming intelligent, therefore they are, just in the same sense that they think there…
Microsoft lays off one of its responsible AI teams
301–310 of 466 posts
Re: Microsoft lays off one of its responsible AI teams
#302Earlier quoted context omitted.
That's not AGI. An AGI would be able to tell you they don't know things, ask for clarification as to why you think they're wrong, etc. ChatGPT just spouts out a different wild guess when you tell it it's wrong, but doesn't learn from its mistake—not even within a single chat. Sydney just goes full psychopath.
That's not AGI. AGI would be able to write its own code, and improve it exponentially.
Re: Microsoft lays off one of its responsible AI teams
#303Re: Microsoft lays off one of its responsible AI teams
#304Earlier quoted context omitted.
AGI worries we probably could ignore until AGI exists but there is now an industry around them which has its own momentum.
This seems dumb to me. It’s like if the Japanese had the clairvoyant ability to know that nuclear bombs were being built and used and the immediate future and said “We can ignore it until it exists)”. No. You leave Hiroshima and Nagasaki now and not when the freaking bombs are above your head.
Existing AI is more important to worry about.
Re: Microsoft lays off one of its responsible AI teams
#305Earlier quoted context omitted.
Almost entirely, the existence of Chief Diversity Officers - and to a lesser but still prevalent extent, this "off-to-the-side" teams you mention - are just jobs programs with an identity politics twist. CDOs exist so that the "right" people can have a high-power (even if only via public perception), well-paid C-suite role. These ethics teams exist so that a group of the "right" people can level up their resumes. Ins…
More than being created to create jobs, I suspect things like ethics teams are mainly created for PR purposes, to make the company look good -- and in fact, the "product" they are expected to produce are defenses against the company looking bad, keep the actual product teams from doing things that make the company look bad. (Whether they are given the tools to succeed at this is another question, but it's not like pe…
Re: Microsoft lays off one of its responsible AI teams
#306Earlier quoted context omitted.
The main issue I see is terminology. Ethics is a broad field. “AI Ethics” has come to mean mostly eliminating different kinds of bias from AI models. However, AI raises multitudes of ethical questions, and merely being unbiased is far from enough for an AI model (or a person) to be acting ethically.
Whenever I hear the word “ethics” I always ask myself “whose”. I hate how people talk about ethics as if it was some non-controversial topic where everyone can clearly see what the “right” answers are. This world features a competition between radically opposed ethical systems. We don’t agree on whether ethics is objective (i.e. some people’s ethics are superior to those of others) or subjective (i.e. “superior” is j…
Re: Microsoft lays off one of its responsible AI teams
#307These sorts of adjunct, off-to-the-side "ethics" teams are always corporate window dressing, and when push comes to shove they always get jettisoned when competition demands an increase in speed. I don't mean to start a flame war, but this is a reason why I think "Chief Diversity Officers" are such an ill-conceived notion. It's not that I don't think diversity in corporate environments is extremely valuable, but it's…
Re: Microsoft lays off one of its responsible AI teams
#308Earlier quoted context omitted.
> AI alignment people are the group who are capable of bringing AGI to life, but want to do it responsibly. AI alignment people are the group who believe “responsibly” means, centrally, bringing AGI to existence as fast as possible, and, critically, under the tight, opaque, authoritarian control of a narrow group of people whose ideology is, well, exemplified by figures like Sam Bankman-Fried, and doing everything po…
Sam Bankman-Fried is a uniquely terrible example of ideology, given St. Petersburg: https://conversationswithtyler.com/episodes/sam-bankman-frie... and https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/open-thread-250 (and, y'know, being a fraudster who temporarily pulled the wool over the eyes of the regulators not just the charities he promised money to) Also: is SBF really the central example of alignment in your head, and no…
For normal people who don't spend six hours every day on lesswrong, they were literally in the same camp up until about six months ago (when all the "rationalists" violently disclaimed SBF after being funded by him for a few good years.)
Re: Microsoft lays off one of its responsible AI teams
#309These sorts of adjunct, off-to-the-side "ethics" teams are always corporate window dressing, and when push comes to shove they always get jettisoned when competition demands an increase in speed. I don't mean to start a flame war, but this is a reason why I think "Chief Diversity Officers" are such an ill-conceived notion. It's not that I don't think diversity in corporate environments is extremely valuable, but it's…
The fact that you pre-emptively accept the idea that maximizing diversity to its limits is beneficial to corporations shows that people just take these things at heart because "the people in charge said so". It is not a coincidence that much of the research of the supposed benefits of diversity in businesses comes from business schools in prestigious institutions—HBR, Stanford Business School, etc. As these institutions are one of the most authoritative entities of the structures of power in the West. At some point this bubble must burst.
Re: Microsoft lays off one of its responsible AI teams
#310Earlier quoted context omitted.
> AI safety has two branches, AI ethics and AI alignment. Those two branches despise each other with intense passion. I don’t think that’s really true. Rather, the faction that sees alignment as a subordinate concern within ethics hates the faction that sees ethics as a subordinate concern within alignment. > The alignment branch (responsible for developing RLHF->ChatGPT) believes AI ethics is completely trivial, and…
Note that if you see someone bring up Roko, it's overwhelmingly somebody arguing against alignment researchers; its use is primarily as "look at this crazy thing these people believe."