What's the best brief summary of what has happened so far?
During the last couple years, SVB got a ton of deposits, and they didn't have matching loan demand. So they invested the money in bonds. Unfortunately they make a bet that interest rates would stay low, and bought longer duration (~10 year) bonds. Interest rates have gone up, so the bonds they bought have lost value. They tried this week to fix that by selling part of the portfolio and raising capital, but did it in…
FDIC Takes over Silicon Valley Bank
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Re: FDIC Takes over Silicon Valley Bank
#192Earlier quoted context omitted.
Are clawbacks a thing in this case for the people who did get [some] of their money out in time?
Clawbacks are only poised to happen for big crypto failures (FTX) because the people who held money in those institutions aren't technically "depositors," and are considered a more generic type of creditor (which has a bankruptcy clawback). Bank deposits are special and there will be no clawback. However, depositors who lost money will be first in line at the bankruptcy court.
Re: FDIC Takes over Silicon Valley Bank
#193some note i've been taking > To protect insured depositors, the FDIC created a new entity called the Deposit Insurance National Bank of Santa Clara, or DINB. DINB will maintain Silicon Valley Bank’s normal business hours, with banking activities resuming no later than Monday, including online banking and other services, the FDIC said. Customers with accounts in excess of $250,000 are being told to contact FDIC direcl…
> Svb Is First FDIC-Insured Institution to Fail This Year Was Silvergate bank not FDIC-Insured?
Re: FDIC Takes over Silicon Valley Bank
#194Oldie but goodie on what actually happens when a bank is taken over. https://www.npr.org/2009/03/26/102384657/anatomy-of-a-bank-t...
https://nypost.com/2023/03/10/nypd-called-to-silicon-valley-...
Re: FDIC Takes over Silicon Valley Bank
#195LMAO. Can't even believe how many people were confidently asserting that nothing was wrong yesterday. If you had more than $250k in SVB yesterday you probably just took a huge haircut. Hundreds of startups will become illiquid as a result of SVB's collapse, and there will be major layoffs here in the next 90 days as founders realize that they lost their funds and cannot raise in the current VC environment.
But why would the startups become illiquid? Do they get the investments from the banks or do they park the investment money in this bank? And why this bank, when there are many more risk averse institutions out there?
Many startups aren't particularly sophisticated financially and just kept their capital in cash in the bank.
Re: FDIC Takes over Silicon Valley Bank
#196Earlier quoted context omitted.
This case is unique because of the sheer volume of non-FDIC insured deposits. Substantial risk of depositors not being made whole for a while, they’ll probably get all their money but it will still be bad
> Substantial risk of depositors not being made whole for a while Emphasis on for a while. Stock and bond holders (man, did the latter miss the ball) will absorb losses.
Given that they had only $5bn of long-term debt - and $173bn of deposits - it seems that bond holders cannot absorb much (even though it's not very likely that they receive anything).
Re: FDIC Takes over Silicon Valley Bank
#197Earlier quoted context omitted.
> If you had more than $250k in SVB yesterday you probably just took a huge haircut. You may not lose money. The money isn’t gone yet. The restructuring may save the money. There’s a playbook for this sort of thing.
You most definitely will. SVB already fire-sold 21Bn in MBS and took a 1.8Bn loss on that. Someone is eating that loss.... Separately, this is going to cause a lot of finance vultures to look at other banks who also have MBS portfolios on their books. The show's only beginning.
Re: FDIC Takes over Silicon Valley Bank
#198Re: FDIC Takes over Silicon Valley Bank
#199In my whole life, I have never seen a bank run from start to finish, but here we are. Interesting times!
We truly live in a world.
Re: FDIC Takes over Silicon Valley Bank
#200Earlier quoted context omitted.
The same people that were saying that yesterday were removing their deposits. They just wanted to be there first.
There are three ways to succeed in this business: Be first, be smarter or cheat. And I don't cheat. Margin Call is such a timeless, great movie!