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Effective Altruism’s obsession with AI safety helps bury bad behavior

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Re: Effective Altruism’s obsession with AI safety helps bury bad behavior

#191

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The first few chapters have a song scene parodying ghostbusters and a joke about the protagonist biting a teacher in a tantrum as a young kid. There's plenty of elements of crackfic parody in it.

> a joke about the protagonist biting a teacher in a tantrum as a young kid. wasn't that literally Yudkowsky, tho

Not disagreeing that Harry in the story is an author self-insert, just with that it's a fully self-serious non-parody one.

Re: Effective Altruism’s obsession with AI safety helps bury bad behavior

#192
post #66
post #40

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This seems a bit too cynical of a take to match what I've seen. I see mainly two distinct "AI can be dangerous" camps: the EA-adjacent camp centered around LessWrong and Eliezer Yudkowsky, and the anti-generative-art camp worried about the threat to artists' livelihoods. The latter seems to be the closest to wanting an outright ban on the technology despite not being anywhere near the capitalist class. The former see…

No, I am talking about people around OpenAI trying to justify why they cannot be truly open, and similar.

The answer there is simply that they make more money by keeping it closed. Why release something publicly if it means you lose your cash cow? No fear of the poor making money needed.

Re: Effective Altruism’s obsession with AI safety helps bury bad behavior

#193
This comment on the EA Forum gives a lot of additional information, by someone who attempted to identify each case: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/7b9ZDTAYQY9k6FZHS/...

Several of the accounts turned out to concern the same person, Michael Vassar, who was central ~10y ago but kicked out for this and other harmful behavior, and now describes himself as anti-EA.

On the other hand, the comment treats the cases they can't identify as not concerning from a community perspective ("it's very unclear from this what actions anyone could or should have taken") and I don't endorse that.

Re: Effective Altruism’s obsession with AI safety helps bury bad behavior

#194

Earlier quoted context omitted.

People in EA donate lots of money to causes that help people today. AI is just one of the more interesting subjects they often talk about. AI safety isn't about Roko's basilisk, or the idea that AI will take revenge on us for our moral choices. It's about the risk that an AI smarter than us will be made and built to pursue some goal without caring about our well-being.

> It's about the risk that an AI smarter than us will be made and built to pursue some goal without caring about our well-being. We already have those and they're called corporations. They've done significant real damage to the world already and they are still working hard to do more damage. It makes little sense to me to focus on this potential future problem when we haven't even agreed to deal with the ones that we…

I'm not sure these issues are in conflict. Corporations cause lots of harm despite being held back by their dependence on people who control them, who can occasionally put the brakes on some of their worst excesses, and by their inability to recursively self-improve their intelligence. Removing these two handicaps on corporations would allow them to do significantly more damage, so preventing this from happening is important.

Re: Effective Altruism’s obsession with AI safety helps bury bad behavior

#195

AI safety is an apocalypse cult and we should recognize that everyone who has ever been in an apocalypse cult thinks that "no, this time it's really the end of the world". Everyone who believes crazy shit thinks they're being reasonable, so just because we're super sure we're being reasonable doesn't mean what we believe isn't crazy. Do we believe that we alone, of all people who have believed in the coming end, have…

John von Neumann, who contributed to the Manhattan project, published an essay called “Can we Survive Technology?” on the topic: https://geosci.uchicago.edu/~kite/doc/von_Neumann_1955.pdf in 1955.

Re: Effective Altruism’s obsession with AI safety helps bury bad behavior

#196

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>assuming it is aligned with us If we don't figure out alignment, we can't make this assumption. This is the part that AI safety people are concerned with making reality.

I don't see how alignment is a different problem from making an AI do what we want.

It's more about the unintended consequences, the implied/contextual information and getting it to do what we want in a way actually fulfills our goals instead of merely satisfying a condition.

A task such as "bring me a cup of tea" has lots of implied information such as not making it too hot to burn the person, not breaking anything in the process, not harming other people in the process and so on.

Re: Effective Altruism’s obsession with AI safety helps bury bad behavior

#197
post #171

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Can you back up those claims? I don't believe all of the nuance is contained in your comment. I'm looking into MIRI, if that's not "the AI safety community" please do correct me. I've become very aware ever since ChatGPT started saying inaccurate things confidently that humans have a much worse hit rate. Seriously, keep an eye out for it, you'll see it everywhere. At least ChatGPT will double check if you ask if it's…

Eliezer Yudkowsky and the LessWrong forum popularized AI safety/alignment ideas. (The Effective Altruism community was originally mostly populated by people from LessWrong.) I think this article is a little awkwardly infatuated with LessWrong, I say even as a fan, but it does fit this discussion conveniently well about where they're coming at the subject from: https://unherd.com/2020/12/how-rational-have-you-been-thi…

I think I'm at the edge of my ability with AI as I'm noticing I'm trying to argue against the usefulness of the concepts rather than the concepts themselves. At the very least I'm not smart enough to casually read these sites (lesswrong, AI alignment) at this time.

I remember feeling like this (brain CPUs pegged at 100%) trying to slog through HPMOR the first time too in fairness, it's just too many concepts to take in in one sitting. I'll get there eventually if I keep at it but not on my first read.

I'll consider my opinions on AI safety void due to lack of knowledge for now, always try to jump over the first stage of competence. I'll start with the Wikipedia page for AI alignment, haha.

Thank you for your responses in any case, I'll dig into this further!

Re: Effective Altruism’s obsession with AI safety helps bury bad behavior

#198

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The ai safety arguments rely on something called the “orthoganality thesis” which is a huge, unintuitive assumption. In real life, intelligence is associated with picking better goals. Generally, an entity with higher intelligence will pick different goals than a being with lower intelligence. The orthoganility thesis is an unproven assumption that intelligence and goals are not corellated, meaning an intelligent bei…

No goals are intrinsically stupid. The only reason that you might think some particular goal is stupid is that it goes against your goals. You could conceive of a super intelligent AI that came into existence with the goal of terminating itself. That would be an "stupid goal" from our perspective, since we have the goal of self-preservation really ingrained in our brains. But for a being that self-termination is the…

Not only that, but we've managed to subvert our reward functions in exactly the way AI safety people fear. Evolution tried to get us to reproduce as much as possible, and we came up with ways to get the reward without producing offspring.

Re: Effective Altruism’s obsession with AI safety helps bury bad behavior

#199

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>assuming it is aligned with us If we don't figure out alignment, we can't make this assumption. This is the part that AI safety people are concerned with making reality.

I don't see how alignment is a different problem from making an AI do what we want.

I think that's a fair way of putting alignment. The concern is that we might make an AI that's capable of outsmarting us before we're good at making it care about doing what we want instead of some other goal that disregards what we really care about like our safety.

Re: Effective Altruism’s obsession with AI safety helps bury bad behavior

#200

AI safety is an apocalypse cult and we should recognize that everyone who has ever been in an apocalypse cult thinks that "no, this time it's really the end of the world". Everyone who believes crazy shit thinks they're being reasonable, so just because we're super sure we're being reasonable doesn't mean what we believe isn't crazy. Do we believe that we alone, of all people who have believed in the coming end, have…

This is a very inductivist turkey approach to safety.
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