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Maybe treating housing as an investment was a mistake

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651–660 of 1001 posts

Re: Maybe treating housing as an investment was a mistake

#651
post #100

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Is them being underpaid not a function of buyers not willing to pay more for the goods? I'm not under the impression that most restaurateurs are "raking it in" staff be damned. Sure, at the ultra high end, yes, but for most restaurants a chef pay is function of the market, right?

The restaurateurs might be raking it if they own the real estate. If you pay rent for your location you are probably scraping by, and whipping your staff to bring in the money for your landlord. A chef's pay is a function of the market, and that's why everybody is exiting the industry right now. Head chefs and restaurant owners are used to decades of low wages and think it's quite insulting that anybody would dare as…

A restaurateur who only makes money because they own real estate seems like a landlord with a side hobby.

Re: Maybe treating housing as an investment was a mistake

#652
post #591

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You can, just move out of Capitol Hill in Seattle which is one of the most desirable areas in one of the most desirable cities located in one of the most desirable geographies in the wealthiest country on earth. This place looks nice! https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/2742-Lincoln-St-NE-Minnea...

But then you'd have to live in Minneapolis?

Instead of Seattle? What's the catch?

Re: Maybe treating housing as an investment was a mistake

#653
post #435

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I know this is anecdotal, but whenever I hear these stories, I'm curious about the details. A quick search leads me to believe that head chef pay in Seattle typically ranges from about 90k-110k per year. Finding apartments off Broadway in Cap Hill, I can see that studios, though relatively expensive, range around $1.5-2k a month. An income tax calculator estimates about a 22% total tax bracket and a monthly adjusted…

* They're a head-chef, that seems like a high-ranking position. * That used to feed and house a whole family, easily. * They can now **only afford a studio**

I have absolutely no knowledge of how well chefs in Seattle are paid, but I've heard from elsewhere that operating a high-end restaurant is far from a money machine.

Head chef, unlike senior software developer or something, is a job that doesn't scale much. A rock star chef in a posh neighbourhood is only so much more productive than a mediocre chef in cheaper neighbourhood so, economically speaking, the salaries are not expected to scale all that much.

Re: Maybe treating housing as an investment was a mistake

#654
post #6

> Meanwhile, renters are desperate. They’re begging for housing prices not just to slow, but to fall. I have a friend who is a head chef at a decently popular bar and restaurant on Broadway in Capitol Hill, Seattle (very trendy part of town if you aren't familiar, steep commercial rent). He lives in a 400 sq ft studio and is barely, barely making it from one paycheck to the next. I am sitting on a 2.6% interest rate…

I feel similar cognitive dissonance every time I compare myself to people I know outside of tech. Pretty much without exception, they work harder jobs than me or my colleagues with worse hours and for a fraction of the income. I don't think my observation is tied to the housing market, other than it being a vehicle to expedite the wealth gap.

>they work harder jobs than me

What makes it harder? Could they do your job? Or do they miss the bar for doing the level of knowledge work that you do?

This "they work harder" cliche is really tired. They might work hard but they're easily replaced. You are likely not, and even more likely, they wouldn't be able to do your job. If you really feel so bad, donate some of your money to them, otherwise it's just empty virtue signaling.

Re: Maybe treating housing as an investment was a mistake

#655
post #412

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And here at the bottom of the see, there is no down payment (financing up to 100%), but young renters still can't get the a mortage of the same monthly amount as they pay rent, because of regulatory reasons -- mortage ceiling is defined as something like 5x gross yearly salary. Somehow it's fine to pay half the salary in rent, but not fine if it's financing the mortage.

> mortage ceiling is defined as something like 5x gross yearly salary. No -- mortgages are limited to 50% debt-to-income. The exact principal that relates to income depends on prevailing interest rates. You can see this fairly easily by using any mortgage calculator, e.g., Google's (in the "Purchase budget" tab). Keeping fixed: $100k household income, 0% down, California, Google's tax and fees estimates, 800+ credit…

Bought a house in 2019. Downpayment and Credit Score will make a huge difference. This seems accurate to my experience though. At 5% down, $170k household income. 740 credit score. (Credit Score bumped us from a 2.5% interest rate to 3) The bank said we could afford $680k max.

Re: Maybe treating housing as an investment was a mistake

#656

Most people are probably better off renting, especially those without a good deal of disposable income after expenses. Unexpected costs for a house just keep coming and the insurance company just laughs at you when you file a claim. My fence blew down and my sunken living room flooded in a storm and insurance classified it as a basement so it's not covered. That's been a 40k hit. I have to get trees trimmed, $3,500.…

> If I rented all it costs me is a phone call to my landlord. Do you think your landlord would be fine staying in the red when all of these expenses creep up? Why wouldn't they just increase your monthly rent by 1/12th what they've spent upon lease renewal? Or is is that they actually get their Homeowner's Insurance claims taken seriously because they have n > 1 insured homes with the same provider?

A landlord increasing rent is capped by comparables in the area. It's not realistic for a landlord to increase rent by over $3,300 a month. They would never be able to rent it. So while they can increase rent it still has to be competitive with comparable rentals.

Re: Maybe treating housing as an investment was a mistake

#657

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You will be surprised how much good plumbers make in the USA. You probably used a bad example. Source: I know my trusted plumber makes well over six figures a year and he cannot take all calls. I asked him once if he has problems generating leads and he smiled saying "I have too much business that I turn people away". He is a "master plumber" which these days is not easy to get certified for in many states. He told m…

You will be surprised how much good software engineers make in the USA -- still many multiples of most successful plumbers, and without the long-term physical consequences of that type of labor. Yes, there's still going to be better examples to highlight the disparity.

As a software engineer myself, I am not disputing that. All I am saying is that GP to whom I initially replied was using the comparison with plumbers that they make shit money and that is not the case necessarily in the United States. I am not delusional to think that plumbers can beat FAANG income unless they are running an entire business/company with employees.

Re: Maybe treating housing as an investment was a mistake

#658
post #591

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You can, just move out of Capitol Hill in Seattle which is one of the most desirable areas in one of the most desirable cities located in one of the most desirable geographies in the wealthiest country on earth. This place looks nice! https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/2742-Lincoln-St-NE-Minnea...

But then you'd have to live in Minneapolis?

I grew up there. It is a good place to live: education is valued, lots of nice people, many good jobs.

The weather isn't the best in winter, but if you know how to put on a coat it isn't that bad.

Re: Maybe treating housing as an investment was a mistake

#659

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm a new immigrant to the US, and housing is my single biggest worry together with my work visa. Our household income is north of 300k, but housing still seems unaffordable. It might sound like whining, but we only achieve this level of income recently, so our lifelong savings are in the low 6 figures. We got no assets or property abroad, and no family that can help us to get in the property ladder. Even old, basic…

I don't mean to be blunt, but if modest homes in your area are $1m, then you are in a VERY high-cost-of-living area and what you see here is not at all typical of the rest of the country. Where I live, a charming 1200sqft starter home in a blue collar neighborhood goes for $150-$200k.

Yes, but unless you have a job that's open to fully remote work, you probably aren't going make 95-percentile household income in that city.

Re: Maybe treating housing as an investment was a mistake

#660
post #460

Indeed, and the article is right in saying there isn't really a way out. Humanity paints itself into these kinds of corners fairly frequently over the course of history: entrenched systems where many suffer, but where too many powerful people benefit for it to be able to change. Traditionally, the solution has been violent revolution. That's really the only way to (for example) tell 66% of Americans that their bigges…

I think we're going to see a lot more Trump and Bernie-style candidates taking on more aggressive positions as time goes on, unless something changes. The powers-that-be have done a pretty amazing job of defusing "Occupy Wall Street" and similar movements, but they'll keep springing up.

People aren't taking kindly to the status quo.

Maybe not, though, I don't have a lot of hard data.. MOST of my extended network of friends and family have honestly been able to get by well enough with our current system. A few people ended up completely screwed over through no fault of their own, unable to get a decent career going or get an opportunity to save any money. A lot of people made a few bad choices that snowballed and left them destitute. Pretty much all of them would have been fine in the 50s-70s when you could just roll up your sleeves and work hard to make a decent living.

Modern society feels like a huge scam to me. If you do what conventional wisdom says (go to college, get a job, buy a car, buy a house, buy a big wedding, buy vacations, etc) you're probably going to end up with crushing lifelong debt, spending 2+ hours a day angrily driving your car to and from work

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