Isn't life expectancy going down in the United States?
Average life expectancy is. They're talking about the 5-year-olds with rich parents.
Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
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Re: Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
#72This is not likely. Life expectancy is going down while chronic disease is going up. Most of it has to do with lifestyle in ways the average person isn't aware of. The health care system is more capable than ever before. But, lifestyles that are poor to long term health are taking the trend in the opposite direction.
The word "lifestyle" might imply an amount of blame on individuals but we should not forget:
- Healthy food is becoming increasingly expensive and seen as a luxury. The amount of sugar and carbs in the "average" product has been increasing for decades.
- Working hours are becoming less equally distributed. A lot of people work way too much, even in highly skilled jobs like lawyers, medicine interns, game developers, while other work less.
- Worker rights are being rolled back and many working environments are becoming more competitive.
Re: Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
#73Will a 5 year old ever have a single bite of food that doesn't contain plastic?
Since our ability to detect infinitesimal amounts of contamination keeps increasing, the answer is probably no.
Since our ability to produce amounts of contamination keeps increasing, the answer is surely no.
Re: Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
#74Earlier quoted context omitted.
Right now, life expectancy in U.S. is dropping, not rising: https://datacommons.org/place/country/USA The fact that some individuals survive longer than the average isn't an indication of the average outcome. I sincerely hope that the trend does change direction, but I am currently skeptical.
“Life expectancy is dropping in the US” is a great clickbait headline. Life expectancy has been rising steadily for decades, with a tiny blip downwards the last two years. You think maybe that big pandemic that killed a million people in the US had anything to do it? The handwringing about lifestyle changes is exhausting.
Well yeah, but the long tail of shitty health policy is coming home to roost. What kind of a health care impact do you think the recent criminalization of routine women's medical health procedures will have? (Hint - there are already women who are dying or having significant health impacts due to doctors delaying or outright refusing treatment out of fear of legal action in several states).
Re: Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
#75Nah. 1,000. That's what I tell my 11 year olds.
Re: Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
#76Pension age will need to increase. This will not go without major societal issues.
Even worse, retired people will be pushed into doing "gigs".
Re: Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
#77Earlier quoted context omitted.
100 doesn’t sound extremely optimistic. Jimmy Carter is 98. Kissinger is 100. Munger is 99. Buffett is 92, Dick Van Dyke is 97, Mel Brooks is 96,… The body can last well into the late 90’s. It’s probably just a matter of treating people who get heart disease, cancer(s), etc that will get more people there.
> 100 doesn’t sound extremely optimistic. It does. > Jimmy Carter is 98. Kissinger is 100. Munger is 99. Buffett is 92, Dick Van Dyke is 97, Mel Brooks is 96,… The average life expectancy at birth in the US is 77.28 (men 74.5, women 80.20), and trending down. The country with the highest life expectancy at birth is Japan with 84.62 / 81.64 / 87.74. That some people live to 100 doesn't mean people, on average, do. Peo…
Life expectancy at birth isn't the best metric, since child mortality depresses the aggregate. If you make it to adulthood, odds are you'll beat the life expectancy at birth.
As a quick example: in the US in 2020 and 2021, the life expectancy at birth was 76–77, but the life expectancy for 65 year-olds was 83–84: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/products/databriefs/db456.htm
Re: Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
#78Earlier quoted context omitted.
China and the US depend too much on eachother to fight a large scale war. Russia's geopolitical ambitions has currently been limited to forcefully annexing Donetsk, Kherson, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia and Odessa from Ukraine. They will most likely get Donetsk and Luhansk and fail at permanently annexing the other regions. Neither will lead to a large scale global war.
> China and the US depend too much on eachother to fight a large scale war. They also said that in 1914.
Also said that nuclear weapons will prevent wars due to MAD, and yet it turns out traditional war is profitable.
Re: Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
#79Does no one on HN read the article? Every single comment on this post is answered quickly and directly by the article
Re: Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
#80This is not likely. Life expectancy is going down while chronic disease is going up. Most of it has to do with lifestyle in ways the average person isn't aware of. The health care system is more capable than ever before. But, lifestyles that are poor to long term health are taking the trend in the opposite direction.
> Most of it has to do with lifestyle in ways the average person isn't aware of.
Please, enlighten us as to what we're not aware of. If we're to trust your take more than the article, which at least references research in the field.