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Future Fords could repossess themselves and drive away if you miss payments

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Re: Future Fords could repossess themselves and drive away if you miss payments

#311
post #49

I work in security and anti-fraud is the use case of last resort for terrible ideas. When you finance a car, the vehicle becomes collateral for a loan, but it belongs to you. A technology like this means that the vehicle still belongs to Ford, which means if something goes wrong with it, or if you get sciatica from their shitty seats, you can class action sue them into oblivion. The reason we have laws is so that peo…

Surely they would do this for leases instead of sales? Why would Ford want to do this for sales anyway, in the case of a sale, the financing company pays ford in full. The only exception would be if ford financed the car with its own financing arm. Incentives could be aligned to make leasing the preferred option for most people who are likely to miss payments then. Also I’m not sure you’re correct about the ownership…

N.B. that "leases" today, at least in the consumer auto world, ARE sales. They're just sales with a balloon payment due at the end.

They are, in all other respects, the same as a traditional loan-based purchase.

Re: Future Fords could repossess themselves and drive away if you miss payments

#312

I work in security and anti-fraud is the use case of last resort for terrible ideas. When you finance a car, the vehicle becomes collateral for a loan, but it belongs to you. A technology like this means that the vehicle still belongs to Ford, which means if something goes wrong with it, or if you get sciatica from their shitty seats, you can class action sue them into oblivion. The reason we have laws is so that peo…

Sorry, but IOT is the only way to try and make hire purchase work in a lot of poor countries (speaking as a resident of a poor country). This model has already been explored succesfully by companies such as M-Kopa Solar. If the car companies don't do it themselves, there's definitely going to be an aftermarket for this type of thing with lenders in poorer countries.

Re: Future Fords could repossess themselves and drive away if you miss payments

#314
post #36

Well if this is how the new cars are gonna be, I guess I'll just go ahead and teach myself to be a Car Guy so that the one I have now will run forever. It's not that I'm afraid of missing a payment. At this point I would probably buy the car outright. But after the robo-signing debacle with BoA repossesssing houses that they were never party to, the mere capability renders the machine fundamentally untrustworthy.

I worry more about some hacker type deciding to ddos all the McDonalds by telling the cars that’s where they need to be. Kind of surprised it hasn’t happened yet honestly.

> Kind of surprised it hasn’t happened yet honestly.

https://interestingengineering.com/culture/hacker-attacked-y...

Re: Future Fords could repossess themselves and drive away if you miss payments

#315
post #290

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not sure why you picked July 2021 on a monthly index... easily the most misleading month in the last decade: https://www.fitchratings.com/structured-finance/abs/auto-ind... As soon as the government assistance I'm advocating dried back up we skyrocketed back to historical highs of subprime delinquency. And notice how when graphed together, right on the timeframe I describe of 5-10, you see a massive divergence betwee…

So you're saying car repossessions can yield a profit? I've never seen recovery even approaching 100% and every state I've seen restricts what you can do with repossessed cars (eg new York makes it go to auction if 60% has been paid off and give proceeds back to borrower). I picked the first site i found that has something about subprime auto severities. This is pretty common sense to anyone in the industry. No offen…

That "site" is Fitch Ratings, and you seem to not know much about what they do: subprime auto loans are an ABS (asset-backed security) so there are multiple monthly indicators you can get from Fitch or any of the big three.

> So you're saying car repossessions can yield a profit?

Yes! You don't understand how Buy-Here Pay-Here works if you're going on about auctions.

Here in CA it's been legally defined specifically to try and help protect a vulnerable population, but the MO is the same wherever you go:

- 90% of all their loans are kept in-house for 90 days

- The dealer does not primarily deal with new cars

That means if they repo the car within 90 days, they're out of pocket exactly the cost of the recovery and the depreciation... so they just lean heavily on cars that are at the end of their useful lives, then ask for just enough down to cover the repo and a sliver of profit.

They let the fish go, and hope the inevitable* happens within 90 days, so they take the car back and sell the account to collections for a few extra pennies. And obviously it's the junkiest of junk debt so it's not worth much, but there are bottom feeding collection agencies that will use barely legal tactics to try and squeeze just a tiny bit of extra blood from the stone.

* To understand how far these places are willing to go: CA needed to pass a law to prevent them from requiring in person payments and force them to disclose the trackers (most states don't require this).

That's because they'd require all payments to be made on-site, then have recovery waiting for the end of business to take cars. Can't get there because of work? Repo'd. Can't get there because of a court date? Repo'd. Can't get there because the POS they sold you isn't working? Repo'd and patched up just enough to hobble along enough for the next desperate buyer.

And to be clear, CA is in the minority in preventing that, this is still happening across the nation at a scale that's never been seen before.

-

To be even more efficient, they're starting to take on more of the collections processes themselves, often with disastrous results: https://www.consumerfinance.gov/about-us/newsroom/cfpb-takes...

https://www.autoremarketing.com/bhph/three-ways-improve-coll...

> After five years, Fransen transitioned from a third-party collection environment to a buy-here, pay-here finance company and specialized in developing a successful in-house recovery department.

-

I mean seriously, what do you think the loss in value on a 150k mile 2005 Sentra with a mean belt squeal and an extra 1000 miles on it since the last repo is? They're dealing with desperate customers at the bottom of their list of choices so it's not even factored in into the price.

The only "wrench" in this is if someone manages to keep the car long enough that they can't keep the loan in-house... but by the time that happens they've already made their money: They didn't sell the car at a good price to a desperate buyer, the loan has matured so it's a little more, and it's not their problem if it needs to be repo'd.

Overall this is a discussion about the intersection of multiple massive industries that each do enough revenue to form their own countries. No offense, but you definitely don't know what you're talking about if you think you can reduce it to just needing to be "in the industry".

Re: Future Fords could repossess themselves and drive away if you miss payments

#316
post #36

Well if this is how the new cars are gonna be, I guess I'll just go ahead and teach myself to be a Car Guy so that the one I have now will run forever. It's not that I'm afraid of missing a payment. At this point I would probably buy the car outright. But after the robo-signing debacle with BoA repossesssing houses that they were never party to, the mere capability renders the machine fundamentally untrustworthy.

Go one step further and become a Bicycle Guy. Consider what will still be operational 100 years from now once fossil fuels have dried up and we have fully transitioned into Life As A Service.

Re: Future Fords could repossess themselves and drive away if you miss payments

#317
post #283

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not the scummy low end of the auto loan business. They want you to pay for a couple months and then reposes the car. They are selling older cars, so just a couple months of payment is more $ than the depreciation of the car, and when it comes back they can sell it again. While they maybe have to pay you back for the value of your owned part of the car, they can charge repossession and detail for sale fees first. They…

You understand that if i lend you $100 to buy a car, you pay off 50%, i can sell the car for $70, i would have to give you $20 (you only owe me $50). There are strict rules what you can do state by state, but generally you can't repossess something worth more than the outstanding balance and keep the rest as a profit For example here's NY state If you've already paid more than 60 percent of the amount you owe when th…

>...if i lend you $100 to buy a car, you pay off 50%, i can sell the car for $70, i would have to give you $20 (you only owe me $50)

The trick is to lend me $100 on a $40 dollar car that I cannot sell for $70. Nevermind the fact that in most states I can't sell the car for any amount as the dealership owns the lien.

> There are strict rules what you can do state by state, but generally you can't repossess something worth more than the outstanding balance and keep the rest as a profit

A lot of articles have been written about scammy "Buy Here, Pay Here" autosales that exist despite the strict rules. Since the dealership is financing the car, they can tweak the initial balance and monthly payments to their liking, while following the letter of the law but hitting the repo quota on the same '97 Honda Civic.

Re: Future Fords could repossess themselves and drive away if you miss payments

#318

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think this misses the forest for the trees. This technology in any car should be a violation of our rights. A corporation dictates when to access the vehicle remotely? It’ll start with justifiable use cases. In a not too distant future, imagine something like: * can’t access car during peak CO2 emission times because you got the cheaper monthly rate that uses a green subsidy to pay for the cheaper rate * your incor…

>> * can’t access car during peak CO2 emission times because you got the cheaper monthly rate that uses a green subsidy to pay for the cheaper rate This sounds like a feature that opens up a new avenue of potential financial engineering. If your car could enforce that it was in 'green mode' or didn't drive at certain times and you could get a subsidy or tax break for it, that might potentially be a good incentive to…

...And anyways, we had to flee from the wildfire on foot because the car decided the ambient CO2 level was too high...

Humans are bad at predicting edge cases. That cuts both directions. Machines should give guidance, not provide enforcement.

Re: Future Fords could repossess themselves and drive away if you miss payments

#319

I work in security and anti-fraud is the use case of last resort for terrible ideas. When you finance a car, the vehicle becomes collateral for a loan, but it belongs to you. A technology like this means that the vehicle still belongs to Ford, which means if something goes wrong with it, or if you get sciatica from their shitty seats, you can class action sue them into oblivion. The reason we have laws is so that peo…

I sympathize, but I'm not so sure about the laws. When it comes to companies as big as Ford, they could probably get the laws rewritten if needed - or even if they didn't, whether they got sued would depend more on who they were friends with than with the jot and tittle of legal text.

Re: Future Fords could repossess themselves and drive away if you miss payments

#320
post #36

Well if this is how the new cars are gonna be, I guess I'll just go ahead and teach myself to be a Car Guy so that the one I have now will run forever. It's not that I'm afraid of missing a payment. At this point I would probably buy the car outright. But after the robo-signing debacle with BoA repossesssing houses that they were never party to, the mere capability renders the machine fundamentally untrustworthy.

Go one step further and become a Bicycle Guy. Consider what will still be operational 100 years from now once fossil fuels have dried up and we have fully transitioned into Life As A Service.

The problem with being a "Bicycle Guy" is that people like to run them over...
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