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Nvidia predicts AI models 1,000,000X more powerful than ChatGPT within 10 years

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Re: Nvidia predicts AI models 1,000,000X more powerful than ChatGPT within 10 years

#41
It currently looks as if all AI’s trained on internet texts basically become really good simulators of toxic people on the internet. Full of gas lighting, lies, extremisms etc.

So perhaps maybe the goal should be to make better AI’s rather than “more powerful” toxic people-on-the-internet simulators?

Re: Nvidia predicts AI models 1,000,000X more powerful than ChatGPT within 10 years

#42
post #28
post #20

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you're looking to make a tweet generator, sure. If you're looking to harness the power of facts, no.

The main issue might be that the training set may get polluted by a lot of AI generated text (content that is not supposed to be there, but is there because AI-generated content is becoming widespread online).

Storage is cheap. With ChatGPT being the preminent system, and with OpenAI recording all of its output, it should be possible to exclude modified answers from the training data.

Re: Nvidia predicts AI models 1,000,000X more powerful than ChatGPT within 10 years

#43

I have a probably really stupid question but I'm going to ask it because I really don't know the answer. What's stopping someone from starting a distributed effort to train an open source ChatGPT model, like Folding@home but for AI? Is it a technical limitation with how models are trained, difficulty of coordination, something else?

Training in parallel on more then one GPU is pretty hard. Distributing the training over many random computers and adding at least some kind of validation, seems to kill the performance. So it would always be easier to rend cloud GPUs.

But would it be cheaper?

Re: Nvidia predicts AI models 1,000,000X more powerful than ChatGPT within 10 years

#44

I have a probably really stupid question but I'm going to ask it because I really don't know the answer. What's stopping someone from starting a distributed effort to train an open source ChatGPT model, like Folding@home but for AI? Is it a technical limitation with how models are trained, difficulty of coordination, something else?

besides the answers already given, the network is already the bottleneck on supercomputers on a local network. training that over a WAN would exacerbate that issue and make training even slower.

Re: Nvidia predicts AI models 1,000,000X more powerful than ChatGPT within 10 years

#45
post #14

There is not enough written text to scale a model like ChatGPT at even 10x its current parameters, so improvements will have to come from optimizations and/or longer training (at diminishing returns).

GPT-4 Will Have 100 Trillion Parameters — 500x the Size of GPT-3

Re: Nvidia predicts AI models 1,000,000X more powerful than ChatGPT within 10 years

#46

Is there a point where those AI models could plateau and adding more parameters or data will not improve them anymore?

Without changing the architecture in a significant manner/using more training data, there does come a point where adding more parameters will result in no gain (and sometimes even worse results).

There's also a consequence of performance by adding more params. The inference time will be longer and even just training the model will take longer and won't be able to run as many epochs in an efficient manner.

Re: Nvidia predicts AI models 1,000,000X more powerful than ChatGPT within 10 years

#47

I have a probably really stupid question but I'm going to ask it because I really don't know the answer. What's stopping someone from starting a distributed effort to train an open source ChatGPT model, like Folding@home but for AI? Is it a technical limitation with how models are trained, difficulty of coordination, something else?

The models are extremely large to ship around, sync, and load on consumer hardware over the internet. Maybe there are better ways to build and train a model for a distributed use case though.

The model that's used by Stable Diffusion is only around ~4 GB in size.

Re: Nvidia predicts AI models 1,000,000X more powerful than ChatGPT within 10 years

#48

Translation: nVidia is talking up the hype that can increase its stock price (now that the cryptocurrency hype is over)

Sausage company predicts the world to have sausage for dinner five times a week in 2030!

Hah

Re: Nvidia predicts AI models 1,000,000X more powerful than ChatGPT within 10 years

#50
post #20

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you're looking to make a tweet generator, sure. If you're looking to harness the power of facts, no.

So interesting that people think facts are the only thing that's valuable. Your comment isn't a fact, does that mean it's worthless?

When looked at individually it's not worthless, but when you are talking about a corpus that significantly lacks facts, then the corpus itself is worthless for any mainstream usage other than a social network text generator.
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