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Tesla recalls 360k vehicles, says full self-driving beta may cause crashes

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Re: Tesla recalls 360k vehicles, says full self-driving beta may cause crashes

#461
post #154

There really needs to be a distinction between an actual recall (my Model S had one to change the latch on the frunk) and this type of "recall" that is nothing more than an OTA software update.

Why? It involves a safety system! That needs to be tracked publicly and updated! Nothing more than an OTA - does not mean much when everything is fly by wire and a bug could mean your car does not stop accelerating or something.

I’m leasing a Honda E and software wise literally nothing except apple car play works/ is usable.

Some things are absolutely safety relevant. But no one cares.

Re: Tesla recalls 360k vehicles, says full self-driving beta may cause crashes

#462

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I strongly feel people ought to have these discussions while consistently citing actual data sources relevant to the discussion. For example, did you predict, based on the speculation of Tesla being incompetent with regard to safety, that they have the lowest probability of injury scores of any car manufacturer? Because they do. Did you predict, based on speculation about Elon Musk's incompetence in predicting that s…

Please ignore all the times I'm wrong in favor of all the times I'm right!

I agree that people who don't cite the evidence are ignoring the evidence? Are you trying to say I'm doing that by pointing to relevant datasets which track the number of accidents and the probability of injury? If so, why are there accidents tracked in the datasets such that the rate can be calculated? This kind of contradicts the claim that I'm asking to ignore, but I definitely agree that other people are ignoring the data if that is what you are trying to say.

Re: Tesla recalls 360k vehicles, says full self-driving beta may cause crashes

#463

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Do you have actual knowlage of Tesla internal QA processes, any kind of source at all? Based on there presentation, they for sure have a whole load of tests, many built directly from real world situation that the car has to handle. They simulate sensor input based on the simulation and check the car does the right thing. They very likely have some internal test drivers and before the software goes public it goes to t…

I strongly feel people ought to have these discussions while consistently citing actual data sources relevant to the discussion. For example, did you predict, based on the speculation of Tesla being incompetent with regard to safety, that they have the lowest probability of injury scores of any car manufacturer? Because they do. Did you predict, based on speculation about Elon Musk's incompetence in predicting that s…

Unaudited (internal Tesla data), cherry-picked (comparing with average cars in USA, which are 12 years old beaters, to their very young fleet of expensive cars) data, that doesn't correct for any bias (highway driving vs non-highway driving being one of the many issues) is not exactly the magic bullet you think it is.

Also, none of that is self driving. This data talks about AP, not FSD. FSD is also not self driving by any means (it's level 2 driver assist), but that's a detail at this point.

Re: Tesla recalls 360k vehicles, says full self-driving beta may cause crashes

#464

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> To be fair, though, Tesla has no sensors other than cameras, and I believe the Mercedes has a half dozen or so, several radars and even a lidar. This doesn't mitigate Tesla's gross ethical violations in letting this thing loose, it makes them worse. Tesla knew that cameras alone would be harder to make work than cameras plus radar plus lidar, and they shouldn't be lauded for attempting FSD with just cameras. It's a…

Remember that big announcement musk did where he stated, that going forward, Teslas would not use any additional sensors to aid the video---to the point of laughing at every other company that was still using them. Yeah.

Basically criminal negligence to anyone that actually gets hurt by the FSD beta

Re: Tesla recalls 360k vehicles, says full self-driving beta may cause crashes

#465

Earlier quoted context omitted.

'only' ? That's a significant amount of cash for features that I would likely never use.

It does have Navigate on Autopilot (and Auto Lane Change), and on long trips, it's been able to switch lanes & take the correct exit to switch to a different highway, etc. It pretty much let me daydream / think about other stuff while on the highway while keeping a finger on the steering wheel. Sadly, it does shut itself off as soon as you're off a highway however. (That's where FSD would hypothetically come in, once…

> It pretty much let me daydream

You shouldn't be daydreaming on Navigate on Autopilot. Its only Level 2, you're supposed to be ready take the wheel in a second or two. You're supposed to still be actively paying attention to the road, constantly.

Re: Tesla recalls 360k vehicles, says full self-driving beta may cause crashes

#466

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why? It involves a safety system! That needs to be tracked publicly and updated! Nothing more than an OTA - does not mean much when everything is fly by wire and a bug could mean your car does not stop accelerating or something.

Recall implies something being returned. This should be called a mandatory software patch, or something like that. The problem is Tesla owners repeatedly see "recall" to mean "software update", so this might lead to a lot of confusion if a physical recall is actually required in the future.

"Recalls" almost never involve being returned. There's a recall out on my car's water pump (Thanks a lot VW) and no part of it involves sending my car back, or even interacting with VW or a dealer. It's just something I'm supposed to keep in mind over its life and various maintenance in the shop.

Other cars get "recalls" all the time that amount to updating the software in the ECU or TCU. Tesla is simply being treated like everyone else.

Hell, even in food, a "recall" usually means "throw it away" not return it.

Re: Tesla recalls 360k vehicles, says full self-driving beta may cause crashes

#467

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The person above you has no idea what they’re talking about. There’s literally hundreds of people at Tesla whose job is QA and tools to support QA

And how does that change anything about my statements? Yeah, they have QA. But for the problem they claim they’re solving (robotaxis) and speed of pushing stuff to customers (on the order of days) it vastly, vastly insufficient. And it lacks any safety lifecycle process regards - again, just look at the timelines. Even if you’re super efficient, you cannot possibly claim you can even such a basic things like proper c…

> and speed of pushing stuff to customers (on the order of days)

well, if you don't get the software pushed to the QA team (the customers), how else are they going to get it tested?

Re: Tesla recalls 360k vehicles, says full self-driving beta may cause crashes

#469
post #264

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Practical neural networks operate in enormous parameter spaces that are impossible to meaningfully test for all possible adversarial inputs and degraded outputs. Your FSD could well recognize stop signs in your battery of tests but not when someone drew a squirrel on it with green sharpie.

Something a bit similar is clinical trial and it is accepted without problem. You make a black box test on several thousands (sometimes only hundreds) patients, and if patients who received the drug perform better the patients who received the placebo, then the drug is usually accepted for commercialization. Yet one isolated patient may be subject to several comorbidities, her environment could be weird, she could in…

> Something a bit similar is clinical trial and it is accepted without problem.

Clinical trials also have strict ethical oversight and are opt-in. If clinical trials were like Teslas, we'd yeet drugs into mailboxes and see what happened.

Re: Tesla recalls 360k vehicles, says full self-driving beta may cause crashes

#470
I found an interesting phrase in the official report. NHTSA formally says that not respecting 'local driving customs' is a defect:

     ...the feature could potentially infringe upon local traffic *laws or customs* while executing certain driving maneuvers...
Do they want Tesla to create a DB with 'allowed' and 'locally faux pas' driving maneuvers? It sure reads like they do.
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