> The current macroeconomic environment is tough No, it isn't, and it's embarrassing at this point to continue insisting this. The macroeconomic environment is good, particularly in the United States. Business investment is growing at 3% a quarter (annualized), which is better than the average over the past decade. Employment is growing rapidly. Inflation has been tame over the past six months. And wages are growing…
The current macroeconomic environment is tough if you have deeply negative cash-flow (most of tech).
Gitlab to lay off 7% of staff
201–210 of 622 posts
Re: Gitlab to lay off 7% of staff
#202> The current macroeconomic environment is tough No, it isn't, and it's embarrassing at this point to continue insisting this. The macroeconomic environment is good, particularly in the United States. Business investment is growing at 3% a quarter (annualized), which is better than the average over the past decade. Employment is growing rapidly. Inflation has been tame over the past six months. And wages are growing…
Even though the macro economy are not bad or just fine, that still can't justify the crazy hiring those companies did in the last 3 years, thus the lay-offs.
On top of that, we have been in booming cycle since 2008, which is a long stretch, some adjustment is due.
Re: Gitlab to lay off 7% of staff
#203Earlier quoted context omitted.
Exactly. I worked at a Citadel like fund and that's the vibe. The calculus was like this - I'd rather risk being fired than work in a place where low performers are cozy. The reality is that working at a place like that or a FAANG for just a few years sets you up for a great career no matter what happens. So even if you get fired after a few years you are still better off. It's good to have coworkers who can think ra…
I bet people like that drift into voluntary unpaid overtime.
When someone makes $500k+, what does "unpaid overtime" even mean?
Re: Gitlab to lay off 7% of staff
#204> The current macroeconomic environment is tough No, it isn't, and it's embarrassing at this point to continue insisting this. The macroeconomic environment is good, particularly in the United States. Business investment is growing at 3% a quarter (annualized), which is better than the average over the past decade. Employment is growing rapidly. Inflation has been tame over the past six months. And wages are growing…
That is the true underpinning of the economy right there. If everything else remained the same but rate is at 2% steady there is probably going to be a hiring crunch like we had in 2021.
Re: Gitlab to lay off 7% of staff
#205Earlier quoted context omitted.
> The only way you can safely pull off layoffs is if you ensure that anything you do in the company requires the experience of a boot camp. That means that everyone is fungible and you can easily swap them. This is an interesting way to think of the Leetcode style interview. If you don't require any particular experience and you have built your company's systems in a way that any "competent" developer can join and be…
This is why React is so popular; not because it is inherently good or performance or has great DX but because of how easy it is to swap one so-so React dev for another so-so React dev.
Re: Gitlab to lay off 7% of staff
#206> The current macroeconomic environment is tough No, it isn't, and it's embarrassing at this point to continue insisting this. The macroeconomic environment is good, particularly in the United States. Business investment is growing at 3% a quarter (annualized), which is better than the average over the past decade. Employment is growing rapidly. Inflation has been tame over the past six months. And wages are growing…
Re: Gitlab to lay off 7% of staff
#207Listened to a great podcast about layoffs yesterday ( https://hbr.org/podcast/2023/02/why-many-companies-get-layof... ) The takeaway is that layoffs are extremely trust destroying for employees NOT laid off, and in the end not clear they're a financial net positive. Both with direct and indirect costs (lack of engagement from employees, etc).
It takes long time for the layoff effects to hit the company. The main effect is that you lose the trust of the top performers. These will be the in the lookout for new opportunities the day after the layoffs are done. If you cut 10%, expect 10% from the top to flee within a couple of years. The second effect is related to the fact that companies usually target older people with expensive jobs. In an a big org these…
Yes, and that's the number one thing successful small business owners learn. The ones who don't learn this aren't successful.
You want as many of your staff as possible to be easily replaced. If you're running a restaurant, do you really want the success of your restaurant to hinge on a single talented chef?
Nope. You make sure that there's a process so that another few chefs can drop in quickly without changing the menu or the quality of the food. All the other kitchen staff don't do "complicated", they follow instructions.
If the business depends on having developers that are in the top 5% (say, one of the criteria to working on the code is understanding Haskell with Monads), the business is at constant risk because the developers are not easily replaceable.
Re: Gitlab to lay off 7% of staff
#208Earlier quoted context omitted.
It takes long time for the layoff effects to hit the company. The main effect is that you lose the trust of the top performers. These will be the in the lookout for new opportunities the day after the layoffs are done. If you cut 10%, expect 10% from the top to flee within a couple of years. The second effect is related to the fact that companies usually target older people with expensive jobs. In an a big org these…
> The second effect is related to the fact that companies usually target older people with expensive jobs. In an a big org these are the wizards who have the unwritten cookbooks in their brains. When they leave en masse, a lot of the organizational memory is gone, and expensive operational mistakes of the past are forgotten. These have longer effects that will haunt the company for many years. Is this true this round…
Re: Gitlab to lay off 7% of staff
#209Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's incredible how submissive these companies act to capital.
The companies belong to "capital", it would be far more distressing if they weren't doing what it's owners want them to do.
Re: Gitlab to lay off 7% of staff
#210Earlier quoted context omitted.
None of these massive FAANG companies are anywhere near crashing.
Exactly this - if you're still making massive profits then layoffs are unnecessary. You could just instigate a hiring freeze and let natural attrition run its course. But that would involve having some balls and managing a business in a way that is good for everyone.