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Google's live from Paris event private/deleted immediately

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Re: Google's live from Paris event private/deleted immediately

#101

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Meanwhile the company was focusing on DEI vs skill, and thoughtfulness over delivery That has nothing to do with any of this. Google's doom was due to their total lack of empathy for their end users and customers. They launched stuff, then when those things did not immediately produce gigantic profits like the search ads, they just shut them down on the users' face. One can do it once, twice, the third time people…

>> Meanwhile the company was focusing on DEI vs skill, and thoughtfulness over delivery > That has nothing to do with any of this. I wouldn't say it's central, but it's definitely not nothing. When a lot of your recognition comes from DEI efforts, "me too" and other such efforts, you can't expect proper focus. There are plenty of irrelevant internal drives where just aligning with them benefits you greatly, instead o…

> I wouldn't say it's central, but it's definitely not nothing. When a lot of your recognition comes from DEI efforts

I suspect that those efforts were a tiny drop in the ocean of the expense that Google was spending on product investments. If they were anything significant that could affect profits, they wouldnt do anything about it but some PR shows...

Re: Google's live from Paris event private/deleted immediately

#102
post #97

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Meanwhile the company was focusing on DEI vs skill, and thoughtfulness over delivery That has nothing to do with any of this. Google's doom was due to their total lack of empathy for their end users and customers. They launched stuff, then when those things did not immediately produce gigantic profits like the search ads, they just shut them down on the users' face. One can do it once, twice, the third time people…

I’ve done consulting at Google and know many Xooglers and I can confidently say Google considers users as nothing more than cattle to be shuffled into products where they can be milked for profit. They have no more empathy for a user than they would have for an animal destined to the slaughterhouse. Remember that next time you use a google product.

Blunt. But feels accurate.

Re: Google's live from Paris event private/deleted immediately

#104
post #75
post #21

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> 2 years later the Bold was released and everyone realized it's just a hastily designed iPhone clone. That marks the end of BB's dominance. I feel like Google is going to bleed credibility for every month that they don't have a lamda/llm enabled search integrated into the home page. You can talk all you want about the foundational models and how advanced they are, but the search product itself will require a ton of…

> Google is going to bleed credibility for every month that they don't have a lamda/llm enabled search integrated into the home page. I don't know that end-users really care about having a GPT-written paragraph accompanying their search results. Is there some other kind of output AI search currently provides that I'm missing?

Usually I do a search, looking for specific facts, like what is the pricing for X? On Google you get to click through links and read a lot of filter, ads, promotions, etc. Why not just get the answer?

A huge percentage of searches are for existing websites, like "facebook." This might not be a big challenge if you just wanted to go to facebook.

This morning I saw a retweet from a Google/former Deepmind engineer, of someone who said they completely switched from Google to using perplexity.ai. I checked it out again (I've used perplexity before.)

I did a test search for interest rates, and perplexity returned the correct interest rate for the day along with the trading range. I think Google is really in trouble. I'd say the golden goose is in the process of being slaughtered.

None of this is a surprise. Google's voice assistant has been really good for years. Nothing came close to it. Siri is close to useless. Maybe Google can pivot and they'll be fine. I don't know what the economics look like.

Re: Google's live from Paris event private/deleted immediately

#106
post #49
post #13

ChatGPT as a search engine sounds amazing but also really quite problematic. It's an extension of the issue with Google's "instant answers" (or whatever they're called): right now the creators of the content Google/ChatGPT scrapes are usually paid via the advertisements on their pages. When no-one clicks though any more, no-one gets paid. I know, I know, the ad banner-funded web is a mess and I wouldn't mourn its dem…

In general, generative models are taking publicly available content from creators and are monetizing them for big tech. Same with stable diffusion, AI art. And it'll be the same with LLMs. Eventually the whole internet would be flooded with cheap AI generated content and clearly AIs need human generated content to train on so it'll be the snake eats itself.

That’s not so different from the current state of the world in which many search results are full of cheap SEO content. Now instead of appending Reddit to my search I just go to chatGPT. Probably similar levels of accuracy between Reddit and GPT anyway while the SEO content is just garbage filler.

Re: Google's live from Paris event private/deleted immediately

#108

I think the bigger problem is how does something like ChatGPT fit into Google's business model for search. Conversational interface and/or giving immediate answers may not be the best option in terms of ad revenue. Users re-iterating their search queries gives more opportunities to show ads. When users are scanning the page for best results, they might be more likely to click on the ads with clever wording.

It's not an either or.

If you saw the clips of Bing with ChatGPT, the chat and traditional search results are next to each other. It's not a replacement, it's an addition

Re: Google's live from Paris event private/deleted immediately

#109

The MSFT event yesterday was impressive. To see them bring GPT to scale, real-time, with citations and other new features is very cool. The new products look genuinely very helpful - they solve real jobs to be done. Surely Google will catch up, but this was a blunder worse than I would have expected. The race is truly on Edit: one more thought. After listening to talks from Kevin Scott and others at MSFT, it seems li…

yeah watching the keynote was certainly inspiring. Not only have they thought out the GPT integration, they also have the policing in order. And this was NOT a search company.

It was also thought provoking about how the future of predictive policing will work, because language models are very good at understanding our intentions , perhaps better than we think

Re: Google's live from Paris event private/deleted immediately

#110
post #70

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I hope Google is not pulling a Blackberry moment. It would be awesome, actually. Demonopolization of search space is long due. We need some breath of fresh air there.

Google’s dominance is because of network effects; the largest search engine collects more data about what people are searching for and has the largest ad inventory, making it hard to compete with. ChatGPT has similar network effects with feedback. If Google is displaced, it will likely be in favor of another single dominant solution, not a commoditized industry with lots of players. It’s possible that niche domains l…

With this kind of reasoning there would be no way to disrupt a first actor in a new field.
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