Earlier quoted context omitted.
I wouldn’t be sure about that. A lot of very smart people go on to great success in academia, earning decent but non-noteworthy salaries
"earning decent but non-noteworthy salaries" I think that's sort of the point though. And even the "decent" salaries (whatever that means exactly, relative to industry) is arguably limited to a relatively small number of tenured faculty at a relatively small number of elite schools--concentrated in certain fields. Don't get me wrong. Being a tenured professor, especially with an endowed chair, at an Ivy or equivalent…
The plateauing of cognitive ability among top earners
51–60 of 245 posts
Re: The plateauing of cognitive ability among top earners
#52Earlier quoted context omitted.
Are they really smart then? You are using a straw man fallacy by redefining who’s smart.
Maybe you're thinking of No true Scotsman? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/No_true_Scotsman
Re: The plateauing of cognitive ability among top earners
#53It's not a surprise that cognitive ability (the paper seems to define it as relatively close to classical IQ) is not highly correlated with earning ability or even value production for society. I would argue that a much better correlant of both production value and capture value is conscientiousness, or vaguely synonymously, hardworking, diligent, etc. A brilliant world observer who tweets their witty one-liners all…
There's a lot of truth in this. Some of the most classically brilliant people I went to school with ended up being homeless drug addicts or shut-ins. Meanwhile, the unassuming Ukrainian guy who built my deck is a secret multi-millionaire from his house flipping business. You can walk around the neighborhood and pick out the houses he's remodeled and modernized because they look so much better than the ones on either…
Re: The plateauing of cognitive ability among top earners
#54> The top 1 per cent even score slightly worse on cognitive ability than those in the income strata right below them. We observe a similar but less pronounced plateauing of ability at high occupational prestige. Idk this seems unsurprising to me. Basically implies that sheer intelligence can get you near the top, but the people at the absolute top had additional traits that pushed them beyond.
Re: The plateauing of cognitive ability among top earners
#55Implicit is the presumption that the smartest people optimize for wealth, or that the smartest people are good at optimizing for wealth. Outside of Wall Street, "smart" people - academics, doctors, lawyers, engineers, etc. - are just as likely to make bad personal finance decisions and/or to stay in labor (rather than management) positions for most of their careers (leave aside the dual-track IC/management ladder at…
Re: The plateauing of cognitive ability among top earners
#56In Figs 3 and 4 the plateau starts at about SEK 600,000, or US$ 57,000. This is below what most people would consider "top earners".
So in essence, and as I remember from previous reports, there isn't a very strong correlation of intelligence and earnings at the _very_ top levels, say the top 0.5% of earners.
I also find the tight, almost monotonic association nevertheless shown to be a bit suspect. Very few traits have such a tight association. Even genetic variation and a trait such as height doesn't have such a strong association.
Re: The plateauing of cognitive ability among top earners
#57Here is one wacky theory behind the drop at high levels: maybe this is mostly a function of which jobs require certain cognitive levels, and how much those jobs pay. For example, there are quite a few jobs that pay well which require above average abilities such as management, engineering, medicine, law. But arguably there are jobs that have higher requirements such as theoretical scientists, mathematicians, universi…
It's also a matter of personal preference and individual skills. A person who is capable of 9 dimensional math about strings might not be able to do well anything else, or might not want to do anything else.
To some extent, this may be a failure of the educational system. A good number of high intellect folks are not actually challenged, and so they end up thinking that if they're not good at something right away, it's not worth their time or effort.
Perhaps what you're describing is actually the mechanism behind why people would tend to go for careers that match their unique abilities rather than those that have the best outcomes.
For example, consider somebody who would make an amazing doctor. However, if you kept their doctor skills the same but made them really good at some obscure skill which was socially highly regarded and paid well - but in both cases lower than they could do as a doctor - they might decide not to be a doctor.
Re: The plateauing of cognitive ability among top earners
#58Implicit is the presumption that the smartest people optimize for wealth, or that the smartest people are good at optimizing for wealth. Outside of Wall Street, "smart" people - academics, doctors, lawyers, engineers, etc. - are just as likely to make bad personal finance decisions and/or to stay in labor (rather than management) positions for most of their careers (leave aside the dual-track IC/management ladder at…
Of course, it is not all luck but to believe wealth accumulation is a type of purely deterministic meritocratic game without a giant stochastic factor is ridiculous.
That might even be the dumbest aspect of our society. Believing the powerball lottery winner is a genius for picking the numbers they picked is obviously stupid. Yet we basically have that view with everything else besides the actual lottery.
Re: The plateauing of cognitive ability among top earners
#59Implicit is the presumption that the smartest people optimize for wealth, or that the smartest people are good at optimizing for wealth. Outside of Wall Street, "smart" people - academics, doctors, lawyers, engineers, etc. - are just as likely to make bad personal finance decisions and/or to stay in labor (rather than management) positions for most of their careers (leave aside the dual-track IC/management ladder at…
When you say, in your first sentence, that there are implicit presumptions, who is making them? I don't think the study itself is predicated on those premises. Maybe people who find the result surprising had such presumptions built into their preconceptions.