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Layoffs Are Cruel and Don't Work

matduggan.com

231–240 of 279 posts

Re: Layoffs Are Cruel and Don't Work

#231

Crazy seeing some of the comments in here supporting the layoffs when just a few decades ago people were up in arms about IBMs layoffs because working for one company for a significant portion of your career was seen as the norm.

Maybe it's not the same people?

Re: Layoffs Are Cruel and Don't Work

#232
post #4

I think it's a huge mistake. The great labor shortage is just beginning. You can thank the retiring boomers for that. (And I hope they enjoy their retirement!)

There is no way to make a mistake here because there are essentially no consequences -- entities of this scale can rehire as easily as they fire. At a lower average compensation rate too, most likely. These companies are basically refinancing their labor force using cruelty and fear. It is working because they're all doing it, because we let them. System working as intended.

> entities of this scale can rehire as easily as they fire.

It's not exactly true. It actually takes quite a long time to hire competent employees, particularly more senior ones. Hence why it was so hard to hire in 2020-2021.

Re: Layoffs Are Cruel and Don't Work

#233
post #184

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There is no such thing as a labor shortage. There are just insufficient wages.

That isnt true. If the demand for brain surgeons doubled overnight, no amount of wage hike is going to magically double the supply of brain surgeons.

Sure it won't double it overnight, but if we give people enough time to train (4-8 years?) then I think it would have a significant effect. Though this example is poor because the quantity of new brain surgeons is restricted by various regulations and agreements (so we'd also have to assume those went away).

If you look at an unregulated field like software I think it's pretty clear that the huge increase in demand from ~2008-2020 did result in a huge increase in supply.

Re: Layoffs Are Cruel and Don't Work

#234
post #4

I think it's a huge mistake. The great labor shortage is just beginning. You can thank the retiring boomers for that. (And I hope they enjoy their retirement!)

How many tech employees are boomers though? The youngest boomers today are 59 and IME 99% of tech employees are <55. Indeed I'd be surprised if boomers retiring had any significant effect on tech given most of them have already retired.

Re: Layoffs Are Cruel and Don't Work

#235
I see it more from an investor perspective.

What do you read into a company that starts doing large scale layoffs even though it has a massive hoard of cash and remains massively profitable, just because some temporary trouble hits?

Given the company can easily retain the staff from a financial perspective, and employee churn is incredibly expensive - it has to mean they really, truly they can't think of anything useful to do with those staff. From that you would have to conclude that management and the board are simply out of ideas for how to grow the business.

Re: Layoffs Are Cruel and Don't Work

#236
post #220

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> We had the rug pulled If by "We had the rug pulled" you mean "the people we intended to force to pay for our pensions said 'no thanks'" then I agree. I get why you may be upset how it played out because I agree that spending all your money your whole life then forcing other people to pay for your retirement is a sweet deal. But as one of the people who was expected to be paying, I'm sure you'll understand why I'm n…

You don’t understand what a pension is so are reaching misinformed conclusions. A pension is deferred compensation. The employee earns the compensation while working, but agrees to receive the money later. If a person were a car, a pension plan is like paying monthly payments for a car rather than paying the full price of the car at the time of purchase. A company failing to pay a pension is analogous to a person fai…

This is at best extremely incomplete. Pensions are not some kind of savings account, they guaranteed a rate of return that in retrospect was impractical. They’re now in trouble because that is becoming apparent.

They guaranteed above-market returns based off of the same ever-increasing-pool math that screwed up social security. Why do you think they’re essentially nonexistent now?

Re: Layoffs Are Cruel and Don't Work

#237

Nobody likes getting laid off. But it's weird to see all of these think pieces implying that once someone is hired into a job, that job should exist forever. Things change. Company growth isn't monotonically increasing. Not all positions will exist forever. Joining a company was never a guarantee that you'd have a paycheck and work to do until you decided to leave. Also, pointing out that companies that did layoffs h…

No one is saying you should have 100% job security, or never be let go / fired. People are saying that these mass layoffs and the way they are conducted are harmful to society and not as beneficial to the business as CEOs and investors want to believe. Layoffs are not always a result of declining performance. We have seen several now where quarterly results point to increased performance but layoffs still occur as an…

> Layoffs are not always a result of declining performance.

True, but Google search revenue was down 2% YoY. Youtube ad revenue was down 8% YoY. OpEx was up 10%. Google absolutely saw declining performance while on a hiring binge.

Re: Layoffs Are Cruel and Don't Work

#238

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Nobody likes getting laid off. Much better than being fired for poor performance, too - "laid off because the company wasn't doing well" doesn't look that terrible on a resume.

Right now is the perfect time to get fired if you are having performance problems though. No one is going to think twice if you claim to be a victim of layoffs.

It depends. When companies are only cutting 6%, I'd go 50/50 on circumstances vs. performance.

Re: Layoffs Are Cruel and Don't Work

#239
Clearly the only good answer here is that tech companies should never have employed so many people to begin with. These tens of thousands of people were paid massive salaries and equity only to have that cruelly taken away when the company realized years later it can’t sustain all those projects.

I implore these corporations: Please stop hiring so many people if you can’t guarantee lifetime employment!

Re: Layoffs Are Cruel and Don't Work

#240
post #76

Posting social media videos of "a day in the life of FANG" company showcasing the little amount of work people do doesn't work either. There's a lot of people at these companies who don't do anything meaningful and are getting paid a boat load. There's people like that in almost every company. Back from the Yahoo peak days I had multiple people tell me that all they did in a week was fix 1-2 small bugs in a day and d…

The people posting those are usually interns...not to mention they'd probably get fired if they actually leaked videos of real work situations. So that's why all you see is the company perks like free food, gym or flexible work hours.
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