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Google to reduce workforce by 12k

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Re: Google to reduce workforce by 12k

#161
post #146

Are we about to enter a new era of ultra-profitable tech companies? While companies like GOOG and MSFT have had ridiculously healthy margins compared to traditional industries for some time now, it's also been clear in recent years that these companies have become very loose with spending. Take GOOG for example, they spend so much unnecessary money on fancy offices, free lunches, diversity programs, highly speculativ…

> diversity programs...

Not even remotely comparable to the other things you listed. People such as yourself seemingly can't stop talking about it though, despite it having no effect on your life.

Re: Google to reduce workforce by 12k

#162
post #71

>I take full responsibility for the decisions that led us here There it is! The free bingo space

After so long, I decided to think of it differently: it's a learning company. You can eventually fix the problem you're responsible for by chopping off a part of it, convince people you can do better, and then move on. (Don't try at home!!!) :) Now the question for all these learning companies would be: how do they prevent this from happening again? What did they learn and what are they going to do differently? I wou…

> Another question I would have is: will they stop hiring for 2023-2024?

Almost certainly not. Maybe the first few months, fewer will get hired.

> Couldn't they offer these people an alternative role internally?

They almost certainly will try to do that with the top performers. But I suppose it doesn't make much sense doing this to retain below average performers (even if their average may be a bit high), given their salary levels and the current market.

Moving someone from one type of product to something completely else may require almost as much training as the training of a new hire. Better to hire someone new in a few months, at a lower salary and possibly someone with more potential.

Also, most ex-googlers will probably have an easy time finding other work (especially engineers), so even they may be better off in the end.

Now, I do wonder what kind of roles are seeing the biggest slashes, especially outside of tech. (Ie, sales, marketing, key account, domain experts, content moderation, HR related). If any of those are cut disproportionally, it may indicate a change in direction.

Re: Google to reduce workforce by 12k

#163
post #51

I guess someone has to write this comment: > I take full responsibility for the decisions that led us here As usual, he says nothing more what the consequences for him are. It seems like all of the FAANGs have made severe strategic cockups when it comes to hiring lately. I wonder if it will affect their longterm attraction as employers.

> It seems like all of the FAANGs have made severe strategic cockups when it comes to hiring lately.

My understanding is it is simply firing season because markets will not punish companies for layoffs right now.

Being in the job market right now myself it’ll be interesting to see how competitive things get.

Re: Google to reduce workforce by 12k

#164

Another multi-billion dollar company making billions of dollars of profit dumps thousands of staff on the streets. There are two approaches here. Firstly, attrition, simply don't replace those that leave. Given the sheer size of the company, a hiring freeze and attrition would gradually reduce the size of the workforce. I'd be astonished if a company with a market cap of $1.2 trillion would be likely to collapse if i…

> Firstly, attrition, simply don't replace those that leave

Nobody is retiring - why would you, you get a fat pay cheque and once you get out of the meat grinder Jr levels life is pretty good. Oh and if they fire you rather than you retiring, they have to pay you another stack of cash and keep those options that vest in a few years.

"Seeing people posting about being laid off after 30 years of employment at Microsoft is a great example of corporate loyalty." - is this just a clean out of the expensive old folks after the hiring spree of late? Is it last in first out or first in first out? These are much more interesting discussions.

Re: Google to reduce workforce by 12k

#165

> As part of that, if you are just starting your work day, please feel free to work from home today. What a generous offer.

My brain somehow skipped that sentence. I would be relatively certain all the affected people were already feeling quite free to do what needs to be done in their individual cases.

This is such a weird Friday.

Re: Google to reduce workforce by 12k

#166
post #117

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I had a new job lined up roughly a week after they broke the news to me. The tradeoff is that I took a 37% reduction in salary. Easily worth it. Everyone else is being laid off all around me, while I kick back and fire up a bunch of A100s for ML research. The best part is that I didn’t have to do any damn leetcode interviews. I went back and forth on whether to post this, since it feels like I’m an outlier and maybe…

Can you give us more details concerning your seniority/domain/tech stack?

Sure, if you think it’d help. Here’s the message I sent that got me the new job. The context is that they were pushing back a little bit during salary negotiation and asking for a resume, so I channeled my Jewish ancestors and went into full salesman mode:

https://battle.shawwn.com/Shawn%20Presser's%20Resume.pdf was the resume I used for Groq. I planned to update it after finishing out the year. In terms of my ML work, here's some highlights of my work prior to Groq:

- A Newsweek article about various GPT work I did https://www.newsweek.com/openai-text-generator-gpt-2-video-g...

- I was the first to demonstrate that GPT-2 could play chess https://www.theregister.com/2020/01/10/gpt2_chess/

- ... which DeepMind referenced: https://twitter.com/theshawwn/status/1226916484938530819

- GPT-2 music https://soundcloud.com/theshawwn/sets/ai-generated-videogame...

- Invented swarm training https://www.docdroid.net/faDq8Bu/swarm-training-v01a.pdf

- Built books3, the largest component of The Pile, a training dataset for language models (later used to train GPT-J): https://arxiv.org/abs/2101.00027

- Started the first ML discord server, grew the community to >2k members (Eleuther was formed there)

- Reverse engineered BigGAN’s model over the course of ~6mo to locate a bug in their open source implementation https://github.com/google/compare_gan/issues/54

ML research makes me happy, so I’ll be doing it for the foreseeable future. @StabilityAI expressed interest in bringing me on to help fix problems with their diffusion training. I’d prefer to work with you, but if it’s not possible to increase the equity or salary offer, I understand. Are you sure you can’t bump it?”

They bumped it. Anyway, I hope that was helpful. I don’t know how relevant my recession experiences are compared to, say, someone in webdev. But if you’re a talented dev and someone’s lowballing you, be sure to at least try to negotiate. Don’t let the recession fears prevent you from turning down an initial offer.

That said, I recognize that there are loads of people in a position where they’d be thankful to have any work at all. And I imagine I’ll be in that position soon enough — 35 is getting too close to 55 for comfort.

Re: Google to reduce workforce by 12k

#167
post #56
post #9

> Pivoting the company to be AI-first years ago That seems like a weird thing to throw in there. Does anyone else read it as a hasty "we were doing AI before ChatGPT was cool"?

> "we were doing AI before ChatGPT was cool" definitely google is on the defensive right now[0] and just this week they had jeff dean do a "here's all our AI credentials" recap [1] 0: https://lspace.swyx.io/p/google-vs-openai 1: https://ai.googleblog.com/2023/01/google-research-2022-beyon...

A friend of mine who is in "serious" AI research keeps telling me not to get too excited about Google's AI stuff, as they do release a lot of papers, but these are essentially worthless and non-reproduceable as they hide raw data. He suspects half of them or more are completely made up, as they do not align well with what else happens in the field.

I can't verify that, but whenever the "AI" behind my Google Home gets a bit more stupid (happens once a week nowadays, with it 'forgetting' even the few things that worked before), I am inclined to agree.

Re: Google to reduce workforce by 12k

#168
post #9

> Pivoting the company to be AI-first years ago That seems like a weird thing to throw in there. Does anyone else read it as a hasty "we were doing AI before ChatGPT was cool"?

Google Ads, their most significant revenue stream, are entirely AI base, and speaking as an advertiser, it's only made it more crap. It's "ai" algorithms are designed to maximise value extraction from advertisers, rather than value creation for advertisers.

There has been a systematic trend over the last 10 years to remove the controls advertisers have over their placements and spend and move towards a black box we are supposed to trust.

Re: Google to reduce workforce by 12k

#169
post #51

I guess someone has to write this comment: > I take full responsibility for the decisions that led us here As usual, he says nothing more what the consequences for him are. It seems like all of the FAANGs have made severe strategic cockups when it comes to hiring lately. I wonder if it will affect their longterm attraction as employers.

CEOs are fired for mismanagement. This is good management.

This is good management now, but poor management before now. To paraphrase "Manager Tools": Layoffs are the consequence of management's failing to accurately judge market conditions.

Re: Google to reduce workforce by 12k

#170
post #4

Question for those who got laid-off from tech recently (say since Aug last year): how hard did you find it to get another tech job? Would be interesting to get some anecdotal evidence to shed light on the following WSJ article which claims laid-off tech workers are finding it easy to get re-recruited: https://www.wsj.com/articles/laid-off-tech-workers-quickly-f... If the phenomena described in the WSJ article is true…

I had a new job lined up roughly a week after they broke the news to me. The tradeoff is that I took a 37% reduction in salary. Easily worth it. Everyone else is being laid off all around me, while I kick back and fire up a bunch of A100s for ML research. The best part is that I didn’t have to do any damn leetcode interviews. I went back and forth on whether to post this, since it feels like I’m an outlier and maybe…

> I went back and forth on whether to post this, since it feels like I’m an outlier and maybe not relevant.

To anyone wondering whether to share your personal experience, please do; comments like this one are my favourites.

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