In the instance this change doesn't go through it is important to be aware that non-competes don't survive hardship tests. There is an extreme burden on the employer to prove that there are appropriate jobs available to the former employee that wouldn't violate the non-compete or (and this is much more common for "serious" non-competes in the modern world) provide partial compensation to the employee for the term of…
I'm not an expert, but IIUC the financial industry tends to pay full "garden leave" for employees serving out their noncompete terms https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Garden_leave , presumably partly for this reason.
So for sure no "garden leave" if you quit, and also not if they can find a reason to fire you. And of course no bonus, which is often a majority of total comp.
Possibly this sort of thing may vary by state. There might also be some room to negotiate depending on how much they want you.