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Microsoft eyes $10B bet on ChatGPT
111–120 of 541 posts
Re: Microsoft eyes $10B bet on ChatGPT
#112Earlier quoted context omitted.
If we're giving pg credit for calling things over decade ago, look at #5 on this list behind Steve Jobs, Larry and Sergey: http://www.paulgraham.com/5founders.html
Didn't Sam Altman found the notorious retina-scanning cryptocurrency?
He failed super fast with it, that's a good thing.
Re: Microsoft eyes $10B bet on ChatGPT
#113Earlier quoted context omitted.
There is a big difference IMHO. Self Driving must get it right 101% of the time. ChatGPT search getting better than Google even 50% of the time should be enough. All the need is to add references to the answers that ChatGPT gives right now, and it will be game over for Google.
> ChatGPT search getting better than Google even 50% of the time should be enough. That’s a bit tricky because wrong results in Google are easier to spot due to metadata and context. With ChatGPT you have neither. In worse cases you ended up with a confidently incorrect statistical mode who think’s it’s infallible
Are we expecting the same ChatGPT product that is in public beta to simply be deployed as the new Bing?
Re: Microsoft eyes $10B bet on ChatGPT
#114I'm seeing a lot of responses that see ChatGPT replacing Google, and it's unclear to me how? It can replace queries like "what's the tallest mountain in France", but that's not really a profitable query for Google. Whereas it's unclear to me how it replaces "best vegetarian restaurants in Gastown". It can string together a coherent statement, but then I have to go search to see whether it actually recommended vegetar…
Have you used it? Start working on anything. Next time you go to Google how to do something, or want to name something, or want to convert formats, or a dozen other things, just ask GPT. Say “give me 5 cool names for this”. Any task. “Show me a garden plot given plants from this time of year.” “Tell me about different types of LLCs and the tradeoffs.” “This code isn’t working what’s wrong.” You’ll quickly be able to…
> just ask GPT.
And then return to Google to verify that every fact presented by GPT is correct, and there no errors in numbers, names, definitions, etc. etc?
Re: Microsoft eyes $10B bet on ChatGPT
#115Earlier quoted context omitted.
Have you used it? Start working on anything. Next time you go to Google how to do something, or want to name something, or want to convert formats, or a dozen other things, just ask GPT. Say “give me 5 cool names for this”. Any task. “Show me a garden plot given plants from this time of year.” “Tell me about different types of LLCs and the tradeoffs.” “This code isn’t working what’s wrong.” You’ll quickly be able to…
> just ask GPT. And then return to Google to verify that every fact presented by GPT is correct, and there no errors in numbers, names, definitions, etc. etc?
What we are seeing now is a proof of concept, what a highly generic language model can do. I'm sure there is work right now to add a new layer for confidence and truthfulness of answers. I'm not in the field but I guess that can be a another layer that could weight GPT choices in its probability space. Overall we could even have a confidence score for some answers.
Re: Microsoft eyes $10B bet on ChatGPT
#116I'm seeing a lot of responses that see ChatGPT replacing Google, and it's unclear to me how? It can replace queries like "what's the tallest mountain in France", but that's not really a profitable query for Google. Whereas it's unclear to me how it replaces "best vegetarian restaurants in Gastown". It can string together a coherent statement, but then I have to go search to see whether it actually recommended vegetar…
Have you used it? Start working on anything. Next time you go to Google how to do something, or want to name something, or want to convert formats, or a dozen other things, just ask GPT. Say “give me 5 cool names for this”. Any task. “Show me a garden plot given plants from this time of year.” “Tell me about different types of LLCs and the tradeoffs.” “This code isn’t working what’s wrong.” You’ll quickly be able to…
I did.
GDP can get very self repeating. If you ask it for 5 cool names you soon realize it uses the same scheme every time. It doesn't convert formats at all as far as I can tell. If I ask GPT to repeat something in metric it makes up facts about metric instead of repeating what it said. From what I can tell it has zero concept for measurements. And if you phrase your questions awkward enough it would be easy to generate highly false information if you ask clear questions like the LLC example and I highly doubt it can actually differ between country laws and stuff.
Yes we are getting there, but GPT is not it. Yet
Re: Microsoft eyes $10B bet on ChatGPT
#117I'm seeing a lot of responses that see ChatGPT replacing Google, and it's unclear to me how? It can replace queries like "what's the tallest mountain in France", but that's not really a profitable query for Google. Whereas it's unclear to me how it replaces "best vegetarian restaurants in Gastown". It can string together a coherent statement, but then I have to go search to see whether it actually recommended vegetar…
Whilst I can see the benefit of being able to ask a natural language question and get served the answer (rather than being told where the answer might be), ChatGPT only has data up until 2021.
For it to be able to provide up to the minute details, it would need to have an up to date dataset AND be able to keep it updated - whilst ensuring it isn’t ‘polluted’ with biased info AND spider sites.
The combination of Bing and ChatGPT, if GPT is able to digest the search data, could be amazing.
Re: Microsoft eyes $10B bet on ChatGPT
#118Earlier quoted context omitted.
> just ask GPT. And then return to Google to verify that every fact presented by GPT is correct, and there no errors in numbers, names, definitions, etc. etc?
What we are seeing now is a proof of concept, what a highly generic language model can do. I'm sure there is work right now to add a new layer for confidence and truthfulness of answers. I'm not in the field but I guess that can be a another layer that could weight GPT choices in its probability space. Overall we could even have a confidence score for some answers.
I`m very very curious about these approach. In my understanding most of AI models: GPT, StableDiffusion, etc uses statistics approach for learning.
I`m not sure is it really possible to: - add new layer of confidence, - ability to provide correct source for claims, - ability to fine-tune one answer, in the nearest future.
Example: can we teach GPT to learn that Sun color is cyan without retraining it from zero? So on any question (no matter how sophisticated it is) it always "know" that sun color is cyan? Can we teach GPT anything without retraining it?
Re: Microsoft eyes $10B bet on ChatGPT
#119Earlier quoted context omitted.
Have you used it? Start working on anything. Next time you go to Google how to do something, or want to name something, or want to convert formats, or a dozen other things, just ask GPT. Say “give me 5 cool names for this”. Any task. “Show me a garden plot given plants from this time of year.” “Tell me about different types of LLCs and the tradeoffs.” “This code isn’t working what’s wrong.” You’ll quickly be able to…
How about this softball question I just tried? Q: "What was the most energy efficient electric vehicle available in 2022?" A: I'm sorry, but I don't have any information about specific electric vehicles that will be available in 2022. In general, the most energy efficient electric vehicles are those that have a large battery pack and a powerful electric motor, which allows them to travel long distances on a single ch…
“ Everyone's just slapping their wildest AI sci-fi fantasies on it”
Well said. I agree there is good reason to be a little skeptical of the hype.
Re: Microsoft eyes $10B bet on ChatGPT
#120I'm seeing a lot of responses that see ChatGPT replacing Google, and it's unclear to me how? It can replace queries like "what's the tallest mountain in France", but that's not really a profitable query for Google. Whereas it's unclear to me how it replaces "best vegetarian restaurants in Gastown". It can string together a coherent statement, but then I have to go search to see whether it actually recommended vegetar…
ChatGPT is either extremely annoying in its inaccuracy (yesterday I asked about a former French president who is famous because people discovered he had a secret second family when he died and he gave me the wrong number of children and gave them wrong names) or extremely impressive (it once gave me a genuinely good explanation of how the expression "ghost in the machine" is related to Descartes, how Descartes views differ from Locke and how Spinoza relates to both).
I'm still awed by its ability to understand complex query. If they can solve the issues with hallucination, it's going to be a serious paradigm shift in how people access information. It's a bit like if you could have a chat with Wikipedia.
Using chatGPT, I can't stop myself of dreaming of a future where you can freely talk to a teacher with infinite patience, access to all the material ever produce by humanity and able to delve down as much as you want and rephrase as many time as necessary. The potential seems so high.