I predict ChatGPT is the next Self driving Tesla tech.
2 years away from the full launch!
Microsoft eyes $10B bet on ChatGPT
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Re: Microsoft eyes $10B bet on ChatGPT
#22It’s really impressive watching OpenAI go from “no one can use this model because it’s too dangerous” to “everyone can use the model online but you can’t have the model because we’re selling it to Microsoft for billions of dollars.”
All of the Altman/Graham clique talk a big game but are simps for big money and power at the end of the day. Like many of us.
Re: Microsoft eyes $10B bet on ChatGPT
#23pg deserves a lot of credit for predicting this a decade ago: http://paulgraham.com/ambitious.html > The way to win here is to build the search engine all the hackers use. A search engine whose users consisted of the top 10,000 hackers and no one else would be in a very powerful position despite its small size, just as Google was when it was that search engine. And for the first time in over a decade the idea of swit…
If we're giving pg credit for calling things over decade ago, look at #5 on this list behind Steve Jobs, Larry and Sergey: http://www.paulgraham.com/5founders.html
Re: Microsoft eyes $10B bet on ChatGPT
#24Earlier quoted context omitted.
Seriously - it’s the 85% correct solution that gets you killed in the other 15%
On the roughly 100 autopilot trips I’ve taken - you nailed it - I died 15 times.
It's not about 100 easy autopilot trips, it's about 1001 trip where you as human can easily see what to do but AI will interpret reality wrong because it was not trained to handle that edge case and you will die.
Re: Microsoft eyes $10B bet on ChatGPT
#25I guess monetizing chatGPT should be simple, I would pay a monthly subscription for it in a heartbeat. Are there any competitors at this point that can match its performance? How hard would it be to replicate?
I had a chance to use LAMDA a few times. In my experience, LAMDA produces a slightly better outcome (less BS basically) but not a fundamentally different level. I guess MS won't be the only player in the league.
Re: Microsoft eyes $10B bet on ChatGPT
#26Earlier quoted context omitted.
ChatGPT Caused 'Code Red' at Google: https://www.cnet.com/tech/services-and-software/chatgpt-caus...
I'd bet not just from a technical standpoint. I'm sure many people started playing with ChatGPT and were like maybe Google isn't so amazing and high tech after all. They look like ancient tech compared to ChatGPT. It's a brand image problem now too. Google: dinosaur tech that exists only to gather information about you and serve you ads.
The brand in general is incredibly weak now. When I use Google it feels cluttered with ads and useless results. Using GPT was such a relief. I use it 75% versus Google 25% for data science hobby projects.
Re: Microsoft eyes $10B bet on ChatGPT
#27Correct me if I’m wrong, but this is a big bet on a company that just had their lunch eaten on another product by open source, no? Didn’t see much of Dall-E after Stable Diffusion release
It would be incredible if a chat gpt competitor came into the self host able, open source, niche like stable diffusion.
The options I've seen today are no where near as good as chat gpt
Re: Microsoft eyes $10B bet on ChatGPT
#28AWS and GCP execs must be kicking themselves wondering how this one got away. Azure appears to be years ahead in offering usable AI models to cloud customers.
ChatGPT Caused 'Code Red' at Google: https://www.cnet.com/tech/services-and-software/chatgpt-caus...
ChatGPT is one of those few technologies that:
1. Competes against and destroys Google's primary profit center (search).
2. Google cannot copy, improve, and give away for free to use as a moat without severe collateral damage to itself.
There's very little incentive to use a search engine to find an ad ridden website to answer a question when one can ask ChatGPT directly for a much better response.
Google is rightfully terrified, Pandora's box has been opened. ChatGPT may not be the eventual sole winner of this AI text knowledge base revolution, but it's very hard to imagine a viable necessary advertising model for this technology.
Re: Microsoft eyes $10B bet on ChatGPT
#29It’s really impressive watching OpenAI go from “no one can use this model because it’s too dangerous” to “everyone can use the model online but you can’t have the model because we’re selling it to Microsoft for billions of dollars.”
What is their sincere interpretation of "Open" in "OpenAI"? Their models are not distributed publicly, correct? Do they describe the network characteristics and training data openly? Where's the "open" part?
EDIT: I just read their charter and it describes "benefit of humanity" (laudable if feasible for them to deliver on it) but nothing about openness.
Re: Microsoft eyes $10B bet on ChatGPT
#30It’s really impressive watching OpenAI go from “no one can use this model because it’s too dangerous” to “everyone can use the model online but you can’t have the model because we’re selling it to Microsoft for billions of dollars.”
What is their sincere interpretation of "Open" in "OpenAI"? Their models are not distributed publicly, correct? Do they describe the network characteristics and training data openly? Where's the "open" part? EDIT: I just read their charter and it describes "benefit of humanity" (laudable if feasible for them to deliver on it) but nothing about openness.
you can open your wallet and give them money